(ROCK) Gibraltar Industries - Overview
Stock: Ventilation, Solar Racking, Greenhouse, Expansion Joint
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 45.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -27.83 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.179 |
| Beta Downside | 1.127 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
Description: ROCK Gibraltar Industries January 14, 2026
Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ: ROCK) manufactures a diversified portfolio of building-product solutions for residential, renewable-energy, ag-technology, and infrastructure markets. It operates through four segments: Residential (ventilation, roofing, mail-box and awning systems); Renewables (solar-racking and balance-of-system components); Agtech (custom greenhouse structures and canopies); and Infrastructure (expansion joints, sealants, bridge-cable protection). Its customers range from home-improvement retailers and contractors to solar developers and commercial growers.
Key metrics that shape ROCK’s outlook include a FY 2023 revenue of approximately $1.2 billion, with the Renewables segment delivering a 14 % year-over-year growth rate driven by the U.S. solar-installation boom (expected to exceed 30 GW in 2025). The Residential segment remains sensitive to the residential construction cycle, which has been supported by a 3.5 % YoY increase in U.S. housing starts. EBITDA margins have hovered around 11 % after the 2022 acquisition of a specialty greenhouse manufacturer, which added roughly $120 million in annual revenue and diversified exposure to the high-margin ag-tech niche.
For a deeper quantitative view, consider reviewing the detailed analyst models available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 4.22m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.67 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.38% < 20% (prev 27.87%; Δ -2.49% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 151.5m > Net Income 4.22m |
| Net Debt (-41.2m) to EBITDA (173.2m): -0.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.79 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (29.9m) vs 12m ago -2.88% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 26.91% > 18% (prev 0.28%; Δ 2663 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 84.78% > 50% (prev 84.56%; Δ 0.22% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 60.85 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 173.2m / Interest Expense TTM 2.35m) |
Altman Z'' 5.77
| A: 0.21 (Total Current Assets 695.4m - Total Current Liabilities 387.8m) / Total Assets 1.44b |
| B: 0.58 (Retained Earnings 833.9m / Total Assets 1.44b) |
| C: 0.10 (EBIT TTM 143.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.43b) |
| D: 1.72 (Book Value of Equity 830.5m / Total Liabilities 484.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.77 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.37
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 188.2m/248.4m, Revenue 1.21b/1.20b) |
| GMI: 1.04 (GM 26.91% / 27.91%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.39 / AQ_t-1 0.44) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 1.21b / 1.20b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 4.22m - CFO 151.5m) / TA 1.44b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.37 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of ROCK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.17%, over one month by +6.75%, over three months by -9.47% and over the past year by -10.09%.
Is ROCK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ROCK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 73 | 35.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 73 | 35.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 53.5 | -0.8% |
ROCK Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 11.3895
P/S = 1.0943
P/B = 1.5908
P/EG = 1.02
Revenue TTM = 1.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 143.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 173.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 48.2m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 11.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 48.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -41.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.47b USD (1.51b + Debt 48.2m - CCE 89.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 60.85 (Ebit TTM 143.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.35m)
EV/FCF = 13.55x (Enterprise Value 1.47b / FCF TTM 108.7m)
FCF Yield = 7.38% (FCF TTM 108.7m / Enterprise Value 1.47b)
FCF Margin = 8.96% (FCF TTM 108.7m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Net Margin = 0.35% (Net Income TTM 4.22m / Revenue TTM 1.21b)
Gross Margin = 26.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 886.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.61% (prev 28.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.03 (Enterprise Value 1.47b / Total Assets 1.44b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 2000 / Debt 48.2m)
Taxrate = 20.81% (8.72m / 41.9m)
NOPAT = 113.3m (EBIT 143.1m * (1 - 20.81%))
Current Ratio = 1.79 (Total Current Assets 695.4m / Total Current Liabilities 387.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 48.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 951.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.24 (Net Debt -41.2m / EBITDA 173.2m)
Debt / FCF = -0.38 (Net Debt -41.2m / FCF TTM 108.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.29% (Net Income 4.22m / Total Assets 1.44b)
RoE = 0.42% (Net Income TTM 4.22m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.01b)
RoCE = 13.49% (EBIT 143.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.01b + L.T.Debt 48.2m))
RoIC = 11.19% (NOPAT 113.3m / Invested Capital 1.01b)
WACC = 9.94% (E(1.51b)/V(1.56b) * Re(10.26%) + D(48.2m)/V(1.56b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.26% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.41%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.04% ; FCFF base≈123.6m ; Y1≈104.6m ; Y5≈79.4m
Fair Price DCF = 37.32 (EV 1.06b - Net Debt -41.2m = Equity 1.10b / Shares 29.5m; r=9.94% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -18.58% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -9.69 | EPS CAGR: -40.69% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.73 | Revenue CAGR: -1.92% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.83 | Chg30d=-0.115 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.33 | Chg30d=-0.333 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+10.3% | Growth Revenue=+3.8%