(SERV) Serve Robotics Common Stock - Overview

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US81758H1068

Stock: Autonomous, Delivery, Robots

Total Rating 9

Risk 39

Buy Signal -0.18

Specialty Industrial Machinery » Restaurants
Age: 1.9y

Market Cap: 777m
Avg Trading Vol: 87.1M USD

ATR: 11.38%
Peers RS (IBD): 50.00

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -40.04%
EPS Trend: -30.2%

Last SUE: -2.18
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 174.11%
Rev. Trend: 83.8%

Last SUE: -0.06
Qual. Beats: 0

Risk 5d forecast
Volatility	158%
Relative Tail Risk	-16.8%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.16
Alpha	-68.78

Character TTM
Beta	2.702
Beta Downside	1.986

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	92.72%
CAGR/Max DD	-0.39

Description: SERV Serve Robotics Common Stock December 26, 2025

Serve Robotics Inc. (NASDAQ: SERV) designs, builds, and operates low-emission autonomous delivery robots that transport food orders within U.S. public spaces. Founded in 2017 and based in Redwood City, California, the firm positions itself in the GICS Restaurants sub-industry, leveraging robotics to address last-mile delivery challenges.

Key operating metrics (as of the most recent public filings) include an estimated ≈ 150 active robot units in pilot cities and a projected ≈ $12 million in 2024 revenue, reflecting a ~ 30 % year-over-year growth rate driven by rising labor costs and consumer demand for contact-less delivery. The total addressable market for autonomous food-delivery robots in the United States is roughly $5 billion, with regulatory trends (e.g., city-level sidewalk-use permits) and ESG incentives for low-emission logistics acting as primary sector drivers. Serve’s unit economics improve as battery technology advances, reducing per-delivery energy cost by an estimated 15 % YoY.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of SERV’s valuation and risk profile, consider exploring the company’s profile on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.0

Net Income: -80.2m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.88 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 10.6k% < 20% (prev 2961 %; Δ 7679 % < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.19 > 3% & CFO -56.9m > Net Income -80.2m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 17.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (58.5m) vs 12m ago 44.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 1.08% > 50% (prev 2.73%; Δ -1.65% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -8225 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -77.0m / Interest Expense TTM 9806 )

Altman Z'' -12.40

A: 0.69 (Total Current Assets 219.7m - Total Current Liabilities 12.8m) / Total Assets 299.1m
B: -0.58 (Retained Earnings -174.6m / Total Assets 299.1m)
C: -0.45 (EBIT TTM -80.7m / Avg Total Assets 180.3m)
D: -11.45 (Book Value of Equity -174.5m / Total Liabilities 15.2m)
Altman-Z'' Score: -12.40 = D

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 98.42 (Receivables 1.49m/13.1k, Revenue 1.94m/1.68m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 18.17 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 1.94m / 1.68m)
TATA: -0.08 (NI -80.2m - CFO -56.9m) / TA 299.1m)
Beneish M-Score: 87.36 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of SERV shares?

As of February 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.68 with a total of 5,269,922 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.34%, over one month by -30.73%, over three months by +0.23% and over the past year by -49.41%.

Is SERV a buy, sell or hold?

Serve Robotics Common Stock has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy SERV.

StrongBuy: 5
Buy: 0
Hold: 0
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SERV price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	18.9	76.6%
Analysts Target Price	18.9	76.6%
ValueRay Target Price	9.6	-10.2%

SERV Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026

P/S = 399.6976
P/B = 2.738
Revenue TTM = 1.94m USD
EBIT TTM = -80.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -77.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 4.15m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.67m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.15m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -112.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 570.9m USD (777.2m + Debt 4.15m - CCE 210.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -8225 (Ebit TTM -80.7m / Interest Expense TTM 9806 )
EV/FCF = -6.88x (Enterprise Value 570.9m / FCF TTM -83.0m)
FCF Yield = -14.53% (FCF TTM -83.0m / Enterprise Value 570.9m)
FCF Margin = -4266 % (FCF TTM -83.0m / Revenue TTM 1.94m)
Net Margin = -4124 % (Net Income TTM -80.2m / Revenue TTM 1.94m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 1.94m - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.91 (Enterprise Value 570.9m / Total Assets 299.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.15% (Interest Expense 6403 / Debt 4.15m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -63.7m (EBIT -80.7m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 17.21 (Total Current Assets 219.7m / Total Current Liabilities 12.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 4.15m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 283.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.46 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -112.7m / EBITDA -77.0m)
Debt / FCF = 1.36 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -112.7m / FCF TTM -83.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 208.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -44.49% (Net Income -80.2m / Total Assets 299.1m)
RoE = -38.52% (Net Income TTM -80.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 208.2m)
RoCE = -37.98% (EBIT -80.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 208.2m + L.T.Debt 4.15m))
RoIC = -30.60% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -63.7m / Invested Capital 208.2m)
WACC = 15.79% (E(777.2m)/V(781.4m) * Re(15.87%) + D(4.15m)/V(781.4m) * Rd(0.15%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 15.87% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 25.81%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -83.0m)
EPS Correlation: -30.23 | EPS CAGR: -40.04% | SUE: -2.18 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.82 | Revenue CAGR: 174.1% | SUE: -0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.44 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.77 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=-37.1% | Growth Revenue=+1106.8%

Additional Sources for SERV Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle