SBUX Stock Analysis: Starbucks | NASDAQ
Restaurants | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 120.281m USD | 12M Return: 27.9% | US8552441094 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 857M
EPS Trend: -81.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 82.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Starbucks Corporation (NASDAQ: SBUX) is a global roaster, marketer, and retailer of coffee, operating through three segments: North America, International, and Channel Development. Its stores sell coffee, tea, and other beverages alongside roasted and packaged coffees, ready-to-drink products, and a food menu including pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch items. The company also licenses its trademarks through licensed stores as well as grocery and foodservice channels, extending the brand beyond its own retail footprint.
The company markets products under multiple brands, including Starbucks Coffee, Teavana, Seattles Best Coffee, Ethos, and Starbucks Reserve, supporting a portfolio strategy that targets different price points and consumer segments. Founded in 1971 and headquartered in Seattle, Washington, Starbucks operates within the GICS Restaurants sub-industry under Consumer Discretionary, a sector characterized by hybrid company-operated and licensed store models that combine direct retail with asset-light franchise and wholesale revenue streams.
- China same-store sales decline pressures international segment growth
- North America traffic recovery under new CEO turnaround plan
- Coffee input costs and labor inflation compress operating margins
| Net Income: 2.53b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.49 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.44% < 20% (prev -7.61%; Δ 1.16% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 4.99b > Net Income 2.53b |
| Net Debt (27.7b) to EBITDA (5.95b): 4.66 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (1.14b) vs 12m ago 0.32% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.67% > 18% (prev 22.90%; Δ 19.77% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 125.5% > 50% (prev 116.1%; Δ 9.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.81 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.36b / Interest Expense TTM 557.3m) |
| A: -0.09 (Total Current Assets 7.67b - Total Current Liabilities 10.1b) / Total Assets 28.4b |
| B: -0.30 (Retained Earnings -8.58b / Total Assets 28.4b) |
| C: 0.14 (EBIT TTM 4.36b / Avg Total Assets 30.2b) |
| D: -0.21 (Book Value of Equity -7.67b / Total Liabilities 36.1b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -0.80 = CCC |
| DSRI: 0.90 (Receivables 1.18b/1.28b, Revenue 37.9b/37.2b) |
| GMI: 0.54 (GM 22.90% / 42.67%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.21 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 37.9b / 37.2b) |
| TATA: -0.09 (NI 2.53b - CFO 4.99b) / TA 28.4b) |
| Beneish M = -3.53 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
As of November 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 103.67 with a total of 14,136,369 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.85%, over one month by +8.63%, over three months by -1.50% and over the past year by +27.86%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 99.60 (which is 3.9% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Starbucks has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.66. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SBUX.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 19
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 109.9 | 6% |
P/E Trailing = 60.9884
P/E Forward = 33.0033
P/S = 3.1374
P/B = 68.4639
P/EG = 1.1365
Revenue TTM = 37.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.95b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.6b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.84b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 31.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 9.16b
Net Debt = 27.7b USD (calculated: Debt 31.6b - CCE 3.86b)
Enterprise Value = 148b USD (120b + Debt 31.6b - CCE 3.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.81 (Ebit TTM 4.36b / Interest Expense TTM 557.3m)
EV/FCF = 39.73x (Enterprise Value 148b / FCF TTM 3.72b)
FCF Yield = 2.52% (FCF TTM 3.72b / Enterprise Value 148b)
FCF Margin = 9.83% (FCF TTM 3.72b / Revenue TTM 37.9b)
Net Margin = 6.67% (Net Income TTM 2.53b / Revenue TTM 37.9b)
Gross Margin = 42.67% ((Revenue TTM 37.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 21.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.01% (prev 69.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.21 (Enterprise Value 148b / Total Assets 28.4b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.77% (Interest Expense 557.3m / Debt 31.6b)
Taxrate = 34.23% (1.31b / 3.84b)
NOPAT = 2.86b (EBIT 4.36b * (1 - 34.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 7.67b / Total Current Liabilities 10.1b)
Debt / Equity = -4.12 (negative equity) (Debt 31.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -7.67b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.66 (Net Debt 27.7b / EBITDA 5.95b)
Debt / FCF = 7.44 (Net Debt 27.7b / FCF TTM 3.72b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -8.05b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.37% (Net Income 2.53b / Total Assets 28.4b)
RoE = -31.39% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.53b / Total Stockholder Equity -8.05b)
RoCE = 66.73% (EBIT 4.36b / Capital Employed (Equity -8.05b + L.T.Debt 14.6b))
RoIC = 14.90% (NOPAT 2.86b / Invested Capital 19.2b)
WACC = 6.73% (E(120b)/V(152b) * Re(8.19%) + D(31.6b)/V(152b) * Rd(1.77%) * (1-Tc(0.34)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 99.15 | Cagr: 0.34%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈3.21b ; Y1≈3.68b ; Y5≈5.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 47.22 (EV 81.5b - Net Debt 27.7b = Equity 53.8b / Shares 1.14b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -81.47 | EPS CAGR: -18.57% | SUE: 0.64 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.99 | Revenue CAGR: 2.07% | SUE: -0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.76 | Chg30d=+0.65% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2027-09-30): EPS=3.13 | Chg30d=+0.43% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+1.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +18% (up=5, down=3)