ROST Stock Analysis: Ross Stores | NASDAQ

Apparel Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 72.330m USD | 12M Return: 56.4% | US7782961038 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Apparel, Accessories, Footwear, Home Goods
Total Rating 81
Safety 91
Buy Signal 0.74
Apparel Retail
Industry Rotation: -5.3
Market Cap: 72.3B
Avg Turnover: 526M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility25.2%
VaR 5th Pctl3.99%
VaR vs Median-3.54%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.67
Rel. Str. IBD72.5
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.1
Character TTM
Beta0.314
Beta Downside0.092
Hurst Exponent0.529
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD21.08%
CAGR/Max DD1.34
CAGR/Mean DD5.73
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ROST over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 1.39, "2021-10": 1.09, "2022-01": 1.04, "2022-04": 0.97, "2022-07": 1.11, "2022-10": 1, "2023-01": 1.31, "2023-04": 1.09, "2023-07": 1.32, "2023-10": 1.33, "2024-01": 1.82, "2024-04": 1.46, "2024-07": 1.59, "2024-10": 1.48, "2025-01": 1.65, "2025-04": 1.47, "2025-07": 1.56, "2025-10": 1.58, "2026-01": 2, "2026-04": 2.02, "2026-07": 2.06,
EPS CAGR: 11.18%
EPS Trend: 89.4%
Last SUE: 1.35
Qual. Beats: 4
Revenue Revenue of ROST over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 4804.974, 2021-10: 4574.541, 2022-01: 5020.649, 2022-04: 4333.1, 2022-07: 4583.009, 2022-10: 4565.489, 2023-01: 5214.231, 2023-04: 4494.686, 2023-07: 4934.905, 2023-10: 4924.849, 2024-01: 6022.501, 2024-04: 4858.067, 2024-07: 5287.519, 2024-10: 5071.354, 2025-01: 5912.279, 2025-04: 4984.971, 2025-07: 5529.152, 2025-10: 5600.946, 2026-01: 6635.49, 2026-04: 6010.476, 2026-07: 6264.886,
Rev. CAGR: 6.90%
Rev. Trend: 94.4%
Last SUE: 0.67
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.1% 7
Feb -2.6% 20
Mar -3.6% 20
Apr +1.8% 31
May -3.1% 30
Jun -4.3% 8
Jul +3.5% 23
Aug +3.3% 30
Sep +0.1% 0
Oct -0.9% 8
Nov +8.2% 42
Dec -0.5% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ROST Ross Stores

Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST) is a U.S. off-price retailer that operates two chains, Ross Dress for Less and dds DISCOUNTS, selling apparel, accessories, footwear, and home goods to middle-income and lower-to-moderate-income households. The company was incorporated in 1957, is headquartered in Dublin, California, and trades as a large-cap stock in the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Apparel Retail sub-industry.

The off-price retail model works by purchasing excess merchandise and closeouts from brand-name manufacturers and suppliers at discounted prices and reselling them to consumers at prices typically below traditional department stores. Off-price competitors in the U.S. market include TJX Companies, which operates TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Tariff exposure pressures gross margins on imported apparel
  • Comparable store sales track middle-income consumer spending
  • Off-price competition intensifies from TJX and Burlington expansion
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.5
Net Income: 2.66b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.88 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 12.20% < 20% (prev 11.79%; Δ 0.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 3.66b > Net Income 2.66b
Net Debt (4.15b) to EBITDA (3.91b): 1.06 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.61 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (320.3m) vs 12m ago -1.71% < -2%
Gross Margin: 29.89% > 18% (prev 27.61%; Δ 2.28% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 160.9% > 50% (prev 148.3%; Δ 12.54% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 56.42 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.37b / Interest Expense TTM 59.7m)
Altman Z'' 4.56
A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 7.88b - Total Current Liabilities 4.89b) / Total Assets 16.0b
B: 0.33 (Retained Earnings 5.32b / Total Assets 16.0b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 3.37b / Avg Total Assets 15.2b)
D: 0.73 (Book Value of Equity 6.74b / Total Liabilities 9.24b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.56 = AA
Beneish M -3.00
DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 248.1m/210.5m, Revenue 24.5b/21.5b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 27.61% / 29.89%)
AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02)
SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 24.5b / 21.5b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 2.66b - CFO 3.66b) / TA 16.0b)
Beneish M = -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ROST shares?

As of September 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 226.61 with a total of 3,977,716 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.79%, over one month by -3.95%, over three months by -2.47% and over the past year by +56.41%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 219.90 (which is 3% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ROST a buy, sell or hold?

Ross Stores has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.42. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ROST.

  • StrongBuy: 13
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ROST price?
Analysts Target Price 269.9 19.1%
Ross Stores (ROST) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 72.3b (72.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 27.2319
P/E Forward = 26.5957
P/S = 2.9508
P/B = 10.672
P/EG = 2.415
Revenue TTM = 24.5b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.91b USD
Long Term Debt = 777.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 993.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.46b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.72b
Net Debt = 4.15b USD (calculated: Debt 8.46b - CCE 4.31b)
Enterprise Value = 76.5b USD (72.3b + Debt 8.46b - CCE 4.31b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 56.42 (Ebit TTM 3.37b / Interest Expense TTM 59.7m)
EV/FCF = 27.41x (Enterprise Value 76.5b / FCF TTM 2.79b)
FCF Yield = 3.65% (FCF TTM 2.79b / Enterprise Value 76.5b)
FCF Margin = 11.38% (FCF TTM 2.79b / Revenue TTM 24.5b)
Net Margin = 10.85% (Net Income TTM 2.66b / Revenue TTM 24.5b)
Gross Margin = 29.89% ((Revenue TTM 24.5b - Cost of Revenue TTM 17.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.83% (prev 29.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.79 (Enterprise Value 76.5b / Total Assets 16.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 59.7m / Debt 8.46b)
Taxrate = 24.09% (843.8m / 3.50b)
NOPAT = 2.56b (EBIT 3.37b * (1 - 24.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 7.88b / Total Current Liabilities 4.89b)
Debt / Equity = 1.25 (Debt 8.46b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.74b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.06 (Net Debt 4.15b / EBITDA 3.91b)
Debt / FCF = 1.49 (Net Debt 4.15b / FCF TTM 2.79b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.45% (Net Income 2.66b / Total Assets 16.0b)
RoE = 42.34% (Net Income TTM 2.66b / Total Stockholder Equity 6.28b)
RoCE = 47.76% (EBIT 3.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.28b + L.T.Debt 777.1m))
RoIC = 23.55% (NOPAT 2.56b / Invested Capital 10.9b)
WACC = 6.40% (E(72.3b)/V(80.8b) * Re(7.09%) + D(8.46b)/V(80.8b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 7.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.65 | Cagr: -1.80%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.35b ; Y1≈2.69b ; Y5≈3.96b
[DCF] Fair Price = 172.7 (EV 59.5b - Net Debt 4.15b = Equity 55.4b / Shares 320.8m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 89.39 | EPS CAGR: 11.18% | SUE: 1.35 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 94.40 | Revenue CAGR: 6.90% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=+5.86% | Revisions=+79% | Analysts=10
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.63 | Chg30d=+10.31% | Revisions=+80% | GrowthEPS=+30.5% | GrowthRev=+12.9%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=8.91 | Chg30d=+3.71% | Revisions=+81% | GrowthEPS=+3.3% | GrowthRev=+6.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +92% (up=36, down=0)