(RYAAY) Ryanair Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Flights, Ancillaries, Car-Hire, Insurance, Merchandise
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.21 |
| Alpha | 31.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.526 |
| Beta | 0.763 |
| Beta Downside | 0.600 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.05% |
| Mean DD | 10.70% |
| Median DD | 8.20% |
Description: RYAAY Ryanair Holdings October 14, 2025
Ryanair Holdings plc (NASDAQ:RYAAY) operates a low-cost airline network across Ireland, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and a range of international routes, complemented by a suite of ancillary services-including in-flight sales, car hire, travel insurance, accommodation bookings, airport-parking, fast-track and attraction tickets-all sold through its website and mobile app. The group also offers passenger-handling, ticketing, and aircraft maintenance services, and it generates additional revenue by selling gift vouchers. Established in 1996 and headquartered in Swords, Ireland, Ryanair’s business model relies on high aircraft utilisation, a single-type fleet (primarily Boeing 737-MAX), and aggressive cost control.
Key performance indicators from Ryanair’s most recent public filings (FY 2023) show approximately 183 million passengers carried, a load factor near 95 %, and an ancillary-revenue contribution of roughly €12 per passenger-both metrics that are well above the industry average and critical to the airline’s profitability. The carrier’s cost per available seat kilometre (CASK) remains around €6.5 cents, reflecting its ultra-low-cost structure, while fuel accounts for roughly 30 % of operating expenses, making the airline highly sensitive to jet-fuel price volatility. Macro-level drivers include European disposable-income trends, post-pandemic tourism recovery, and regulatory factors such as EU emissions-trading schemes and the ongoing impact of Brexit on UK traffic rights.
Given the thin margins and the cyclical nature of air travel, any deviation in fuel costs, labour negotiations, or regulatory changes could materially affect Ryanair’s earnings outlook; analysts should therefore monitor forward-looking fuel-price hedges, labour-cost trends, and slot-allocation dynamics at major European airports. For a deeper quantitative breakdown, see ValueRay’s detailed model.
RYAAY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 32,379m |
| Sub-Industry | Passenger Airlines |
| IPO / Inception | 1997-05-29 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 32.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
RYAAY Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.47% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.90% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 13.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 29.8% |
RYAAY Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 29.99% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.83 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.80 |
| Current Volume | 769.5k |
| Average Volume | 881.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (2.36b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 904.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.60pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.53% (prev -8.48%; Δ -4.05pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.61b <= Net Income 2.36b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-1.50b) to EBITDA (3.99b) ratio: -0.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (213.7m) change vs 12m ago -5.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.23% (prev 19.55%; Δ 7.67pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 92.01% (prev 82.81%; Δ 9.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 40.77 (EBITDA TTM 3.99b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.95
| (A) -0.12 = (Total Current Assets 4.71b - Total Current Liabilities 6.60b) / Total Assets 16.39b |
| (B) 0.47 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.68b / Total Assets 16.39b |
| (C) 0.17 = EBIT TTM 2.71b / Avg Total Assets 16.38b |
| (D) 1.02 = Book Value of Equity 7.54b / Total Liabilities 7.42b |
| Total Rating: 2.95 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 76.30
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 0.32% |
| 3. FCF Margin 0.57% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.16 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.38 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 15.06)% |
| 7. RoE 29.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.87% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.12% |
What is the price of RYAAY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.35%, over one month by +1.30%, over three months by -3.75% and over the past year by +49.09%.
Is RYAAY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the RYAAY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 71.4 | 14.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 71.4 | 14.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 75.9 | 22.2% |
RYAAY Fundamental Data Overview November 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.81
P/E Forward = 12.7065
P/S = 2.148
P/B = 3.1086
P/EG = 0.9337
Beta = 1.125
Revenue TTM = 15.07b EUR
EBIT TTM = 2.71b EUR
EBITDA TTM = 3.99b EUR
Long Term Debt = 147.4m EUR (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.23b EUR (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.47b EUR (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.50b EUR (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 26.61b EUR (28.10b + Debt 1.47b - CCE 2.96b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.77 (Ebit TTM 2.71b / Interest Expense TTM 66.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.32% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Enterprise Value 26.61b)
FCF Margin = 0.57% (FCF TTM 86.4m / Revenue TTM 15.07b)
Net Margin = 15.65% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Revenue TTM 15.07b)
Gross Margin = 27.23% ((Revenue TTM 15.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 45.78% (prev 26.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.62 (Enterprise Value 26.61b / Total Assets 16.39b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.53% (Interest Expense 66.5m / Debt 1.47b)
Taxrate = 12.36% (242.5m / 1.96b)
NOPAT = 2.38b (EBIT 2.71b * (1 - 12.36%))
Current Ratio = 0.71 (Total Current Assets 4.71b / Total Current Liabilities 6.60b)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 1.47b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 8.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.38 (Net Debt -1.50b / EBITDA 3.99b)
Debt / FCF = -17.32 (Net Debt -1.50b / FCF TTM 86.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.89b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.39% (Net Income 2.36b / Total Assets 16.39b)
RoE = 29.88% (Net Income TTM 2.36b / Total Stockholder Equity 7.89b)
RoCE = 33.71% (EBIT 2.71b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.89b + L.T.Debt 147.4m))
RoIC = 23.65% (NOPAT 2.38b / Invested Capital 10.05b)
WACC = 8.59% (E(28.10b)/V(29.57b) * Re(8.83%) + D(1.47b)/V(29.57b) * Rd(4.53%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 8.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -3.40%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.89% ; FCFE base≈452.9m ; Y1≈390.7m ; Y5≈308.5m
Fair Price DCF = 9.31 (DCF Value 4.90b / Shares Outstanding 526.2m; 5y FCF grow -16.74% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.12 | EPS CAGR: 66.71% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.87 | Revenue CAGR: 36.86% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for RYAAY Stock
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