SPT Stock Analysis: Sprout Social | NASDAQ

Social Management, Publishing, Customer Care, Analytics

Total Rating 36

Safety 16

Buy Signal 0.37

Software - Application
Industry Rotation: -15.8

Market Cap: 578M
Avg Turnover: 11.6M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility65.2%

VaR 5^th Pctl11.4%

VaR vs Median6.26%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.01

Rel. Str. IBD84.3

Rel. Str. Peer Group75.8

Character TTM

Beta1.231

Beta Downside1.875

Hurst Exponent0.363

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD92.46%

CAGR/Max DD-0.44

CAGR/Mean DD-0.68

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 3.56
Qual. Beats: 7

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 16.40%
Rev. Trend: 98.3%

Last SUE: 3.21
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 6.8 years of data

Jan +6.3% 17

Feb -4.4% 33

Mar -1.8% 16

Apr -6.8% 3

May -6.2% 17

Jun +11.6% 57

Jul +4.2% 2

Aug +10.5% 0

Sep -4.8% 29

Oct -7.2% 30

Nov +3.8% 25

Dec -1.0% 15

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: SPT Sprout Social

Sprout Social, Inc. (NASDAQ: SPT) is a U.S.-headquartered software company that designs and operates a cloud-based social media management platform serving customers across the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific region. Founded in 2010 and based in Chicago, the company operates under a Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) model, providing subscription-based access to a unified platform for social messaging, data, and workflows, supported by professional consulting and training services.

Its offering centers on AI-powered tools spanning publishing and scheduling, social customer care, analytics and reporting, social listening, reputation and review management, social commerce, influencer marketing, predictive media intelligence, employee advocacy, and workflow automation. The platform also includes contact center features such as a smart inbox, case management, social CRM, and chatbot creation, alongside content planning, asset libraries, governance, and reporting APIs.

Sprout Social went public in December 2019 and is classified within the Application Software sub-industry of the Information Technology sector. Its customer base ranges from small-and-medium-sized businesses and mid-market firms to large enterprises, marketing agencies, and government, non-profit, and educational institutions, with use cases spanning marketing, public relations, customer service, commerce, recruiting, and product development.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Enterprise customer count growth drives accelerating ARR expansion
AI-powered feature suite lifts average revenue per user
Competition from HubSpot and Salesforce pressures mid-market pricing

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5

Net Income: -29.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.25 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 1.26% < 20% (prev -0.19%; Δ 1.45% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 53.9m > Net Income -29.5m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (60.2m) vs 12m ago 3.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: 77.45% > 18% (prev 77.62%; Δ -0.17% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 102.0% > 50% (prev 101.9%; Δ 0.10% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -9.13 > 6 (EBIT TTM -26.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.86m)

Altman Z'' -2.02

A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 242.2m - Total Current Liabilities 236.1m) / Total Assets 522.2m
B: -0.78 (Retained Earnings -407.1m / Total Assets 522.2m)
C: -0.06 (EBIT TTM -26.1m / Avg Total Assets 472.6m)
D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 228.6m / Total Liabilities 293.7m)
Altman-Z'' = -2.02 = D

Beneish M -2.85

DSRI: 1.04 (Receivables 78.1m/67.3m, Revenue 481.8m/430.8m)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 77.62% / 77.45%)
AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.52 / AQ_t-1 0.46)
SGI: 1.12 (Revenue 481.8m / 430.8m)
TATA: -0.16 (NI -29.5m - CFO 53.9m) / TA 522.2m)
Beneish M = -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of SPT shares?

As of October 02, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 10.38 with a total of 766,650 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.79%, over one month by -9.50%, over three months by +29.91% and over the past year by -16.76%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 9.60 (which is 7.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is SPT a buy, sell or hold?

Sprout Social has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.71. Therefore, it is recommended to hold SPT.

StrongBuy: 5
Buy: 2
Hold: 6
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the SPT price?

Analysts Target Price	10.4	0.6%

Sprout Social (SPT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 27 September 2026

Market Cap USD = 578.0m (578.0m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 5.4407
P/S = 1.1997
P/B = 2.6392
P/EG = 0.1586
Revenue TTM = 481.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -26.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = -12.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 32.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.80m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 48.7m USD (corrected: LT Debt 32.5m + ST Debt 2.80m) + Leases 13.4m
Net Debt = -71.2m USD (calculated: Debt 48.7m - CCE 119.9m)
Enterprise Value = 506.8m USD (578.0m + Debt 48.7m - CCE 119.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.13 (Ebit TTM -26.1m / Interest Expense TTM 2.86m)
EV/FCF = 9.73x (Enterprise Value 506.8m / FCF TTM 52.1m)
FCF Yield = 10.28% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Enterprise Value 506.8m)
FCF Margin = 10.81% (FCF TTM 52.1m / Revenue TTM 481.8m)
Net Margin = -6.13% (Net Income TTM -29.5m / Revenue TTM 481.8m)
Gross Margin = 77.45% ((Revenue TTM 481.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 108.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.59% (prev 76.96%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.97 (Enterprise Value 506.8m / Total Assets 522.2m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.88% (Interest Expense 2.86m / Debt 48.7m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -20.6m (EBIT -26.1m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 242.2m / Total Current Liabilities 236.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.21 (Debt 48.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 228.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.93 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -71.2m / EBITDA -12.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.37 (Net Debt -71.2m / FCF TTM 52.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 210.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -6.25% (Net Income -29.5m / Total Assets 522.2m)
RoE = -14.05% (Net Income TTM -29.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 210.3m)
RoCE = -10.76% (EBIT -26.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 210.3m + L.T.Debt 32.5m))
RoIC = -7.79% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -20.6m / Invested Capital 264.8m)
WACC = 9.87% (E(578.0m)/V(626.7m) * Re(10.31%) + D(48.7m)/V(626.7m) * Rd(5.88%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 99.88 | Cagr: 3.02%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.21% ; FCFF base≈44.3m ; Y1≈50.8m ; Y5≈74.8m
[DCF] Fair Price = 17.41 (EV 887.0m - Net Debt -71.2m = Equity 958.2m / Shares 55.0m; r=9.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 3.56 | # QB: 7
Revenue Correlation: 98.30 | Revenue CAGR: 16.40% | SUE: 3.21 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.29 | Chg30d=+21.51% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.13 | Chg30d=+22.18% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+37.6% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=+29.90% | Revisions=+75% | GrowthEPS=+36.5% | GrowthRev=+6.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +90% (up=27, down=0)