(SNBR) Sleep Number - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US83125X1037

Smart Beds, Adjustable Bases, Pillows, Sheets, Bedding

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 100%
Value at Risk 5%th 136%
Relative Tail Risk -17.51%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio -0.36
Alpha -80.96
CAGR/Max DD -0.36
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.780
Beta 1.916
Beta Downside 2.166
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 91.05%
Mean DD 60.28%
Median DD 65.37%

Description: SNBR Sleep Number October 29, 2025

Sleep Number Corp (NASDAQ: SNBR) designs, manufactures, markets and services a portfolio of sleep solutions-including smart beds, adjustable bases, pillows and bedding-through a direct-to-consumer model that spans retail stores, e-commerce, phone and chat channels. The firm, originally incorporated as Select Comfort in 1987 and renamed in 2017, is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota, and operates within the Homefurnishing Retail sub-industry.

Key recent metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of roughly $1.6 billion, a gross margin near 38 %, and a 12 % year-over-year increase in online sales share, now accounting for about 30 % of total revenue. The business is sensitive to macro-level consumer discretionary spending and housing market dynamics; higher interest rates tend to suppress new-home purchases and, by extension, furniture demand, while a continued shift toward “smart home” integration supports premium pricing for connected sleep products. The broader home-furnishings sector is also benefitting from a modest rebound in in-store traffic after pandemic-era lockdowns, which helps drive same-store sales growth.

For a deeper quantitative dive-including valuation multiples, peer comparisons, and scenario analysis-explore the detailed analyst toolkit on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0

Net Income (-78.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 86.5m TTM)
FCFTA -0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.79pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -50.59% (prev -41.72%; Δ -8.88pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA -0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO -28.5m > Net Income -78.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (939.4m) to EBITDA (22.8m) ratio: 41.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (23.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.66% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 60.05% (prev 58.80%; Δ 1.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 178.5% (prev 200.7%; Δ -22.12pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -0.76 (EBITDA TTM 22.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -9.54

(A) -0.97 = (Total Current Assets 169.8m - Total Current Liabilities 898.8m) / Total Assets 749.4m
(B) -0.74 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -552.6m / Total Assets 749.4m
(C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -35.8m / Avg Total Assets 807.0m
(D) -0.43 = Book Value of Equity -552.4m / Total Liabilities 1.27b
Total Rating: -9.54 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 16.64

1. Piotroski 2.0pt
2. FCF Yield -4.58%
3. FCF Margin -3.47%
4. Debt/Equity -1.80
5. Debt/Ebitda 41.13
6. ROIC - WACC (= -34.53)%
7. RoE 16.35%
8. Rev. Trend -91.30%
9. EPS Trend -75.60%

What is the price of SNBR shares?

As of December 14, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 8.46 with a total of 769,961 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +27.03%, over one month by +100.95%, over three months by -9.81% and over the past year by -58.20%.

Is SNBR a buy, sell or hold?

Sleep Number has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold SNBR.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the SNBR price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 5.5 -35%
Analysts Target Price 5.5 -35%
ValueRay Target Price 5.8 -31.6%

SNBR Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025

Market Cap USD = 151.8m (151.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 714.2857
P/S = 0.1053
Beta = 1.914
Revenue TTM = 1.44b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 546.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 661.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 940.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 939.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.09b USD (151.8m + Debt 940.7m - CCE 1.26m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.76 (Ebit TTM -35.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.2m)
FCF Yield = -4.58% (FCF TTM -50.0m / Enterprise Value 1.09b)
FCF Margin = -3.47% (FCF TTM -50.0m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Net Margin = -5.42% (Net Income TTM -78.1m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Gross Margin = 60.05% ((Revenue TTM 1.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 575.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.90% (prev 59.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.46 (Enterprise Value 1.09b / Total Assets 749.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 940.7m)
Taxrate = 24.93% (-13.2m / -53.0m)
NOPAT = -26.8m (EBIT -35.8m * (1 - 24.93%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.19 (Total Current Assets 169.8m / Total Current Liabilities 898.8m)
Debt / Equity = -1.80 (negative equity) (Debt 940.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -521.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 41.13 (Net Debt 939.4m / EBITDA 22.8m)
Debt / FCF = -18.80 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 939.4m / FCF TTM -50.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -477.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -10.42% (Net Income -78.1m / Total Assets 749.4m)
RoE = 16.35% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -78.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -477.6m)
RoCE = -51.66% (EBIT -35.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -477.6m + L.T.Debt 546.8m))
RoIC = -31.84% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -26.8m / Invested Capital 84.3m)
WACC = 2.69% (E(151.8m)/V(1.09b) * Re(13.07%) + D(940.7m)/V(1.09b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 13.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.06%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -50.0m)
EPS Correlation: -75.60 | EPS CAGR: -68.73% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.30 | Revenue CAGR: -9.18% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.20 | Chg30d=-0.325 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.97 | Chg30d=-1.180 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+74.3% | Growth Revenue=-1.3%

Additional Sources for SNBR Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle