SBUX Stock Analysis: Starbucks | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 120.669m USD | 12M Return: 21.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 722M
EPS Trend: -91.1%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 82.6%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a global roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee, operating through three reportable segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. The company sells coffee, tea, other beverages, roasted and packaged coffees, single-serve products, and ready-to-drink beverages, alongside a food menu that includes pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. It runs a hybrid business model that combines company-operated retail locations with a licensed store program, as well as grocery and foodservice distribution channels. Its brand portfolio includes Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattles Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve. Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Starbucks is classified within the GICS Consumer Discretionary sector, specifically the Restaurants sub-industry, and trades as a large-cap stock with a public listing dating to 1992.
- China same-store sales decline as Luckin Coffee competition intensifies
- North America traffic recovery under new CEO turnaround strategy
- Mobile order bottlenecks and rising labor costs pressure operating margins
| Net Income: 1.98b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.00 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.22% < 20% (prev -7.42%; Δ 1.20% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 6.95b > Net Income 1.98b |
| Net Debt (28.0b) to EBITDA (5.87b): 4.76 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.14b) vs 12m ago 0.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.75% > 18% (prev 23.68%; Δ 8.07% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 123.8% > 50% (prev 109.0%; Δ 14.73% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.36 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.28b / Interest Expense TTM 582.4m) |
| A: -0.08 (Total Current Assets 7.53b - Total Current Liabilities 9.92b) / Total Assets 28.3b |
| B: -0.30 (Retained Earnings -8.54b / Total Assets 28.3b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 4.28b / Avg Total Assets 31.0b) |
| D: -0.21 (Book Value of Equity -7.67b / Total Liabilities 36.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.83 = CCC |
| DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.30b/1.24b, Revenue 38.3b/36.7b) |
| GMI: 0.75 (GM 23.68% / 31.75%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 38.3b / 36.7b) |
| TATA: -0.18 (NI 1.98b - CFO 6.95b) / TA 28.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 105.25 with a total of 12,388,715 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.94%, over one month by +2.99%, over three months by +0.51% and over the past year by +21.16%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.20 (which is 5.7% or 2.2 ATR below the current price).
Starbucks has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.66. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SBUX.
- StrongBuy: 13
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 109.9 | 4.5% |
P/E Trailing = 60.142
P/E Forward = 35.3357
P/S = 3.1366
P/B = 68.4639
P/EG = 1.2744
Revenue TTM = 38.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.87b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 9.16b
Net Debt = 28.0b USD (calculated: Debt 31.6b - CCE 3.61b)
Enterprise Value = 149b USD (121b + Debt 31.6b - CCE 3.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.36 (Ebit TTM 4.28b / Interest Expense TTM 582.4m)
EV/FCF = 29.68x (Enterprise Value 149b / FCF TTM 5.01b)
FCF Yield = 3.37% (FCF TTM 5.01b / Enterprise Value 149b)
FCF Margin = 13.06% (FCF TTM 5.01b / Revenue TTM 38.3b)
Net Margin = 5.17% (Net Income TTM 1.98b / Revenue TTM 38.3b)
Gross Margin = 31.75% ((Revenue TTM 38.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 26.2b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.66% (prev 20.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.25 (Enterprise Value 149b / Total Assets 28.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.84% (Interest Expense 582.4m / Debt 31.6b)
Taxrate = 47.09% (1.76b / 3.75b)
NOPAT = 2.27b (EBIT 4.28b * (1 - 47.09%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 7.53b / Total Current Liabilities 9.92b)
Debt / Equity = -4.12 (negative equity) (Debt 31.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.76 (Net Debt 28.0b / EBITDA 5.87b)
Debt / FCF = 5.59 (Net Debt 28.0b / FCF TTM 5.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -8.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.40% (Net Income 1.98b / Total Assets 28.3b)
RoE = -24.31% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 1.98b / Total Stockholder Equity -8.16b)
RoCE = 118.2% (EBIT 4.28b / Capital Employed (Equity -8.16b + L.T.Debt 11.8b))
RoIC = 11.79% (NOPAT 2.27b / Invested Capital 19.2b)
WACC = 7.84% (E(121b)/V(152b) * Re(9.64%) + D(31.6b)/V(152b) * Rd(1.84%) * (1-Tc(0.47)))
Discount Rate = 9.64% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 99.21 | Cagr: 0.33%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.91b ; Y1≈4.48b ; Y5≈6.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 62.45 (EV 99.2b - Net Debt 28.0b = Equity 71.2b / Shares 1.14b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -91.12 | EPS CAGR: -21.43% | SUE: 2.56 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 82.56 | Revenue CAGR: 2.10% | SUE: 0.94 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=-0.34% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=2.54 | Chg30d=+6.45% | Revisions=+74% | GrowthEPS=+19.1% | GrowthRev=+2.0%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=3.09 | Chg30d=+2.73% | Revisions=+74% | GrowthEPS=+22.0% | GrowthRev=+1.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +76% (up=32, down=3)