(SBUX) Starbucks - Ratings and Ratios
Coffee, Tea, Beverages, Food, Beans
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.47% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.42 |
| Alpha | -27.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.381 |
| Beta | 1.009 |
| Beta Downside | 1.405 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.32% |
| Mean DD | 15.98% |
| Median DD | 15.59% |
Description: SBUX Starbucks September 25, 2025
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ:SBUX) is a global coffee roaster, marketer, and retailer that sells beverages, packaged coffee, and food across three operating segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. The company’s store network includes company-owned and licensed locations, and it also distributes products through grocery, food-service, and licensed-store partners.
The brand portfolio comprises Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattle’s Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve, covering everything from premium whole-bean coffee to ready-to-drink (RTD) beverages. Licensing of the Starbucks trademark generates additional revenue streams, while the partnership with the Global Food Banking Network reflects a commitment to food-security and waste-reduction initiatives.
Assuming FY2023 results and Q2 2024 guidance are representative, key performance indicators show: • FY2023 net revenue of $32.4 bn, up ~8% YoY; • Comparable store sales growth of 6.6% globally, driven by a 9% increase in the North America segment; • A total of ~35,800 stores worldwide, with a 3% annual expansion rate; • Operating margin of ~13.5%, pressured by rising labor costs and commodity price volatility (especially Arabica coffee). Primary economic drivers include discretionary consumer spending trends, inflation-adjusted pricing power, and the cost dynamics of coffee beans and wages-factors that historically explain ~70% of Starbucks’ earnings variability.
If you want a data-rich, forward-looking view of how these drivers may affect SBUX’s valuation, a look at ValueRay’s analyst models could provide the quantitative depth needed for a more informed decision.
SBUX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 98,274m |
| Sub-Industry | Restaurants |
| IPO / Inception | 1992-06-26 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -23.1% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.65 of 5 |
SBUX Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.93% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.83% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.40% |
| Payout Consistency | 68.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 115.6% |
SBUX Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -3.33% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.09 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.21 |
| Current Volume | 6194.8k |
| Average Volume | 10507.6k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (1.86b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.23b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -2.96pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -7.61% (prev -6.14%; Δ -1.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.75b > Net Income 1.86b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (23.39b) to EBITDA (5.47b) ratio: 4.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.14b) change vs 12m ago 0.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 22.90% (prev 26.84%; Δ -3.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 117.4% (prev 115.4%; Δ 1.94pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 6.86 (EBITDA TTM 5.47b / Interest Expense TTM 542.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.86
| (A) -0.09 = (Total Current Assets 7.38b - Total Current Liabilities 10.21b) / Total Assets 32.02b |
| (B) -0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -8.27b / Total Assets 32.02b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 3.72b / Avg Total Assets 31.68b |
| (D) -0.22 = Book Value of Equity -8.73b / Total Liabilities 40.11b |
| Total Rating: -0.86 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.77
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.01% = 1.01 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.57% = 1.64 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -3.29 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 4.28 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.74)% = -0.92 |
| 7. RoE -24.05% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 46.31% = 3.47 |
| 9. EPS Trend -68.67% = -3.43 |
What is the price of SBUX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.41%, over one month by -0.29%, over three months by -7.31% and over the past year by -12.66%.
Is SBUX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SBUX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 94.2 | 12.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 94.2 | 12.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 84.5 | 0.9% |
SBUX Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 52.9875
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 2.6429
P/EG = 3.0573
Beta = 0.984
Revenue TTM = 37.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.47b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.57b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 26.61b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 121.42b USD (98.27b + Debt 26.61b - CCE 3.47b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.86 (Ebit TTM 3.72b / Interest Expense TTM 542.6m)
FCF Yield = 2.01% (FCF TTM 2.44b / Enterprise Value 121.42b)
FCF Margin = 6.57% (FCF TTM 2.44b / Revenue TTM 37.18b)
Net Margin = 4.99% (Net Income TTM 1.86b / Revenue TTM 37.18b)
Gross Margin = 22.90% ((Revenue TTM 37.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 28.67b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.11% (prev 22.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.79 (Enterprise Value 121.42b / Total Assets 32.02b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.55% (Interest Expense 145.8m / Debt 26.61b)
Taxrate = 84.04% (700.6m / 833.7m)
NOPAT = 593.8m (EBIT 3.72b * (1 - 84.04%))
Current Ratio = 0.72 (Total Current Assets 7.38b / Total Current Liabilities 10.21b)
Debt / Equity = -3.29 (negative equity) (Debt 26.61b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -8.10b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.28 (Net Debt 23.39b / EBITDA 5.47b)
Debt / FCF = 9.58 (Net Debt 23.39b / FCF TTM 2.44b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -7.72b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.80% (Net Income 1.86b / Total Assets 32.02b)
RoE = -24.05% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.86b / Total Stockholder Equity -7.72b)
RoCE = 54.29% (EBIT 3.72b / Capital Employed (Equity -7.72b + L.T.Debt 14.57b))
RoIC = 6.94% (NOPAT 593.8m / Invested Capital 8.56b)
WACC = 7.68% (E(98.27b)/V(124.89b) * Re(9.73%) + D(26.61b)/V(124.89b) * Rd(0.55%) * (1-Tc(0.84)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.57% ; FCFE base≈2.79b ; Y1≈2.41b ; Y5≈1.90b
Fair Price DCF = 23.16 (DCF Value 26.33b / Shares Outstanding 1.14b; 5y FCF grow -16.70% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -68.67 | EPS CAGR: -12.47% | SUE: -0.77 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.31 | Revenue CAGR: 3.46% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for SBUX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle