(RYAAY) Ryanair Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Flights, Ancillary, Merchandise, Car-Hire, Accommodation, Insurance
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.86% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.02% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -67.76% |
| Payout Consistency | 14.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 38.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 47.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.54 |
| Alpha | 43.10 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.74 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.442 |
| Beta | 0.813 |
| Beta Downside | 0.527 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.05% |
| Mean DD | 10.70% |
| Median DD | 8.20% |
Description: RYAAY Ryanair Holdings December 17, 2025
Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ: RYAAY) operates a low-cost, scheduled-passenger airline network across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and a broad set of international routes. In addition to ticket sales, the group monetises ancillary services-including in-flight food and beverage, duty-free, car hire, travel insurance, accommodation, airport parking, fast-track and attraction bookings-through its website and mobile app, while also offering passenger handling, ticketing, and aircraft maintenance services.
Key operating metrics from FY 2024 show a 92 % average load factor, unit revenue of €115 per passenger, and a cost per available seat kilometre (CASK) of €0.045, reflecting the carrier’s ultra-low-cost structure. The airline’s fleet of roughly 470 aircraft (average age ≈ 5.5 years) supports a cash balance of €2.5 bn, providing resilience against fuel price volatility-a primary economic driver for the sector. Macro-level factors such as European GDP growth, Brexit-related regulatory adjustments, and the ongoing recovery in leisure travel demand continue to shape Ryanair’s revenue outlook.
For a deeper dive into Ryanair’s valuation dynamics, the ValueRay platform offers granular metrics and scenario analyses worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (2.36b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 904.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.53% (prev -8.21%; Δ -4.32pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.61b <= Net Income 2.36b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.50b) to EBITDA (3.99b) ratio: -0.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (213.7m) change vs 12m ago -5.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.23% (prev 16.20%; Δ 11.03pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.01% (prev 85.53%; Δ 6.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 40.77 (EBITDA TTM 3.99b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.95
| (A) -0.12 = (Total Current Assets 4.71b - Total Current Liabilities 6.60b) / Total Assets 16.39b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.68b / Total Assets 16.39b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 2.71b / Avg Total Assets 16.38b |
| (D) 1.02 = Book Value of Equity 7.54b / Total Liabilities 7.42b |
| Total Rating: 2.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.98
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.28% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.38 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.95)% |
| 7. RoE 29.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 62.26% |
| 9. EPS Trend 0.92% |
What is the price of RYAAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.50%, over one month by -0.73%, over three months by +14.32% and over the past year by +71.40%.
Is RYAAY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RYAAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 76.3 | 9.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 76.3 | 9.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 88.7 | 27.1% |
RYAAY Fundamental Data Overview January 09, 2026
P/E Trailing = 13.6431
P/E Forward = 12.9032
P/S = 2.4898
P/B = 3.5802
P/EG = 0.9489
Beta = 1.125
Revenue TTM = 15.07b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.71b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.99b EUR
Long Term Debt = 147.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.23b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.47b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.50b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 30.69b EUR (32.18b + Debt 1.47b - CCE 2.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.77 (Ebit TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m)
EV/FCF = 355.2x (Enterprise Value 30.69b / FCF TTM 86.4m)
FCF Yield = 0.28% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Enterprise Value 30.69b)
FCF Margin = 0.57% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Revenue TTM 15.07b)
Net Margin = 15.65% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Revenue TTM 15.07b)
Gross Margin = 27.23% ((Revenue TTM 15.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.78% (prev 26.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.87 (Enterprise Value 30.69b / Total Assets 16.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.53% (Interest Expense 66.5m / Debt 1.47b)
Taxrate = 12.36% (242.5m / 1.96b)
NOPAT = 2.38b (EBIT 2.71b * (1 - 12.36%))
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 4.71b / Total Current Liabilities 6.60b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 1.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.38 (Net Debt -1.50b / EBITDA 3.99b)
Debt / FCF = -17.32 (Net Debt -1.50b / FCF TTM 86.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.89b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.40% (Net Income 2.36b / Total Assets 16.39b)
RoE = 29.88% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.89b)
RoCE = 33.71% (EBIT 2.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.89b + L.T.Debt 147.4m))
RoIC = 23.65% (NOPAT 2.38b / Invested Capital 10.05b)
WACC = 8.69% (E(32.18b)/V(33.65b) * Re(8.91%) + D(1.47b)/V(33.65b) * Rd(4.53%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.70% ; FCFF base≈452.9m ; Y1≈332.2m ; Y5≈189.2m
Fair Price DCF = 8.90 (EV 3.18b - Net Debt -1.50b = Equity 4.67b / Shares 525.0m; r=8.69% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.46% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-31.46%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 0.92 | EPS CAGR: 11.51% | SUE: -0.11 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 62.26 | Revenue CAGR: 42.04% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=4.84 | Chg30d=+0.118 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+47.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.1%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.54 | Chg30d=+0.174 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+14.4% | Growth Revenue=+5.1%
Additional Sources for RYAAY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle