RPD Stock Analysis: Rapid7 | NASDAQ
Software - Infrastructure | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 902m USD | 12M Return: -37.9% | US7534221046 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 26.1M
EPS Trend: -4.0%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 90.0%
Qual. Beats: 9
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Rapid7, Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is a U.S. cybersecurity software and services provider founded in 2000 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts. Classified in the GICS Systems Software sub-industry, the company sells its offerings under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brands and generates revenue primarily through a mix of recurring software subscriptions and higher-margin managed and professional services.
Its product portfolio centers on a unified data-collection layer - including the Rapid7 Agent, Network Sensor, and Cloud Event Data Harvesting - that gathers telemetry across on-premises and cloud environments. Built on this layer, the company offers Managed Threat Complete (managed detection and response), Incident Command (SIEM/extended detection and response), Threat Intelligence, Managed Digital Risk Protection, and Incident Response Services.
Rapid7 also delivers exposure and attack-surface management solutions such as Exposure Command, Surface Command (Cyber Asset Attack Surface Management), and Vector Command (continuous red-teaming), alongside Cloud Security, Application Security, and Vulnerability Management products. Complementary advisory and professional services help customers offload day-to-day security operations, a common buying pattern in the enterprise cybersecurity market where skills shortages drive demand for outsourced, outcome-based engagements.
- ARR growth deceleration pressures subscription revenue outlook
- Profitability initiatives narrow losses and improve free cash flow
- Competitive pressure from CrowdStrike and SentinelOne intensifies
| Net Income: 20.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.28 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -26.77% < 20% (prev 23.22%; Δ -49.99% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 152.9m > Net Income 20.1m |
| Net Debt (331.0m) to EBITDA (56.1m): 5.90 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.9m) vs 12m ago 4.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 69.30% > 18% (prev 70.56%; Δ -1.26% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 50.46% > 50% (prev 51.88%; Δ -1.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.04 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.6m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m) |
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 931.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 1.74b |
| B: -0.55 (Retained Earnings -957.5m / Total Assets 1.74b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 10.6m / Avg Total Assets 1.70b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 196.7m / Total Liabilities 1.55b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.48 = D |
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 141.3m/150.7m, Revenue 855.9m/855.4m) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 70.56% / 69.30%) |
| AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.43 / AQ_t-1 0.50) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 855.9m / 855.4m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 20.1m - CFO 152.9m) / TA 1.74b) |
| Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.00 with a total of 1,671,169 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.36%, over one month by +0.23%, over three months by +108.67% and over the past year by -37.92%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 10.80 (which is 16.9% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).
Rapid7 has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.56. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RPD.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 10.6 | -18.4% |
P/E Trailing = 33.45
P/E Forward = 7.4405
P/S = 1.0536
P/B = 4.4395
P/EG = 0.6307
Revenue TTM = 855.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 10.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 56.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 892.3m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 17.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 72.0m
Net Debt = 331.0m USD (calculated: Debt 1.03b - CCE 702.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.23b USD (901.8m + Debt 1.03b - CCE 702.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.04 (Ebit TTM 10.6m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)
EV/FCF = 8.64x (Enterprise Value 1.23b / FCF TTM 142.7m)
FCF Yield = 11.58% (FCF TTM 142.7m / Enterprise Value 1.23b)
FCF Margin = 16.68% (FCF TTM 142.7m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Net Margin = 2.35% (Net Income TTM 20.1m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Gross Margin = 69.30% ((Revenue TTM 855.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 262.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.92% (prev 69.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.71 (Enterprise Value 1.23b / Total Assets 1.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 10.2m / Debt 1.03b)
Taxrate = 11.39% (2.59m / 22.7m)
NOPAT = 9.42m (EBIT 10.6m * (1 - 11.39%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 931.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 5.25 (Debt 1.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 196.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.90 (Net Debt 331.0m / EBITDA 56.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.32 (Net Debt 331.0m / FCF TTM 142.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 163.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.19% (Net Income 20.1m / Total Assets 1.74b)
RoE = 12.33% (Net Income TTM 20.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 163.4m)
RoCE = 1.01% (EBIT 10.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 163.4m + L.T.Debt 892.3m))
RoIC = 1.69% (NOPAT 9.42m / Invested Capital 558.4m)
WACC = 5.82% (E(901.8m)/V(1.94b) * Re(11.48%) + D(1.03b)/V(1.94b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.48% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -27.92 | Cagr: -3.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈154.6m ; Y1≈135.6m ; Y5≈109.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 21.18 (EV 1.76b - Net Debt 331.0m = Equity 1.43b / Shares 67.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -3.99 | EPS CAGR: -0.96% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 89.97 | Revenue CAGR: 4.42% | SUE: 2.04 | # QB: 9
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.46 | Chg30d=+7.66% | Revisions=-54% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.80 | Chg30d=+15.49% | Revisions=+8% | GrowthEPS=-13.6% | GrowthRev=-2.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.76 | Chg30d=+13.19% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-2.2% | GrowthRev=-1.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -23% (up=17, down=28)