(WING) Wingstop - Overview
Stock: Wings, Boneless Wings, Tenders, Chicken Sandwiches, Fries
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.41% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.77% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.45% |
| Payout Consistency | 53.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 36.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.70% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.04 |
| Alpha | -28.16 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.943 |
| Beta Downside | 0.846 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.60% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.39 |
Description: WING Wingstop January 07, 2026
Wingstop Inc. (NASDAQ:WING) operates a franchise-based chain of quick-service restaurants under the Wingstop brand across the United States and select international markets-including Australia, Bahrain, Kuwait, Puerto Rico, Saudi Arabia, and the Netherlands-offering a menu centered on cooked-to-order chicken wings, boneless wings, tenders, sandwiches, and side items. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
As of the most recent quarter (Q3 2024), Wingstop reported approximately 1,800 locations, with a same-store sales growth rate of 9.2% YoY and an average unit volume (AUV) of roughly $1.2 million, placing it among the higher-performing concepts in the fast-casual chicken segment. The firm’s adjusted EBITDA margin hovered around 18%, reflecting efficient cost control despite rising commodity prices.
Key economic drivers for Wingstop include discretionary consumer spending trends, which are sensitive to inflation and employment levels, and the volatility of chicken feed costs that can compress margins if not hedged. Additionally, the broader fast-casual sector benefits from a shift toward off-premise dining and delivery, a trend accelerated by pandemic-era habit changes.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore ValueRays analytics platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 174.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -20.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 35.32% < 20% (prev 8.01%; Δ 27.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 103.5m > Net Income 174.3m |
| Net Debt (983.5m) to EBITDA (293.8m): 3.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (28.0m) vs 12m ago -4.74% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 48.41% > 18% (prev 0.48%; Δ 4793 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 113.3% > 50% (prev 121.9%; Δ -8.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.16 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 293.8m / Interest Expense TTM 33.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.47
| A: 0.33 (Total Current Assets 320.2m - Total Current Liabilities 79.0m) / Total Assets 721.0m |
| B: -0.98 (Retained Earnings -709.7m / Total Assets 721.0m) |
| C: 0.45 (EBIT TTM 269.3m / Avg Total Assets 602.9m) |
| D: -0.49 (Book Value of Equity -703.7m / Total Liabilities 1.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.47 = BB |
Beneish M -2.76
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 19.4m/16.9m, Revenue 683.0m/591.0m) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 48.41% / 48.14%) |
| AQI: 1.12 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.29) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 683.0m / 591.0m) |
| TATA: 0.10 (NI 174.3m - CFO 103.5m) / TA 721.0m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.76 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of WING shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.53%, over one month by -1.80%, over three months by +8.08% and over the past year by -13.95%.
Is WING a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the WING price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 323.2 | 22.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 323.2 | 22.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 299.9 | 13.6% |
WING Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/E Forward = 55.5556
P/S = 10.8522
P/EG = 2.6548
Revenue TTM = 683.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 269.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 293.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.21b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.96m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.27b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 983.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 8.40b USD (7.41b + Debt 1.27b - CCE 286.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.16 (Ebit TTM 269.3m / Interest Expense TTM 33.0m)
EV/FCF = 134.2x (Enterprise Value 8.40b / FCF TTM 62.5m)
FCF Yield = 0.74% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Enterprise Value 8.40b)
FCF Margin = 9.16% (FCF TTM 62.5m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Net Margin = 25.51% (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Revenue TTM 683.0m)
Gross Margin = 48.41% ((Revenue TTM 683.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 352.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 48.85% (prev 48.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.64 (Enterprise Value 8.40b / Total Assets 721.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 9.20m / Debt 1.27b)
Taxrate = 28.14% (11.2m / 39.6m)
NOPAT = 193.5m (EBIT 269.3m * (1 - 28.14%))
Current Ratio = 4.05 (Total Current Assets 320.2m / Total Current Liabilities 79.0m)
Debt / Equity = -1.81 (negative equity) (Debt 1.27b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -702.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.35 (Net Debt 983.5m / EBITDA 293.8m)
Debt / FCF = 15.73 (Net Debt 983.5m / FCF TTM 62.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -694.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 28.90% (Net Income 174.3m / Total Assets 721.0m)
RoE = -25.08% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 174.3m / Total Stockholder Equity -694.8m)
RoCE = 52.44% (EBIT 269.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -694.8m + L.T.Debt 1.21b))
RoIC = 37.76% (NOPAT 193.5m / Invested Capital 512.5m)
WACC = 8.09% (E(7.41b)/V(8.68b) * Re(9.39%) + D(1.27b)/V(8.68b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.60%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.96% ; FCFF base≈93.4m ; Y1≈115.2m ; Y5≈196.1m
Fair Price DCF = 81.69 (EV 3.25b - Net Debt 983.5m = Equity 2.27b / Shares 27.8m; r=8.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 37.07 | EPS CAGR: -38.29% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.94 | Revenue CAGR: 26.85% | SUE: -1.78 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=+0.004 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=24
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.77 | Chg30d=-0.046 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+21.9% | Growth Revenue=+17.6%