RPD Stock Analysis: Rapid7 | NASDAQ

Vulnerability Management, Threat Detection, Cloud Security, Application Security

Total Rating 34

Safety 32

Buy Signal 0.81

Software - Infrastructure
Industry Rotation: +7.6

Market Cap: 822M
Avg Turnover: 21.0M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility76.3%

VaR 5^th Pctl12.3%

VaR vs Median-1.86%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.08

Rel. Str. IBD90.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group67.9

Character TTM

Beta1.530

Beta Downside2.055

Hurst Exponent0.603

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD91.78%

CAGR/Max DD-0.38

CAGR/Mean DD-0.67

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -0.96%
EPS Trend: -4.0%

Last SUE: 1.38
Qual. Beats: 2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 4.42%
Rev. Trend: 90.0%

Last SUE: 1.25
Qual. Beats: 9

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader

Confidence

Seasonality 11.2 years of data

Jan -0.4% 15

Feb +3.6% 14

Mar -3.4% 27

Apr +3.6% 23

May +0.9% 14

Jun +1.3% 2

Jul +0.5% 7

Aug +2.7% 27

Sep -8.4% 33

Oct +1.3% 20

Nov -4.1% 2

Dec +0.8% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: RPD Rapid7

Rapid7, Inc. (NASDAQ: RPD) is a U.S.-based cybersecurity software and services provider headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, founded in 2000 and publicly listed since 2015. The company sells its products under the Rapid7, Nexpose, and Metasploit brands, serving customers across on-premises and cloud environments.

Its product portfolio spans vulnerability management, threat detection and response, security information and event management (SIEM), cloud security, application security testing, and attack surface management. Offerings include the Rapid7 Agent for centralized data collection, Network Sensor for traffic analysis, Cloud Event Data Harvesting for cloud visibility, and platforms such as Incident Command (SIEM/XDR), Exposure Command, Surface Command, Vector Command, and Managed Threat Complete. The company also provides managed detection and response, incident response services, threat intelligence, and advisory/professional services.

Rapid7 operates in the Information Technology sector (Systems Software sub-industry), addressing demand for security tools as organizations face rising cyber threats and expanded cloud footprints. Its mix of software platforms and managed services reflects the broader industry shift toward subscription-based and outcome-oriented security offerings.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Managed Detection and Response revenue accelerates with platform adoption
Annualized Recurring Revenue growth in Vulnerability Management stabilizes margins
Federal cybersecurity budget boosts demand for Exposure Command platform
Pricing pressure intensifies as competition from CrowdStrike and SentinelOne increases
Customer attrition and deferred revenue trends signal growth deceleration risk

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5

Net Income: 20.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.28 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -26.77% < 20% (prev 23.22%; Δ -49.99% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 152.9m > Net Income 20.1m
Net Debt (326.5m) to EBITDA (77.7m): 4.20 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (67.9m) vs 12m ago 4.98% < -2%
Gross Margin: 69.30% > 18% (prev 70.56%; Δ -1.26% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.46% > 50% (prev 51.88%; Δ -1.42% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 32.9m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)

Altman Z'' -2.39

A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 931.2m - Total Current Liabilities 1.16b) / Total Assets 1.74b
B: -0.55 (Retained Earnings -957.5m / Total Assets 1.74b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 32.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.70b)
D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 196.7m / Total Liabilities 1.55b)
Altman-Z'' = -2.39 = D

Beneish M -3.16

DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 141.3m/150.7m, Revenue 855.9m/855.4m)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 70.56% / 69.30%)
AQI: 0.85 (AQ_t 0.43 / AQ_t-1 0.50)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 855.9m / 855.4m)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 20.1m - CFO 152.9m) / TA 1.74b)
Beneish M = -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of RPD shares?

As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.74 with a total of 1,389,505 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +12.72%, over one month by +30.11%, over three months by +20.42% and over the past year by -28.99%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.70 (which is 7.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is RPD a buy, sell or hold?

Rapid7 has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.84. Therefore, it is recommended to hold RPD.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 18
Sell: 3
StrongSell: 2

What are the forecasts/targets for the RPD price?

Analysts Target Price	11.7	-14.8%

Rapid7 (RPD) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 05 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 821.6m (821.6m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 39.3226
P/E Forward = 7.1531
P/S = 0.9599
P/B = 4.4853
P/EG = 0.6748
Revenue TTM = 855.9m USD
EBIT TTM = 32.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 77.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 296.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 616.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 67.4m
Net Debt = 326.5m USD (calculated: Debt 1.03b - CCE 702.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.15b USD (821.6m + Debt 1.03b - CCE 702.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.23 (Ebit TTM 32.9m / Interest Expense TTM 10.2m)
EV/FCF = 8.04x (Enterprise Value 1.15b / FCF TTM 142.7m)
FCF Yield = 12.43% (FCF TTM 142.7m / Enterprise Value 1.15b)
FCF Margin = 16.68% (FCF TTM 142.7m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Net Margin = 2.35% (Net Income TTM 20.1m / Revenue TTM 855.9m)
Gross Margin = 69.30% ((Revenue TTM 855.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 262.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.92% (prev 69.12%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 1.15b / Total Assets 1.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 10.2m / Debt 1.03b)
Taxrate = 11.39% (2.59m / 22.7m)
NOPAT = 29.2m (EBIT 32.9m * (1 - 11.39%))
Current Ratio = 0.79 (Total Current Assets 931.2m / Total Current Liabilities 1.17b)
Debt / Equity = 5.23 (Debt 1.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 196.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.20 (Net Debt 326.5m / EBITDA 77.7m)
Debt / FCF = 2.29 (Net Debt 326.5m / FCF TTM 142.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 163.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.19% (Net Income 20.1m / Total Assets 1.74b)
RoE = 12.33% (Net Income TTM 20.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 163.4m)
RoCE = 7.17% (EBIT 32.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 163.4m + L.T.Debt 296.0m))
RoIC = 2.52% (NOPAT 29.2m / Invested Capital 1.16b)
WACC = 5.54% (E(821.6m)/V(1.85b) * Re(11.37%) + D(1.03b)/V(1.85b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 11.37% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -27.92 | Cagr: -3.75%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈154.6m ; Y1≈135.6m ; Y5≈109.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 21.25 (EV 1.76b - Net Debt 326.5m = Equity 1.43b / Shares 67.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -3.99 | EPS CAGR: -0.96% | SUE: 1.38 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 89.97 | Revenue CAGR: 4.42% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 9
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.48 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+78% | Analysts=24
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.83 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=-12.0% | GrowthRev=-2.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.03 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+73% | GrowthEPS=+10.9% | GrowthRev=+0.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +87% (up=63, down=3)