(SCVL) Shoe Carnival - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US8248891090
Footwear, Sandals, Boots, Accessories, Athletic
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.12% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.57% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 10.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 27.7% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 77.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.63% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.96 |
| Alpha | -63.17 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.395 |
| Beta | 1.251 |
| Beta Downside | 1.057 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.79% |
| Mean DD | 24.66% |
| Median DD | 17.14% |
Description: SCVL Shoe Carnival October 23, 2025
Shoe Carnival, Inc. (NASDAQ: SCVL) is a U.S.-based family footwear retailer offering dress, casual, athletic, and specialty shoes for men, women, and children, plus accessories, through a network of brick-and-mortar stores and digital channels (shoecarnival.com, shoestation.com, and mobile apps). Founded in 1978 and headquartered in Evansville, Indiana, the company operates under the Apparel Retail sub-industry.
Key recent metrics show FY 2023 revenue of approximately $1.33 billion, with comparable-store sales up about 5 % year-over-year, while e-commerce now accounts for roughly 12 % of total sales-a modest but accelerating share. The business remains sensitive to discretionary-spending trends, with consumer confidence and inflation-adjusted footwear pricing acting as primary economic drivers; the broader value-oriented footwear segment has been expanding as shoppers seek affordable yet stylish options.
For a deeper, data-driven valuation framework, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (57.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 68.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 37.73% (prev 32.07%; Δ 5.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 81.8m > Net Income 57.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (268.4m) to EBITDA (101.9m) ratio: 2.63 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 4.05 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.6m) change vs 12m ago 0.12% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.54% (prev 35.80%; Δ 0.74pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 99.63% (prev 108.5%; Δ -8.88pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 172.6 (EBITDA TTM 101.9m / Interest Expense TTM 331.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 6.71
| (A) 0.37 = (Total Current Assets 573.0m - Total Current Liabilities 141.3m) / Total Assets 1.17b |
| (B) 0.69 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 803.9m / Total Assets 1.17b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 57.1m / Avg Total Assets 1.15b |
| (D) 1.64 = Book Value of Equity 803.9m / Total Liabilities 489.4m |
| Total Rating: 6.71 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.45
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.65% |
| 3. FCF Margin 3.07% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.53 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.63 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.26)% |
| 7. RoE 8.72% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -37.90% |
| 9. EPS Trend -70.44% |
What is the price of SCVL shares?
As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 18.74 with a total of 589,487 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.84%, over one month by +10.63%, over three months by -18.75% and over the past year by -44.03%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.84%, over one month by +10.63%, over three months by -18.75% and over the past year by -44.03%.
Is SCVL a buy, sell or hold?
Shoe Carnival has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold SCVL.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SCVL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 19 | 1.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 19 | 1.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 18.3 | -2.5% |
SCVL Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
Market Cap USD = 499.0m (499.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.681
P/E Forward = 12.3153
P/S = 0.4362
P/B = 0.7305
P/EG = 0.95
Beta = 1.317
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 57.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 101.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 362.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 51.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 362.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 268.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 754.2m USD (499.0m + Debt 362.8m - CCE 107.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 172.6 (Ebit TTM 57.1m / Interest Expense TTM 331.0k)
FCF Yield = 4.65% (FCF TTM 35.1m / Enterprise Value 754.2m)
FCF Margin = 3.07% (FCF TTM 35.1m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 5.06% (Net Income TTM 57.9m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 36.54% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 726.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.64% (prev 38.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.64 (Enterprise Value 754.2m / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 78.0k / Debt 362.8m)
Taxrate = 25.45% (5.00m / 19.6m)
NOPAT = 42.6m (EBIT 57.1m * (1 - 25.45%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 573.0m / Total Current Liabilities 141.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 362.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 683.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.63 (Net Debt 268.4m / EBITDA 101.9m)
Debt / FCF = 7.65 (Net Debt 268.4m / FCF TTM 35.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 664.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.94% (Net Income 57.9m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = 8.72% (Net Income TTM 57.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 664.1m)
RoCE = 5.56% (EBIT 57.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 664.1m + L.T.Debt 362.8m))
RoIC = 6.41% (NOPAT 42.6m / Invested Capital 664.1m)
WACC = 6.16% (E(499.0m)/V(861.8m) * Re(10.62%) + D(362.8m)/V(861.8m) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.36%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.80% ; FCFE base≈50.7m ; Y1≈33.3m ; Y5≈15.2m
Fair Price DCF = 7.58 (DCF Value 207.6m / Shares Outstanding 27.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.44 | EPS CAGR: -11.27% | SUE: -1.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.90 | Revenue CAGR: -1.41% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=-0.163 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-19.4% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%
P/E Trailing = 8.681
P/E Forward = 12.3153
P/S = 0.4362
P/B = 0.7305
P/EG = 0.95
Beta = 1.317
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 57.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 101.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 362.8m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 51.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 362.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 268.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 754.2m USD (499.0m + Debt 362.8m - CCE 107.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 172.6 (Ebit TTM 57.1m / Interest Expense TTM 331.0k)
FCF Yield = 4.65% (FCF TTM 35.1m / Enterprise Value 754.2m)
FCF Margin = 3.07% (FCF TTM 35.1m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 5.06% (Net Income TTM 57.9m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 36.54% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 726.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.64% (prev 38.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.64 (Enterprise Value 754.2m / Total Assets 1.17b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 78.0k / Debt 362.8m)
Taxrate = 25.45% (5.00m / 19.6m)
NOPAT = 42.6m (EBIT 57.1m * (1 - 25.45%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 573.0m / Total Current Liabilities 141.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 362.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 683.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.63 (Net Debt 268.4m / EBITDA 101.9m)
Debt / FCF = 7.65 (Net Debt 268.4m / FCF TTM 35.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 664.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.94% (Net Income 57.9m / Total Assets 1.17b)
RoE = 8.72% (Net Income TTM 57.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 664.1m)
RoCE = 5.56% (EBIT 57.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 664.1m + L.T.Debt 362.8m))
RoIC = 6.41% (NOPAT 42.6m / Invested Capital 664.1m)
WACC = 6.16% (E(499.0m)/V(861.8m) * Re(10.62%) + D(362.8m)/V(861.8m) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.36%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.80% ; FCFE base≈50.7m ; Y1≈33.3m ; Y5≈15.2m
Fair Price DCF = 7.58 (DCF Value 207.6m / Shares Outstanding 27.4m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -70.44 | EPS CAGR: -11.27% | SUE: -1.85 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -37.90 | Revenue CAGR: -1.41% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.19 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=-0.163 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=-19.4% | Growth Revenue=-1.4%
Additional Sources for SCVL Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle