(TXRH) Texas Roadhouse - Overview
Stock: Steak, Ribs, Burgers, Wings, Salads
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 22.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 56.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.46% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.29 |
| Alpha | -5.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.718 |
| Beta Downside | 0.666 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 24.82% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.05 |
Description: TXRH Texas Roadhouse January 03, 2026
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (NASDAQ:TXRH) is a Louisville-based casual-dining operator founded in 1993. It runs company-owned and franchised restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba’s 33, and Jaggers brands across the United States and select international markets, organized into three reporting segments.
Key performance indicators to watch include same-store sales growth (which averaged 9.2% YoY in Q4 2023), average check size (approximately $28.5 in 2023), and labor cost as a percent of revenue (around 30%). The chain’s performance is sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, which is driven by employment trends, disposable income, and gasoline prices-factors that tend to affect dining-out frequency.
For a deeper quantitative dive into TXRH’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, consider exploring the detailed toolkit on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 436.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.27 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -7.53% < 20% (prev -6.28%; Δ -1.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.23 > 3% & CFO 747.1m > Net Income 436.8m |
| Net Debt (825.6m) to EBITDA (719.0m): 1.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.36 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (66.5m) vs 12m ago -0.70% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.72% > 18% (prev 0.17%; Δ 1655 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 188.8% > 50% (prev 175.0%; Δ 13.77% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 76.41 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 719.0m / Interest Expense TTM 6.77m) |
Altman Z'' 2.56
| A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 249.4m - Total Current Liabilities 688.8m) / Total Assets 3.27b |
| B: 0.45 (Retained Earnings 1.46b / Total Assets 3.27b) |
| C: 0.17 (EBIT TTM 517.6m / Avg Total Assets 3.09b) |
| D: 0.82 (Book Value of Equity 1.46b / Total Liabilities 1.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.56 = A |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 61.1m/52.3m, Revenue 5.83b/5.10b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 16.72% / 17.24%) |
| AQI: 1.22 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.10) |
| SGI: 1.14 (Revenue 5.83b / 5.10b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 436.8m - CFO 747.1m) / TA 3.27b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of TXRH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.18%, over one month by +7.31%, over three months by +19.29% and over the past year by +8.68%.
Is TXRH a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the TXRH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 196.4 | 2.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 196.4 | 2.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 229.9 | 20.4% |
TXRH Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 27.6243
P/S = 2.0487
P/B = 8.3345
P/EG = 2.2991
Revenue TTM = 5.83b USD
EBIT TTM = 517.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 719.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 933.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 30.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 933.7m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 825.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.78b USD (11.95b + Debt 933.7m - CCE 108.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 76.41 (Ebit TTM 517.6m / Interest Expense TTM 6.77m)
EV/FCF = 37.52x (Enterprise Value 12.78b / FCF TTM 340.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.67% (FCF TTM 340.5m / Enterprise Value 12.78b)
FCF Margin = 5.84% (FCF TTM 340.5m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Net Margin = 7.49% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Revenue TTM 5.83b)
Gross Margin = 16.72% ((Revenue TTM 5.83b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.86b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 14.73% (prev 17.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.91 (Enterprise Value 12.78b / Total Assets 3.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.73% (Interest Expense 6.77m / Debt 933.7m)
Taxrate = 13.11% (12.8m / 97.7m)
NOPAT = 449.7m (EBIT 517.6m * (1 - 13.11%))
Current Ratio = 0.36 (Total Current Assets 249.4m / Total Current Liabilities 688.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 933.7m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.46b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.15 (Net Debt 825.6m / EBITDA 719.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.42 (Net Debt 825.6m / FCF TTM 340.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.41b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 14.13% (Net Income 436.8m / Total Assets 3.27b)
RoE = 30.92% (Net Income TTM 436.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.41b)
RoCE = 22.06% (EBIT 517.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.41b + L.T.Debt 933.7m))
RoIC = 31.84% (NOPAT 449.7m / Invested Capital 1.41b)
WACC = 7.99% (E(11.95b)/V(12.89b) * Re(8.56%) + D(933.7m)/V(12.89b) * Rd(0.73%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.52% ; FCFF base≈340.6m ; Y1≈349.2m ; Y5≈388.7m
Fair Price DCF = 90.67 (EV 6.82b - Net Debt 825.6m = Equity 6.00b / Shares 66.1m; r=7.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.46% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 3.65 | EPS CAGR: -45.51% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 96.33 | Revenue CAGR: 13.42% | SUE: 0.74 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.72 | Chg30d=-0.007 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=25
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.60 | Chg30d=-0.035 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+4.3% | Growth Revenue=+10.5%