(RYAAY) Ryanair Holdings - Overview
Stock: Flights, Ancillary, Merchandise, Car-Hire, Accommodation, Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.90% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -54.56% |
| Payout Consistency | 16.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 28.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.51 |
| Alpha | 39.66 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.774 |
| Beta Downside | 0.500 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.05% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.74 |
Description: RYAAY Ryanair Holdings December 17, 2025
Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) operates a low-cost, scheduled-passenger airline network across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and a broad set of international routes. In addition to ticket sales, the group monetises ancillary services-including in-flight food and beverage, duty-free, car hire, travel insurance, accommodation, airport parking, fast-track and attraction bookings-through its website and mobile app, while also offering passenger handling, ticketing, and aircraft maintenance services.
Key operating metrics from FY 2024 show a 92 % average load factor, unit revenue of €115 per passenger, and a cost per available seat kilometre (CASK) of €0.045, reflecting the carrier’s ultra-low-cost structure. The airline’s fleet of roughly 470 aircraft (average age ≈ 5.5 years) supports a cash balance of €2.5 bn, providing resilience against fuel price volatility-a primary economic driver for the sector. Macro-level factors such as European GDP growth, Brexit-related regulatory adjustments, and the ongoing recovery in leisure travel demand continue to shape Ryanair’s revenue outlook.
For a deeper dive into Ryanair’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics and scenario analyses worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 2.24b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.75 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -14.09% < 20% (prev -5.66%; Δ -8.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 1.62b > Net Income 2.24b |
| Net Debt (-889.0m) to EBITDA (4.01b): -0.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (106.2m) vs 12m ago -51.15% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 24.96% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 2478 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 94.39% > 50% (prev 85.54%; Δ 8.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 40.64 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.01b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m) |
Altman Z'' 2.83
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 4.30b - Total Current Liabilities 6.46b) / Total Assets 16.04b |
| B: 0.47 (Retained Earnings 7.55b / Total Assets 16.04b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 2.70b / Avg Total Assets 16.21b) |
| D: 1.01 (Book Value of Equity 7.35b / Total Liabilities 7.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.83 = A |
Beneish M -2.70
| DSRI: 1.79 (Receivables 110.4m/56.6m, Revenue 15.30b/14.01b) |
| GMI: 0.73 (GM 24.96% / 18.28%) |
| AQI: 0.70 (AQ_t 0.03 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 15.30b / 14.01b) |
| TATA: 0.04 (NI 2.24b - CFO 1.62b) / TA 16.04b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.70 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of RYAAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.45%, over one month by +0.07%, over three months by +11.61% and over the past year by +59.24%.
Is RYAAY a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RYAAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80 | 10.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80 | 10.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 90.1 | 25.1% |
RYAAY Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 13.8904
P/E Forward = 12.2249
P/S = 2.4282
P/B = 3.5031
P/EG = 0.8986
Revenue TTM = 15.30b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.70b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 4.01b EUR
Long Term Debt = 147.6m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.23b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.53b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -889.0m EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.41b EUR (31.30b + Debt 1.53b - CCE 2.42b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.64 (Ebit TTM 2.70b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m)
EV/FCF = -1000.0x (Enterprise Value 30.41b / FCF TTM -16.4m)
FCF Yield = -0.05% (FCF TTM -16.4m / Enterprise Value 30.41b)
FCF Margin = -0.11% (FCF TTM -16.4m / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Net Margin = 14.65% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Revenue TTM 15.30b)
Gross Margin = 24.96% ((Revenue TTM 15.30b - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.48b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 8.62% (prev 45.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.90 (Enterprise Value 30.41b / Total Assets 16.04b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.34% (Interest Expense 66.5m / Debt 1.53b)
Taxrate = 9.68% (172.8m / 1.78b)
NOPAT = 2.44b (EBIT 2.70b * (1 - 9.68%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 4.30b / Total Current Liabilities 6.46b)
Debt / Equity = 0.17 (Debt 1.53b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.22 (Net Debt -889.0m / EBITDA 4.01b)
Debt / FCF = 54.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -889.0m / FCF TTM -16.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.82% (Net Income 2.24b / Total Assets 16.04b)
RoE = 27.84% (Net Income TTM 2.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.05b)
RoCE = 32.98% (EBIT 2.70b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.05b + L.T.Debt 147.6m))
RoIC = 24.65% (NOPAT 2.44b / Invested Capital 9.90b)
WACC = 8.54% (E(31.30b)/V(32.84b) * Re(8.77%) + D(1.53b)/V(32.84b) * Rd(4.34%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 8.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -31.92%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -16.4m)
EPS Correlation: 3.22 | EPS CAGR: 16.50% | SUE: 0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 50.51 | Revenue CAGR: 30.42% | SUE: 0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.99 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.77 | Chg30d=+0.236 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+20.7% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%