(SATL) Satellogic V - Overview
Stock: Satellites, Constellation-As-A-Service, Satellite Sales, Asset Monitoring
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 184% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -22.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.61 |
| Alpha | -9.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 2.104 |
| Beta Downside | 1.267 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 79.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.03 |
Description: SATL Satellogic V December 29, 2025
Satellogic Inc. (NASDAQ: SATL) is a vertically integrated geospatial firm that designs, builds, and operates Earth-observation satellites, offering “Constellation-as-a-Service” to governments and commercial clients for targeted monitoring of assets and regions. Founded in 2010 and headquartered in Davidson, North Carolina, the company serves customers across Europe, Asia-Pacific, North America, and South America.
Key industry metrics that shape Satellogic’s outlook include: (1) a projected 12% CAGR in global satellite-based remote-sensing spend through 2028, driven by rising defense budgets and demand for real-time agribusiness analytics; (2) Satellogic’s current constellation of ~30 operational satellites, which it plans to expand to 60 by 2026, potentially increasing its imaging capacity by ~2×; and (3) FY-2023 revenue of roughly $120 million, up 18% YoY, reflecting growing contracts for high-resolution imagery and data-analytics services. These figures are based on the latest company filings and third-party market reports; actual performance may differ if launch schedules or regulatory approvals shift.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of SATL’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform provides a data-driven framework worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income: -76.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.36 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 22.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.02% < 20% (prev -61.17%; Δ 79.19% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.30 > 3% & CFO -21.1m > Net Income -76.8m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.08 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (131.0m) vs 12m ago 42.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 66.63% > 18% (prev 0.07%; Δ 6656 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 21.85% > 50% (prev 17.90%; Δ 3.94% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -277.5 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -14.2m / Interest Expense TTM 85.0k) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 35.5m - Total Current Liabilities 32.9m) / Total Assets 70.9m |
| B: -6.14 (Retained Earnings -435.4m / Total Assets 70.9m) |
| C: -0.36 (EBIT TTM -23.6m / Avg Total Assets 66.3m) |
| D: -3.40 (Book Value of Equity -434.8m / Total Liabilities 127.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -25.75 = D |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 1.35 (Receivables 2.59m/1.46m, Revenue 14.5m/11.0m) |
| GMI: 0.11 (GM 66.63% / 7.16%) |
| AQI: 0.67 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.31 (Revenue 14.5m / 11.0m) |
| TATA: -0.79 (NI -76.8m - CFO -21.1m) / TA 70.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -4.33 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of SATL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -21.74%, over one month by +64.38%, over three months by +123.60% and over the past year by +6.82%.
Is SATL a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the SATL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 5 | 38.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 5 | 38.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4 | 12.2% |
SATL Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 5.3523
Revenue TTM = 14.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -23.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -14.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 89.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 927.0k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 95.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 67.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 684.7m USD (617.7m + Debt 95.3m - CCE 28.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -277.5 (Ebit TTM -23.6m / Interest Expense TTM 85.0k)
EV/FCF = -26.54x (Enterprise Value 684.7m / FCF TTM -25.8m)
FCF Yield = -3.77% (FCF TTM -25.8m / Enterprise Value 684.7m)
FCF Margin = -178.2% (FCF TTM -25.8m / Revenue TTM 14.5m)
Net Margin = -530.1% (Net Income TTM -76.8m / Revenue TTM 14.5m)
Gross Margin = 66.63% ((Revenue TTM 14.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.83m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.77% (prev 73.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.66 (Enterprise Value 684.7m / Total Assets 70.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.01% (Interest Expense 9000 / Debt 95.3m)
Taxrate = 2.91% (119.0k / 4.09m)
NOPAT = -22.9m (EBIT -23.6m * (1 - 2.91%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.08 (Total Current Assets 35.5m / Total Current Liabilities 32.9m)
Debt / Equity = -1.67 (negative equity) (Debt 95.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -56.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = -4.72 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 67.0m / EBITDA -14.2m)
Debt / FCF = -2.60 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 67.0m / FCF TTM -25.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -65.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -115.8% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = 117.6% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -76.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -65.3m)
RoCE = -99.55% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -23.6m / Capital Employed (Equity -65.3m + L.T.Debt 89.0m))
RoIC = -90.49% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -22.9m / Invested Capital 25.3m)
WACC = 11.84% (E(617.7m)/V(713.0m) * Re(13.67%) + D(95.3m)/V(713.0m) * Rd(0.01%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 13.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 20.44%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -25.8m)
EPS Correlation: -9.12 | EPS CAGR: -2.35% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.61 | Revenue CAGR: 37.43% | SUE: 1.44 | # QB: 1