TEAM Stock Analysis: Atlassian | NASDAQ

Software - Application | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 26.463m USD | 12M Return: -40.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Project Management, Knowledge Management, Developer Tools, Service Management
Total Rating 35
Safety 33
Buy Signal -0.44
Software - Application
Industry Rotation: +11.2
Market Cap: 26.5B
Avg Turnover: 341M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility82.1%
VaR 5th Pctl13.0%
VaR vs Median-2.99%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.50
Rel. Str. IBD13.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group23.8
Character TTM
Beta1.514
Beta Downside1.708
Hurst Exponent0.469
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD82.30%
CAGR/Max DD-0.21
CAGR/Mean DD-0.50
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of TEAM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.24, "2021-09": 0.46, "2021-12": 0.5, "2022-03": 0.47, "2022-06": 0.27, "2022-09": 0.36, "2022-12": 0.45, "2023-03": 0.54, "2023-06": 0.57, "2023-09": 0.65, "2023-12": 0.73, "2024-03": 0.89, "2024-06": 0.66, "2024-09": 0.77, "2024-12": 0.96, "2025-03": 0.97, "2025-06": -0.05, "2025-09": 1.04, "2025-12": 1.22, "2026-03": 1.75,
EPS CAGR: 19.09%
EPS Trend: 80.9%
Last SUE: 4.00
Qual. Beats: 4
Revenue Revenue of TEAM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 559.539, 2021-09: 614.024, 2021-12: 688.526, 2022-03: 740.491, 2022-06: 759.841, 2022-09: 807.392, 2022-12: 872.704, 2023-03: 915.453, 2023-06: 939.098, 2023-09: 977.775, 2023-12: 1060.11, 2024-03: 1189.128, 2024-06: 1131.59, 2024-09: 1187.781, 2024-12: 1286.463, 2025-03: 1356.716, 2025-06: 1384.344, 2025-09: 1432.553, 2025-12: 1586.315, 2026-03: 1786.971,
Rev. CAGR: 21.74%
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Last SUE: 3.06
Qual. Beats: 3

Warnings

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.6 years of data

Jan +9.0% 28
Feb -1.5% 28
Mar -3.4% 40
Apr +6.4% 14
May +3.1% 11
Jun -1.3% 11
Jul +4.5% 51
Aug +7.9% 10
Sep -2.7% 22
Oct +3.5% 22
Nov +0.9% 5
Dec -2.2% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: TEAM Atlassian

Atlassian Corporation is a collaboration software provider that helps organizations connect teams and improve productivity at scale. Its product suite spans project management (Jira), team collaboration and knowledge sharing (Confluence), asynchronous video communication (Loom), IT and HR service management (Jira Service Management), and AI-powered workflows (Rovo). The company also offers developer-focused tools such as Bitbucket, Compass, and Jira Align, as well as productivity and security applications including Trello and Guard.

The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia, while trading on the NASDAQ as a U.S.-listed ADR. It generates revenue primarily through a subscription-based, seat-licensed software model that targets both large enterprises and smaller teams, operating within the Application Software sub-industry of the broader Information Technology sector. A notable strategic partnership with Mattermost supports the development of a sovereign, self-hosted successor to Confluence for defense, intelligence, and critical infrastructure clients, reflecting the firms expansion into regulated and security-sensitive markets.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Cloud subscription ARR growth fuels top-line expansion
  • Rovo AI adoption drives enterprise seat expansion
  • Microsoft Azure DevOps competition pressures Jira share
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.5
Net Income: -216.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.21 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.63 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -15.98% < 20% (prev 15.81%; Δ -31.79% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 1.25b > Net Income -216.8m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 0.70 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (261.0m) vs 12m ago -0.65% < -2%
Gross Margin: 83.85% > 18% (prev 82.31%; Δ 1.55% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 107.3% > 50% (prev 84.34%; Δ 22.99% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -3.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM -144.0m / Interest Expense TTM 43.4m)
Altman Z'' -4.52
A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 2.33b - Total Current Liabilities 3.32b) / Total Assets 5.65b
B: -1.04 (Retained Earnings -5.90b / Total Assets 5.65b)
C: -0.02 (EBIT TTM -144.0m / Avg Total Assets 5.77b)
D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 879.0m / Total Liabilities 4.77b)
Altman-Z'' = -4.52 = D
Beneish M -2.34
DSRI: 1.13 (Receivables 907.4m/642.0m, Revenue 6.19b/4.96b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 82.31% / 83.85%)
AQI: 1.76 (AQ_t 0.55 / AQ_t-1 0.31)
SGI: 1.25 (Revenue 6.19b / 4.96b)
TATA: -0.26 (NI -216.8m - CFO 1.25b) / TA 5.65b)
Beneish M = -2.34 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB
What is the price of TEAM shares?

As of August 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 110.31 with a total of 4,581,429 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +10.33%, over one month by +29.02%, over three months by +18.41% and over the past year by -40.59%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 101.80 (which is 7.7% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is TEAM a buy, sell or hold?

Atlassian has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.36. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TEAM.

  • StrongBuy: 19
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the TEAM price?
Analysts Target Price 139.7 26.6%
Atlassian (TEAM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 26.5b (26.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 15.2905
P/S = 4.275
P/B = 28.8634
P/EG = 0.7644
Revenue TTM = 6.19b USD
EBIT TTM = -144.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = -19.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 989.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 48.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 253.9m
Net Debt = 360.6m USD (calculated: Debt 1.50b - CCE 1.14b)
Enterprise Value = 26.8b USD (26.5b + Debt 1.50b - CCE 1.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -3.32 (Ebit TTM -144.0m / Interest Expense TTM 43.4m)
EV/FCF = 22.27x (Enterprise Value 26.8b / FCF TTM 1.20b)
FCF Yield = 4.49% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Enterprise Value 26.8b)
FCF Margin = 19.46% (FCF TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Net Margin = -3.50% (Net Income TTM -216.8m / Revenue TTM 6.19b)
Gross Margin = 83.85% ((Revenue TTM 6.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 999.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 84.92% (prev 85.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.75 (Enterprise Value 26.8b / Total Assets 5.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.90% (Interest Expense 43.4m / Debt 1.50b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -113.8m (EBIT -144.0m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 0.70 (Total Current Assets 2.33b / Total Current Liabilities 3.32b)
Debt / Equity = 1.70 (Debt 1.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 879.0m)
 Debt / EBITDA = -18.44 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 360.6m / EBITDA -19.6m)
 Debt / FCF = 0.30 (Net Debt 360.6m / FCF TTM 1.20b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.76% (Net Income -216.8m / Total Assets 5.65b)
RoE = -16.70% (Net Income TTM -216.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.30b)
RoCE = -6.30% (EBIT -144.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.30b + L.T.Debt 989.1m))
 RoIC = -5.51% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -113.8m / Invested Capital 2.07b)
 WACC = 10.83% (E(26.5b)/V(28.0b) * Re(11.31%) + D(1.50b)/V(28.0b) * Rd(2.90%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 66.64 | Cagr: 0.41%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.45% ; FCFF base≈1.31b ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈928.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 64.16 (EV 10.6b - Net Debt 360.6m = Equity 10.2b / Shares 159.6m; r=10.83% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 80.85 | EPS CAGR: 19.09% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: 99.86 | Revenue CAGR: 21.74% | SUE: 3.06 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.26 | Chg30d=-2.73% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=26
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=5.51 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+49.6% | GrowthRev=+24.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=6.10 | Chg30d=-1.90% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.7% | GrowthRev=+13.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -8% (up=4, down=5)