TSCO Stock Analysis: Tractor Supply | NASDAQ
Specialty Retail | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 16.533m USD | 12M Return: -36.4% | US8923561067 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 323M
EPS Trend: -17.5%
Qual. Beats: -3
Rev. Trend: 91.9%
Qual. Beats: -3
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ: TSCO) is a U.S. rural lifestyle retailer offering merchandise across several categories: livestock and equine feed and equipment, companion animal products, seasonal and recreation goods (tractors, riders, lawn and garden, power equipment), truck, tool and hardware items, and clothing, gifts and décor. The company serves recreational farmers, ranchers, and other rural customers, operating as a specialty retailer focused on a niche largely underserved by general merchandise big-box chains.
TSCO sells products under a broad portfolio of owned brands, including 4health, Paws & Claws, American Farmworks, Producers Pride, Bit & Bridle, Red Shed, Blue Mountain, Redstone, C.E. Schmidt, Retriever, Country Lane, Ridgecut, Countyline, Dumor, Traveller, Treeline and Huskee, among others. An extensive private-label assortment is a common feature of specialty retail and typically supports higher margins and customer loyalty than national-brand-only assortments.
The company operates physical stores under the Tractor Supply Company, Petsense by Tractor Supply, and Orscheln Farm and Home banners, and runs e-commerce sites at TractorSupply.com and Petsense.com, reflecting an omnichannel model that combines a large rural store footprint with online sales. Founded in 1938, Tractor Supply is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee, and is classified within the Consumer Discretionary sector under the Other Specialty Retail sub-industry.
- Comparable sales growth driven by Neighbors Club loyalty expansion
- New store openings accelerate in rural and suburban markets
- Margin pressure from inflation on livestock and feed costs
| Net Income: 1.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -5.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.76% < 20% (prev 5.16%; Δ 1.60% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.29b > Net Income 1.01b |
| Net Debt (10.7b) to EBITDA (1.91b): 5.60 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.33 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (524.6m) vs 12m ago -1.43% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.47% > 18% (prev 35.60%; Δ -3.14% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 138.6% > 50% (prev 143.5%; Δ -4.82% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.73 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.40b / Interest Expense TTM 67.7m) |
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 4.25b - Total Current Liabilities 3.19b) / Total Assets 12.2b |
| B: 0.64 (Retained Earnings 7.79b / Total Assets 12.2b) |
| C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 1.40b / Avg Total Assets 11.4b) |
| D: 0.28 (Book Value of Equity 2.63b / Total Liabilities 9.53b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.78 = AA |
As of October 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 33.70 with a total of 10,218,173 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.39%, over one month by -0.88%, over three months by +12.66% and over the past year by -36.35%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 31.10 (which is 7.7% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
Tractor Supply has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy TSCO.
- StrongBuy: 12
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 35.5 | 5.3% |
P/E Trailing = 16.6126
P/E Forward = 14.4509
P/S = 1.0496
P/B = 6.3933
P/EG = 2.0348
Revenue TTM = 15.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.40b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.91b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.15b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 473.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.9b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.39b
Net Debt = 10.7b USD (calculated: Debt 10.9b - CCE 231.6m)
Enterprise Value = 27.2b USD (16.5b + Debt 10.9b - CCE 231.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.73 (Ebit TTM 1.40b / Interest Expense TTM 67.7m)
EV/FCF = 88.73x (Enterprise Value 27.2b / FCF TTM 307.0m)
FCF Yield = 1.13% (FCF TTM 307.0m / Enterprise Value 27.2b)
FCF Margin = 1.95% (FCF TTM 307.0m / Revenue TTM 15.8b)
Net Margin = 6.42% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 15.8b)
Gross Margin = 32.47% ((Revenue TTM 15.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.17% (prev 32.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.24 (Enterprise Value 27.2b / Total Assets 12.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.62% (Interest Expense 67.7m / Debt 10.9b)
Taxrate = 20.53% (261.3m / 1.27b)
NOPAT = 1.12b (EBIT 1.40b * (1 - 20.53%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 4.25b / Total Current Liabilities 3.19b)
Debt / Equity = 4.16 (Debt 10.9b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.63b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.60 (Net Debt 10.7b / EBITDA 1.91b)
Debt / FCF = 34.87 (Net Debt 10.7b / FCF TTM 307.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.91% (Net Income 1.01b / Total Assets 12.2b)
RoE = 39.30% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.57b)
RoCE = 29.69% (EBIT 1.40b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.57b + L.T.Debt 2.15b))
RoIC = 12.11% (NOPAT 1.12b / Invested Capital 9.21b)
WACC = 5.17% (E(16.5b)/V(27.5b) * Re(8.27%) + D(10.9b)/V(27.5b) * Rd(0.62%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.89 | Cagr: -1.49%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈512.3m ; Y1≈449.2m ; Y5≈363.0m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 5.83b - Net Debt 10.7b = -4.88b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -17.52 | EPS CAGR: -0.20% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: -3
Revenue Correlation: 91.93 | Revenue CAGR: 2.80% | SUE: -1.02 | # QB: -3
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-81% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-80% | GrowthEPS=-9.1% | GrowthRev=+2.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=2.04 | Chg30d=-0.14% | Revisions=-82% | GrowthEPS=+9.1% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -93% (up=0, down=39)