(RUM) Rumble - Overview
Stock: Video Platform, Streaming, Cloud, Marketplace, Advertising
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 80.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -19.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.94 |
| Alpha | -82.11 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.909 |
| Beta Downside | 1.373 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 69.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.19 |
Description: RUM Rumble January 11, 2026
Rumble Inc. (NASDAQ:RUM) runs a suite of video-sharing and cloud-service platforms across the U.S., Canada, and other markets. Its flagship site, rumble.com, offers free-to-use video on-demand and live streaming, while locals.com provides a subscription-based creator community. The company is also developing the patent-pending Rumble Streaming Marketplace for livestream monetization and operates the in-house Rumble Advertising Center (RAC). Beyond media, Rumble Cloud delivers IaaS (computing, storage, security, networking) to startups, SMBs, and enterprise customers. Founded in 2013, Rumble is headquartered in Longboat Key, Florida.
Recent metrics show the firm generated roughly $115 million in revenue for FY 2023, a 38 % year-over-year increase driven largely by a 62 % jump in advertising sales and a 24 % rise in cloud services revenue. Monthly active users on rumble.com surpassed 30 million in Q4 2023, reflecting strong growth in the “free-speech” video niche that benefits from platform-agnostic content policies. The broader interactive media sector is being propelled by a rebound in U.S. digital ad spend (projected to grow ~7 % YoY) and heightened demand for decentralized, creator-first infrastructure, both of which could support Rumble’s hybrid media-cloud model.
For a deeper quantitative dive, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to benchmark Rumble’s valuation against peers and assess scenario-based risk/reward profiles.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -83.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 64.35 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 230.8% < 20% (prev 138.4%; Δ 92.49% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 33.6m > Net Income -83.0m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 6.04 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (260.5m) vs 12m ago 27.10% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -15.82% > 18% (prev -0.68%; Δ -1515 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 35.52% > 50% (prev 39.44%; Δ -3.92% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -12.94 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -89.3m / Interest Expense TTM 8.08m) |
Altman Z'' -11.46
| A: 0.65 (Total Current Assets 287.1m - Total Current Liabilities 47.5m) / Total Assets 367.2m |
| B: -1.45 (Retained Earnings -532.7m / Total Assets 367.2m) |
| C: -0.36 (EBIT TTM -104.6m / Avg Total Assets 292.2m) |
| D: -8.19 (Book Value of Equity -531.9m / Total Liabilities 64.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -11.46 = D |
Beneish M -3.30
| DSRI: 0.92 (Receivables 12.6m/11.3m, Revenue 103.8m/85.7m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.95 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 103.8m / 85.7m) |
| TATA: -0.32 (NI -83.0m - CFO 33.6m) / TA 367.2m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.30 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of RUM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.58%, over one month by -13.99%, over three months by -1.87% and over the past year by -55.81%.
Is RUM a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RUM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 22 | 280.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 22 | 280.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5 | -14.4% |
RUM Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 6.7314
Revenue TTM = 103.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -104.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -89.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.25m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.25m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -267.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.66b USD (1.93b + Debt 2.25m - CCE 269.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -12.94 (Ebit TTM -104.6m / Interest Expense TTM 8.08m)
EV/FCF = 43.80x (Enterprise Value 1.66b / FCF TTM 37.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.28% (FCF TTM 37.9m / Enterprise Value 1.66b)
FCF Margin = 36.56% (FCF TTM 37.9m / Revenue TTM 103.8m)
Net Margin = -79.95% (Net Income TTM -83.0m / Revenue TTM 103.8m)
Gross Margin = -15.82% ((Revenue TTM 103.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 120.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -17.52% (prev -5.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.53 (Enterprise Value 1.66b / Total Assets 367.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 360.0% (Interest Expense 8.08m / Debt 2.25m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -82.6m (EBIT -104.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 6.04 (Total Current Assets 287.1m / Total Current Liabilities 47.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 2.25m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 302.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.99 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -267.5m / EBITDA -89.3m)
Debt / FCF = -7.05 (Net Debt -267.5m / FCF TTM 37.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 223.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -28.40% (Net Income -83.0m / Total Assets 367.2m)
RoE = -37.17% (Net Income TTM -83.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 223.2m)
RoCE = -46.39% (EBIT -104.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 223.2m + L.T.Debt 2.25m))
RoIC = -37.02% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -82.6m / Invested Capital 223.2m)
WACC = 12.93% (E(1.93b)/V(1.93b) * Re(12.95%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 12.95% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 13.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.90% ; FCFF base≈37.9m ; Y1≈46.8m ; Y5≈79.7m
Fair Price DCF = 4.33 (EV 665.0m - Net Debt -267.5m = Equity 932.5m / Shares 215.4m; r=12.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 20.77 | EPS CAGR: 39.83% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.82 | Revenue CAGR: 76.52% | SUE: -0.54 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.06 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+34.5% | Growth Revenue=+349.5%