(TSCO) Tractor Supply - Ratings and Ratios
Livestock, Companion, Seasonal, Hardware, Clothing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.79% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.36% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 30.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 44.2% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -14.92 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.306 |
| Beta | 0.560 |
| Beta Downside | 0.425 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.13% |
| Mean DD | 8.57% |
| Median DD | 8.84% |
Description: TSCO Tractor Supply December 17, 2025
Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) is the largest U.S. retailer focused on the “rural lifestyle” market, serving hobby farmers, ranchers, and pet owners through a mix of brick-and-mortar stores (Tractor Supply, Petsense, Orscheln Farm & Home) and e-commerce sites (TractorSupply.com, Petsense.com). Its product portfolio spans livestock and equine feed, companion-animal supplies, seasonal recreation items, hardware, and apparel, many sold under private-label brands such as 4health, Paws & Claws, and American Farmworks.
Key recent metrics (FY 2024) show comparable-store sales up 5.2% YoY, driven by a 3.8% rise in average basket size and a 2.1% increase in transaction frequency-both reflecting higher discretionary spending in the “home-improvement-and-outdoor” segment. The business benefits from macro trends that favor rural consumer spending: a modest but persistent rise in farm-related income (≈ 2.5% annual growth) and a low-interest-rate environment that supports purchases of higher-ticket items like tractors and power equipment. TSCO’s e-commerce share of total sales has crossed the 12% threshold, indicating a growing omnichannel footprint that is outpacing the broader specialty-retail sector’s average of 9%.
For a deeper, data-driven view of TSCO’s valuation dynamics and scenario analysis, you may find the research tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 924.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 3.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.49% (prev 7.70%; Δ -2.22pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.83b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (5.54b) to EBITDA (1.97b) ratio: 2.80 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.30 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (532.8m) change vs 12m ago -1.04% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 35.67% (prev 36.29%; Δ -0.63pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 149.2% (prev 151.2%; Δ -2.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 21.41 (EBITDA TTM 1.97b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.64
| (A) 0.08 = (Total Current Assets 3.65b - Total Current Liabilities 2.80b) / Total Assets 10.88b |
| (B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 7.41b / Total Assets 10.88b |
| (C) 0.14 = EBIT TTM 1.49b / Avg Total Assets 10.32b |
| (D) 0.89 = Book Value of Equity 7.42b / Total Liabilities 8.30b |
| Total Rating: 4.64 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.67
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.89% |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.18% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.22 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.80 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 21.11)% |
| 7. RoE 46.18% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 41.33% |
| 9. EPS Trend -67.54% |
What is the price of TSCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.89%, over one month by -2.45%, over three months by -11.21% and over the past year by -2.65%.
Is TSCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 10
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the TSCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 63.7 | 24% |
| Analysts Target Price | 63.7 | 24% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 51.7 | 0.7% |
TSCO Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 25.1063
P/E Forward = 22.779
P/S = 1.7833
P/B = 10.672
P/EG = 2.2214
Beta = 0.719
Revenue TTM = 15.40b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.49b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.97b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.74b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 421.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.72b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.54b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 33.00b USD (27.46b + Debt 5.72b - CCE 184.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.41 (Ebit TTM 1.49b / Interest Expense TTM 69.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.89% (FCF TTM 952.4m / Enterprise Value 33.00b)
FCF Margin = 6.18% (FCF TTM 952.4m / Revenue TTM 15.40b)
Net Margin = 7.18% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 15.40b)
Gross Margin = 35.67% ((Revenue TTM 15.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 9.91b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.35% (prev 34.19%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.03 (Enterprise Value 33.00b / Total Assets 10.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.26% (Interest Expense 14.7m / Debt 5.72b)
Taxrate = 20.96% (68.8m / 328.0m)
NOPAT = 1.18b (EBIT 1.49b * (1 - 20.96%))
Current Ratio = 1.30 (Total Current Assets 3.65b / Total Current Liabilities 2.80b)
Debt / Equity = 2.22 (Debt 5.72b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.57b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.80 (Net Debt 5.54b / EBITDA 1.97b)
Debt / FCF = 5.81 (Net Debt 5.54b / FCF TTM 952.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.39b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.16% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 10.88b)
RoE = 46.18% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.39b)
RoCE = 35.97% (EBIT 1.49b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.39b + L.T.Debt 1.74b))
RoIC = 27.83% (NOPAT 1.18b / Invested Capital 4.23b)
WACC = 6.72% (E(27.46b)/V(33.18b) * Re(8.08%) + D(5.72b)/V(33.18b) * Rd(0.26%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.04%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.09% ; FCFE base≈785.3m ; Y1≈952.0m ; Y5≈1.56b
Fair Price DCF = 50.06 (DCF Value 26.45b / Shares Outstanding 528.4m; 5y FCF grow 22.68% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -67.54 | EPS CAGR: -30.62% | SUE: 0.22 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 41.33 | Revenue CAGR: 3.08% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.38 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.33 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+10.2% | Growth Revenue=+6.6%
Additional Sources for TSCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle