(SHOO) Steven Madden - Overview
Stock: Footwear, Handbags, Apparel, Accessories, Licensing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.70% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.51% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 39.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 1.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 69.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.8% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.10 |
| Alpha | -23.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.455 |
| Beta Downside | 1.166 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 60.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.06 |
Description: SHOO Steven Madden January 15, 2026
Steven Madden Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) designs, sources, and markets fashion-forward footwear, accessories, and apparel under its own brands (Steve Madden, Dolce Vita, Betsey Johnson, etc.) and private-label lines. The company operates four segments: Wholesale Footwear, Wholesale Accessories/Apparel, Direct-to-Consumer (brick-and-mortar stores, outlets, and e-commerce), and Licensing, distributing products through department stores, mass merchants, specialty retailers, and its own channels.
Key operating metrics that investors watch include: • FY 2023 net revenue of $2.3 billion, up ~6% YoY, driven by a 9% rise in wholesale volume and a 15% jump in e-commerce sales, which now represent roughly 22% of total revenue. • Gross margin held steady at 46%, reflecting effective cost-control amid rising raw-material prices. • Same-store sales at company-run retail locations grew 8% in Q4 2024, indicating resilience in the discretionary consumer segment. Macro drivers such as U.S. consumer confidence, disposable-income trends, and the broader footwear market’s shift toward “affordable luxury” and online shopping are critical to SHOO’s outlook.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may explore the SHOO valuation metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 56.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.68 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 22.03% < 20% (prev 22.15%; Δ -0.12% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 171.5m > Net Income 56.3m |
| Net Debt (431.5m) to EBITDA (111.8m): 3.86 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.91 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (71.2m) vs 12m ago -0.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 40.85% > 18% (prev 0.41%; Δ 4043 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 136.7% > 50% (prev 152.4%; Δ -15.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.29 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 111.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m) |
Altman Z'' 6.53
| A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 1.09b - Total Current Liabilities 572.2m) / Total Assets 2.00b |
| B: 0.88 (Retained Earnings 1.76b / Total Assets 2.00b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 81.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.73b) |
| D: 1.55 (Book Value of Equity 1.73b / Total Liabilities 1.11b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.53 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.95
| DSRI: 0.85 (Receivables 451.1m/497.7m, Revenue 2.36b/2.22b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 40.85% / 41.27%) |
| AQI: 1.34 (AQ_t 0.29 / AQ_t-1 0.21) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 2.36b / 2.22b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 56.3m - CFO 171.5m) / TA 2.00b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.95 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of SHOO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -21.37%, over one month by -20.84%, over three months by -6.95% and over the past year by -5.55%.
Is SHOO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SHOO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 47.8 | 38.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 47.8 | 38.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 35.2 | 1.9% |
SHOO Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.0
P/S = 1.3494
P/B = 3.7531
P/EG = 1.83
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 81.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 111.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 293.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 56.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 540.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 431.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.62b USD (3.19b + Debt 540.2m - CCE 108.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.29 (Ebit TTM 81.4m / Interest Expense TTM 7.91m)
EV/FCF = 27.19x (Enterprise Value 3.62b / FCF TTM 133.1m)
FCF Yield = 3.68% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Enterprise Value 3.62b)
FCF Margin = 5.63% (FCF TTM 133.1m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 2.38% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 40.85% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.53% (prev 40.43%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 3.62b / Total Assets 2.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 4.95m / Debt 540.2m)
Taxrate = 17.39% (4.59m / 26.4m)
NOPAT = 67.3m (EBIT 81.4m * (1 - 17.39%))
Current Ratio = 1.91 (Total Current Assets 1.09b / Total Current Liabilities 572.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.63 (Debt 540.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 850.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.86 (Net Debt 431.5m / EBITDA 111.8m)
Debt / FCF = 3.24 (Net Debt 431.5m / FCF TTM 133.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 851.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.26% (Net Income 56.3m / Total Assets 2.00b)
RoE = 6.61% (Net Income TTM 56.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 851.8m)
RoCE = 7.11% (EBIT 81.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 851.8m + L.T.Debt 293.8m))
RoIC = 6.74% (NOPAT 67.3m / Invested Capital 998.6m)
WACC = 9.76% (E(3.19b)/V(3.73b) * Re(11.28%) + D(540.2m)/V(3.73b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 11.28% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.06% ; FCFF base≈169.3m ; Y1≈145.7m ; Y5≈114.4m
Fair Price DCF = 15.54 (EV 1.56b - Net Debt 431.5m = Equity 1.13b / Shares 72.7m; r=9.76% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -16.93% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -53.19 | EPS CAGR: -21.57% | SUE: -1.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 40.68 | Revenue CAGR: 3.91% | SUE: -1.94 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.37 | Chg30d=+0.039 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=+40.1% | Growth Revenue=+12.0%