(SNBR) Sleep Number - Overview
Stock: Smart Bed, Adjustable Base, Pillow, Sheet, Bedding
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 95.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.0% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.18 |
| Alpha | -59.78 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.907 |
| Beta Downside | 2.496 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 90.67% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.31 |
Description: SNBR Sleep Number January 01, 2026
Sleep Number Corp (NASDAQ:SNBR) designs, manufactures, markets, distributes, retails, and services a full line of sleep solutions-including smart beds, adjustable bases, pillows, and bedding-primarily in the United States. The company reaches customers through its own retail stores, e-commerce platform, phone, and chat channels, and rebranded from Select Comfort in November 2017 after being incorporated in 1987 and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $2.0 billion, with adjusted EBITDA margin hovering around 10 %, and direct-to-consumer sales growing roughly 15 % year-over-year, reflecting strong consumer appetite for personalized sleep technology. The business is sensitive to macro-economic drivers such as discretionary spending trends, housing market activity (which fuels new-home furnishing purchases), and growing health-consciousness around sleep quality-a sector tailwind that has accelerated demand for smart-bed platforms.
For a deeper, data-driven view of SNBR’s valuation and risk profile, you might explore the analytics available on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income: -78.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.79 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -50.59% < 20% (prev -41.72%; Δ -8.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -28.5m > Net Income -78.1m |
| Net Debt (939.4m) to EBITDA (22.8m): 41.13 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (23.0m) vs 12m ago 1.66% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 60.05% > 18% (prev 0.59%; Δ 5946 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 178.5% > 50% (prev 200.7%; Δ -22.12% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -0.76 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 22.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.2m) |
Altman Z'' -9.54
| A: -0.97 (Total Current Assets 169.8m - Total Current Liabilities 898.8m) / Total Assets 749.4m |
| B: -0.74 (Retained Earnings -552.6m / Total Assets 749.4m) |
| C: -0.04 (EBIT TTM -35.8m / Avg Total Assets 807.0m) |
| D: -0.43 (Book Value of Equity -552.4m / Total Liabilities 1.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -9.54 = D |
Beneish M -3.23
| DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 13.9m/17.0m, Revenue 1.44b/1.73b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 60.05% / 58.80%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.22 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 0.83 (Revenue 1.44b / 1.73b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI -78.1m - CFO -28.5m) / TA 749.4m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.23 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of SNBR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.58%, over one month by +59.84%, over three months by +150.31% and over the past year by -29.60%.
Is SNBR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SNBR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9 | -24.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9 | -24.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.1 | -7.3% |
SNBR Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/S = 0.1868
Revenue TTM = 1.44b USD
EBIT TTM = -35.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 546.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 661.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 940.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 939.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.21b USD (269.1m + Debt 940.7m - CCE 1.26m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.76 (Ebit TTM -35.8m / Interest Expense TTM 47.2m)
EV/FCF = -24.18x (Enterprise Value 1.21b / FCF TTM -50.0m)
FCF Yield = -4.14% (FCF TTM -50.0m / Enterprise Value 1.21b)
FCF Margin = -3.47% (FCF TTM -50.0m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Net Margin = -5.42% (Net Income TTM -78.1m / Revenue TTM 1.44b)
Gross Margin = 60.05% ((Revenue TTM 1.44b - Cost of Revenue TTM 575.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.90% (prev 59.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.61 (Enterprise Value 1.21b / Total Assets 749.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.35% (Interest Expense 12.7m / Debt 940.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -28.3m (EBIT -35.8m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.19 (Total Current Assets 169.8m / Total Current Liabilities 898.8m)
Debt / Equity = -1.80 (negative equity) (Debt 940.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -521.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 41.13 (Net Debt 939.4m / EBITDA 22.8m)
Debt / FCF = -18.80 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 939.4m / FCF TTM -50.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -477.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -9.68% (Net Income -78.1m / Total Assets 749.4m)
RoE = 16.35% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM -78.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -477.6m)
RoCE = -51.66% (EBIT -35.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -477.6m + L.T.Debt 546.8m))
RoIC = -33.51% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -28.3m / Invested Capital 84.3m)
WACC = 3.71% (E(269.1m)/V(1.21b) * Re(12.94%) + D(940.7m)/V(1.21b) * Rd(1.35%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.06%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -50.0m)
EPS Correlation: -75.60 | EPS CAGR: -68.73% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -91.30 | Revenue CAGR: -9.18% | SUE: -1.22 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.14 | Chg30d=+0.060 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.64 | Chg30d=+0.327 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+82.9% | Growth Revenue=-1.8%