(STRT) Strattec Security - Overview
Stock: Lock, Key, Fob, Latch, Switch
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 62.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.82% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.73 |
| Alpha | 129.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.318 |
| Beta Downside | 1.334 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.70 |
Description: STRT Strattec Security December 31, 2025
Strattec Security Corp. (NASDAQ: STRT) designs, develops, manufactures, and markets a broad portfolio of automotive security and access-control hardware, ranging from mechanical locks and electronic fobs to “phone-as-key” and digital-key solutions, as well as related interior controls such as e-shifters and paddle switches.
The company sells primarily to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) of cars and light trucks, but also serves aftermarket distributors and a limited set of non-automotive customers. Its product mix reflects a shift toward software-enabled entry systems, which are increasingly required for electric-vehicle (EV) platforms and connected-car architectures.
Key financial and market data (FY 2023): revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, operating margin of 6.5 %, and a backlog of multi-year contracts representing about 20 % of annual sales. The automotive parts sector is currently driven by three macro forces: (1) the rapid rollout of EVs, which raises demand for secure, OTA-updatable access solutions; (2) tightening global emissions standards that push OEMs toward lighter, integrated electronic modules; and (3) supply-chain volatility, especially for semiconductor components that underpin many of Strattec’s electronic lock systems.
Assuming the company can maintain its OEM relationships while expanding its software-based services, the incremental revenue upside from “phone-as-key” deployments could be on the order of 3-5 % CAGR over the next three years, but this is contingent on successful integration with major EV platforms.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Strattec’s valuation and risk profile, you might find the analytics on ValueRay worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 23.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 11.63 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 30.02% < 20% (prev 26.08%; Δ 3.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 71.7m > Net Income 23.5m |
| Net Debt (-85.5m) to EBITDA (46.0m): -1.86 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.13m) vs 12m ago 2.00% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.90% > 18% (prev 0.12%; Δ 1578 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 152.8% > 50% (prev 147.6%; Δ 5.26% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 35.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 46.0m / Interest Expense TTM 868.0k) |
Altman Z'' 7.85
| A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 290.1m - Total Current Liabilities 116.5m) / Total Assets 390.1m |
| B: 0.71 (Retained Earnings 277.8m / Total Assets 390.1m) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 31.2m / Avg Total Assets 378.5m) |
| D: 1.95 (Book Value of Equity 262.4m / Total Liabilities 134.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 7.85 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.29
| DSRI: 0.94 (Receivables 122.9m/122.9m, Revenue 578.4m/541.4m) |
| GMI: 0.76 (GM 15.90% / 12.13%) |
| AQI: 1.14 (AQ_t 0.06 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 578.4m / 541.4m) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 23.5m - CFO 71.7m) / TA 390.1m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.29 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of STRT shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +14.35%, over one month by +20.67%, over three months by +33.44% and over the past year by +136.52%.
Is STRT a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the STRT price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 89 | -1.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 89 | -1.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 107.6 | 19% |
STRT Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Forward = 19.4932
P/S = 0.5725
P/B = 1.4305
P/EG = 1.3855
Revenue TTM = 578.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 31.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.00m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.00m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -85.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 245.7m USD (331.1m + Debt 5.00m - CCE 90.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 35.89 (Ebit TTM 31.2m / Interest Expense TTM 868.0k)
EV/FCF = 3.78x (Enterprise Value 245.7m / FCF TTM 65.1m)
FCF Yield = 26.48% (FCF TTM 65.1m / Enterprise Value 245.7m)
FCF Margin = 11.25% (FCF TTM 65.1m / Revenue TTM 578.4m)
Net Margin = 4.06% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Revenue TTM 578.4m)
Gross Margin = 15.90% ((Revenue TTM 578.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 486.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 17.28% (prev 16.71%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.63 (Enterprise Value 245.7m / Total Assets 390.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.12% (Interest Expense 156.0k / Debt 5.00m)
Taxrate = 21.63% (2.36m / 10.9m)
NOPAT = 24.4m (EBIT 31.2m * (1 - 21.63%))
Current Ratio = 2.49 (Total Current Assets 290.1m / Total Current Liabilities 116.5m)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 5.00m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 230.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.86 (Net Debt -85.5m / EBITDA 46.0m)
Debt / FCF = -1.31 (Net Debt -85.5m / FCF TTM 65.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 216.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.21% (Net Income 23.5m / Total Assets 390.1m)
RoE = 10.84% (Net Income TTM 23.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 216.8m)
RoCE = 13.85% (EBIT 31.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 216.8m + L.T.Debt 8.00m))
RoIC = 10.77% (NOPAT 24.4m / Invested Capital 226.6m)
WACC = 10.65% (E(331.1m)/V(336.1m) * Re(10.77%) + D(5.00m)/V(336.1m) * Rd(3.12%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 10.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 59.33% ; FCFF base≈46.4m ; Y1≈30.5m ; Y5≈13.9m
Fair Price DCF = 65.30 (EV 187.8m - Net Debt -85.5m = Equity 273.3m / Shares 4.19m; r=10.65% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-40.0%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 53.39 | EPS CAGR: -17.49% | SUE: -1.80 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.04 | Revenue CAGR: 8.33% | SUE: 1.83 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.47 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=5.40 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+0.4% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=5.79 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+7.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.1%