(SVCO) Silvaco , Common Stock - Overview
Stock: TCAD Software, EDA Tools, SIP
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 77.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.65 |
| Alpha | -76.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.606 |
| Beta Downside | 1.353 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 82.03% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.74 |
Description: SVCO Silvaco , Common Stock January 17, 2026
Silvaco Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: SVCO) develops and sells computer-aided design (TCAD) and electronic design automation (EDA) software, as well as semiconductor intellectual property (SIP) solutions, to a global client base that includes semiconductor fabs, OEMs, and ODMs.
The TCAD suite supports process-level simulations such as etch, deposition, doping-profile calibration, photonics (solar cells, CCDs, OLEDs), single-event effects, and mechanical stress. The EDA portfolio covers analog/mixed-signal/RF circuit simulation, custom IC CAD, and interconnect modeling for a wide range of device types (CMOS, Si-on-Insulator, HEMT, IGBT, TFT, etc.), plus SPICE modeling services. Silvaco also offers SIP services-including standard-cell library creation, IP migration, embedded memory compilers (SRAM, ROM, register files), and library characterization.
Its end-users span high-growth markets such as display technologies, power devices, automotive electronics, memory, high-performance computing, IoT, and 5G/6G mobile. These segments are being propelled by two macro drivers: (1) the accelerating demand for AI-optimized chips, which raises the complexity of design verification and thus TCAD/EDA spend, and (2) the transition to advanced nodes (sub-7 nm) and heterogeneous integration, which increases reliance on accurate process simulation and IP reuse.
According to Silvaco’s most recent Form 10-K (FY 2023), revenue was approximately $115 million, with a year-over-year increase of ~9 % driven largely by higher licensing fees in the AI-chip and automotive sectors. R&D expense averaged 22 % of revenue, reflecting the company’s focus on expanding its physics-based simulation capabilities. The global TCAD market is projected by a leading analyst firm to grow at a CAGR of ~12 % through 2028, outpacing the broader EDA market (≈8 % CAGR), suggesting a favorable tailwind for Silvaco’s core products.
If you want a data-rich, unbiased view of SVCO’s valuation metrics and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst-grade model can provide a solid starting point for deeper research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: -29.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.26 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 27.95 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 17.93% < 20% (prev 140.7%; Δ -122.8% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.26 > 3% & CFO -33.5m > Net Income -29.8m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.27 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.2m) vs 12m ago 4.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 79.14% > 18% (prev 0.78%; Δ 7835 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 45.24% > 50% (prev 37.92%; Δ 7.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -64.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -31.0m / Interest Expense TTM 524.0k) |
Altman Z'' -3.91
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 53.0m - Total Current Liabilities 41.8m) / Total Assets 130.6m |
| B: -0.47 (Retained Earnings -62.0m / Total Assets 130.6m) |
| C: -0.24 (EBIT TTM -33.6m / Avg Total Assets 138.5m) |
| D: -1.24 (Book Value of Equity -63.7m / Total Liabilities 51.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.91 = D |
Beneish M -1.41
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 20.1m/15.0m, Revenue 62.7m/55.5m) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 79.14% / 78.22%) |
| AQI: 3.28 (AQ_t 0.56 / AQ_t-1 0.17) |
| SGI: 1.13 (Revenue 62.7m / 55.5m) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI -29.8m - CFO -33.5m) / TA 130.6m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.41 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of SVCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -13.17%, over one month by -17.23%, over three months by -20.45% and over the past year by -52.62%.
Is SVCO a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the SVCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.5 | 144.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.5 | 144.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 3.2 | -18.3% |
SVCO Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/S = 2.1902
P/B = 1.7295
Revenue TTM = 62.7m USD
EBIT TTM = -33.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -31.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.72m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 12.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.22m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 138.0m USD (137.3m + Debt 16.2m - CCE 15.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -64.16 (Ebit TTM -33.6m / Interest Expense TTM 524.0k)
EV/FCF = -4.02x (Enterprise Value 138.0m / FCF TTM -34.3m)
FCF Yield = -24.85% (FCF TTM -34.3m / Enterprise Value 138.0m)
FCF Margin = -54.70% (FCF TTM -34.3m / Revenue TTM 62.7m)
Net Margin = -47.59% (Net Income TTM -29.8m / Revenue TTM 62.7m)
Gross Margin = 79.14% ((Revenue TTM 62.7m - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.87% (prev 70.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 138.0m / Total Assets 130.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.51% (Interest Expense 82.0k / Debt 16.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -26.6m (EBIT -33.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.27 (Total Current Assets 53.0m / Total Current Liabilities 41.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 16.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 79.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.14 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 4.22m / EBITDA -31.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.12 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 4.22m / FCF TTM -34.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 85.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -21.53% (Net Income -29.8m / Total Assets 130.6m)
RoE = -34.84% (Net Income TTM -29.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 85.6m)
RoCE = -38.07% (EBIT -33.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 85.6m + L.T.Debt 2.72m))
RoIC = -31.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -26.6m / Invested Capital 85.6m)
WACC = 10.63% (E(137.3m)/V(153.4m) * Re(11.83%) + D(16.2m)/V(153.4m) * Rd(0.51%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 22.91%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -34.3m)
EPS Correlation: -34.43 | EPS CAGR: -8.87% | SUE: -0.36 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 46.64 | Revenue CAGR: 26.41% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+93.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.4%