(SMCI) Super Micro Computer - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US86800U3023
Stock: Server, Storage, Blade, AI, Rackmount
Total Rating 31
Risk 35
Buy Signal 0.26
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 119% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.39 |
| Alpha | -17.80 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.982 |
| Beta Downside | 2.366 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.84% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.67 |
Description: SMCI Super Micro Computer December 17, 2025
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) designs and sells modular, open-standard server and storage platforms-including liquid-cooled AI servers, blade systems (SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, etc.), rack-mount, edge, and 5G/IoT solutions-plus a suite of remote management tools and full-rack deployment services for enterprise data centers, cloud providers, and AI/HPC customers worldwide.
Key recent metrics: FY 2024 revenue rose ~23% YoY to $6.4 bn, driven by a 42% surge in AI-optimized server sales; gross margin expanded to 31% as higher-margin GPU-centric systems offset rising component costs. The global AI server market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~30% through 2028, while overall data-center capex remains robust despite macro-economic headwinds, supporting SMCI’s growth outlook.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, consider exploring ValueRay’s analytics to complement your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: 872.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 23.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 38.24% < 20% (prev 35.11%; Δ 3.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 549.0m > Net Income 872.8m |
| Net Debt (765.3m) to EBITDA (1.20b): 0.64 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.70 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (674.1m) vs 12m ago 5.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 8.02% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 789.6% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 148.7% > 50% (prev 214.0%; Δ -65.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 13.17 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 86.0m) |
Altman Z'' 3.73
| A: 0.38 (Total Current Assets 26.12b - Total Current Liabilities 15.40b) / Total Assets 28.00b |
| B: 0.14 (Retained Earnings 4.00b / Total Assets 28.00b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 1.13b / Avg Total Assets 18.86b) |
| D: 0.33 (Book Value of Equity 6.99b / Total Liabilities 21.01b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.73 = AA |
Beneish M -1.01
| DSRI: 2.67 (Receivables 11.00b/3.06b, Revenue 28.06b/20.82b) |
| GMI: 1.55 (GM 8.02% / 12.44%) |
| AQI: 0.80 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.35 (Revenue 28.06b / 20.82b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 872.8m - CFO 549.0m) / TA 28.00b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.01 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of SMCI shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 34.38 with a total of 49,279,810 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +18.10%, over one month by +12.57%, over three months by -14.76% and over the past year by +1.60%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +18.10%, over one month by +12.57%, over three months by -14.76% and over the past year by +1.60%.
Is SMCI a buy, sell or hold?
Super Micro Computer has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.33.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold SMCI.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the SMCI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.2 | 25.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.2 | 25.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 45.3 | 31.7% |
SMCI Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.5182
P/E Forward = 17.8571
P/S = 0.6564
P/B = 2.8824
P/EG = 0.76
Revenue TTM = 28.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 201.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 765.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.18b USD (18.42b + Debt 4.86b - CCE 4.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.17 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 86.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.59x (Enterprise Value 19.18b / FCF TTM 440.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.29% (FCF TTM 440.1m / Enterprise Value 19.18b)
FCF Margin = 1.57% (FCF TTM 440.1m / Revenue TTM 28.06b)
Net Margin = 3.11% (Net Income TTM 872.8m / Revenue TTM 28.06b)
Gross Margin = 8.02% ((Revenue TTM 28.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.30% (prev 9.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 19.18b / Total Assets 28.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 25.4m / Debt 4.86b)
Taxrate = 19.84% (99.2m / 499.7m)
NOPAT = 907.8m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 19.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.70 (Total Current Assets 26.12b / Total Current Liabilities 15.40b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 4.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.64 (Net Debt 765.3m / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 765.3m / FCF TTM 440.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.63% (Net Income 872.8m / Total Assets 28.00b)
RoE = 13.33% (Net Income TTM 872.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.55b)
RoCE = 10.08% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.55b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 8.72% (NOPAT 907.8m / Invested Capital 10.41b)
WACC = 10.55% (E(18.42b)/V(23.27b) * Re(13.22%) + D(4.86b)/V(23.27b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 13.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.69% ; FCFF base≈440.1m ; Y1≈288.9m ; Y5≈131.8m
Fair Price DCF = 1.73 (EV 1.80b - Net Debt 765.3m = Equity 1.03b / Shares 597.0m; r=10.55% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -63.14 | EPS CAGR: -19.41% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.59 | Revenue CAGR: 81.54% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+0.088 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.24 | Chg30d=+0.180 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+87.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.99 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+33.6% | Growth Revenue=+19.0%
P/E Forward = 17.8571
P/S = 0.6564
P/B = 2.8824
P/EG = 0.76
Revenue TTM = 28.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.13b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.68b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 201.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.86b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 765.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 19.18b USD (18.42b + Debt 4.86b - CCE 4.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 13.17 (Ebit TTM 1.13b / Interest Expense TTM 86.0m)
EV/FCF = 43.59x (Enterprise Value 19.18b / FCF TTM 440.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.29% (FCF TTM 440.1m / Enterprise Value 19.18b)
FCF Margin = 1.57% (FCF TTM 440.1m / Revenue TTM 28.06b)
Net Margin = 3.11% (Net Income TTM 872.8m / Revenue TTM 28.06b)
Gross Margin = 8.02% ((Revenue TTM 28.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 25.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.30% (prev 9.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 19.18b / Total Assets 28.00b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 25.4m / Debt 4.86b)
Taxrate = 19.84% (99.2m / 499.7m)
NOPAT = 907.8m (EBIT 1.13b * (1 - 19.84%))
Current Ratio = 1.70 (Total Current Assets 26.12b / Total Current Liabilities 15.40b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 4.86b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.99b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.64 (Net Debt 765.3m / EBITDA 1.20b)
Debt / FCF = 1.74 (Net Debt 765.3m / FCF TTM 440.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.63% (Net Income 872.8m / Total Assets 28.00b)
RoE = 13.33% (Net Income TTM 872.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.55b)
RoCE = 10.08% (EBIT 1.13b / Capital Employed (Equity 6.55b + L.T.Debt 4.68b))
RoIC = 8.72% (NOPAT 907.8m / Invested Capital 10.41b)
WACC = 10.55% (E(18.42b)/V(23.27b) * Re(13.22%) + D(4.86b)/V(23.27b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 13.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 7.73%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.69% ; FCFF base≈440.1m ; Y1≈288.9m ; Y5≈131.8m
Fair Price DCF = 1.73 (EV 1.80b - Net Debt 765.3m = Equity 1.03b / Shares 597.0m; r=10.55% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -63.14 | EPS CAGR: -19.41% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.59 | Revenue CAGR: 81.54% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=+0.088 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=2.24 | Chg30d=+0.180 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+87.9%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=2.99 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+33.6% | Growth Revenue=+19.0%