(ABR) Arbor Realty Trust - Ratings and Ratios
Loans, Agency Securities, Bridge Financing, Multi-Family
ABR EPS (Earnings per Share)
ABR Revenue
Description: ABR Arbor Realty Trust
Arbor Realty Trust (NYSE:ABR) is a Mortgage REIT operating in the United States, providing financing for multifamily and commercial real estate properties. As a Mortgage REIT, ABRs primary business involves originating and investing in mortgage loans, generating income through interest and fees.
The companys financial performance is closely tied to the overall health of the real estate market, with key drivers including interest rates, property values, and credit quality. As a Mortgage REIT, ABR is sensitive to changes in interest rates, which can impact its net interest income and profitability. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 7.10% suggests a relatively stable return profile, although this metric can be influenced by various factors, including leverage and asset quality.
To evaluate ABRs performance, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as the companys book value per share, dividend yield, and debt-to-equity ratio should be closely monitored. Additionally, metrics like the companys asset quality, measured by metrics such as delinquency rates and loan loss reserves, can provide insight into the overall health of its loan portfolio. The companys ability to generate cash flows through interest income and its capacity to maintain a stable dividend payout are also crucial factors in assessing its investment potential.
Economic drivers that can impact ABRs business include changes in monetary policy, housing market trends, and commercial real estate demand. The companys exposure to the multifamily and commercial real estate sectors makes it vulnerable to fluctuations in property values, rental income, and credit market conditions. As a result, ABRs financial performance is closely tied to the overall state of the economy, making it essential to monitor macroeconomic indicators, such as GDP growth, inflation, and interest rates, to gauge the companys prospects.
ABR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 2,375m |
| Sub-Industry | Mortgage REITs |
| IPO / Inception | 2004-04-07 |
ABR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 1.20% |
| Fundamental | 58.7% |
| Dividend Rating | 82.8% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -25.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 2.75 of 5 |
ABR Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 12.82% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 20.89% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 8.74% |
| Payout Consistency | 80.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 107.4% |
ABR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 72.7% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -59.2% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 35.4% |
| CAGR 5y | 10.62% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.79 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.50 |
| Alpha | -32.48 |
| Beta | 1.313 |
| Volatility | 29.31% |
| Current Volume | 2117.8k |
| Average Volume 20d | 2117.8k |
| Stop Loss | 11 (-3.4%) |
| Signal | -0.79 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (213.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 46.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -363.5% (prev 1500 %; Δ -1864 pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 (>3.0%) and CFO 342.2m > Net Income 213.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.78b) to EBITDA (1.04b) ratio: 9.40 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (209.0m) change vs 12m ago 1.71% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 91.61% (prev 91.28%; Δ 0.34pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 5.56% (prev 4.70%; Δ 0.86pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.36 (EBITDA TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 714.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.91
| (A) -0.21 = (Total Current Assets 255.7m - Total Current Liabilities 3.06b) / Total Assets 13.56b |
| (B) -0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -72.5m / Total Assets 13.56b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 973.9m / Avg Total Assets 13.88b |
| (D) -0.01 = Book Value of Equity -70.6m / Total Liabilities 10.47b |
| Total Rating: -0.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.70
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.79% = 1.40 |
| 3. FCF Margin 44.33% = 7.50 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 3.40 = -1.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.40 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 6.62)% = 8.27 |
| 7. RoE 7.10% = 0.59 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 19.42% = 1.46 |
| 9. EPS Trend -83.42% = -4.17 |
What is the price of ABR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.25%, over one month by -2.65%, over three months by +3.58% and over the past year by -15.90%.
Is Arbor Realty Trust a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ABR is around 12.33 USD . This means that ABR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.25%.
Is ABR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ABR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.9 | 4.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.9 | 4.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 13.1 | 15% |
Last update: 2025-10-13 02:04
ABR Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 12.6556
P/S = 3.9537
P/B = 1.021
P/EG = 1.2
Beta = 1.313
Revenue TTM = 772.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 973.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.06b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.13b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.78b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.25b USD (2.37b + Debt 10.13b - CCE 255.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.36 (Ebit TTM 973.9m / Interest Expense TTM 714.5m)
FCF Yield = 2.79% (FCF TTM 342.2m / Enterprise Value 12.25b)
FCF Margin = 44.33% (FCF TTM 342.2m / Revenue TTM 772.0m)
Net Margin = 27.69% (Net Income TTM 213.8m / Revenue TTM 772.0m)
Gross Margin = 91.61% ((Revenue TTM 772.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 64.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 95.81% (prev 86.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 12.25b / Total Assets 13.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.69% (Interest Expense 171.6m / Debt 10.13b)
Taxrate = 8.56% (3.40m / 39.7m)
NOPAT = 890.5m (EBIT 973.9m * (1 - 8.56%))
Current Ratio = 0.08 (Total Current Assets 255.7m / Total Current Liabilities 3.06b)
Debt / Equity = 3.40 (Debt 10.13b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.97b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.40 (Net Debt 9.78b / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = 28.58 (Net Debt 9.78b / FCF TTM 342.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.58% (Net Income 213.8m / Total Assets 13.56b)
RoE = 7.10% (Net Income TTM 213.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.01b)
RoCE = 11.58% (EBIT 973.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.01b + L.T.Debt 5.40b))
RoIC = 9.92% (NOPAT 890.5m / Invested Capital 8.98b)
WACC = 3.30% (E(2.37b)/V(12.50b) * Re(10.75%) + D(10.13b)/V(12.50b) * Rd(1.69%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 10.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.16%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 67.46% ; FCFE base≈395.5m ; Y1≈365.4m ; Y5≈331.0m
Fair Price DCF = 20.35 (DCF Value 3.91b / Shares Outstanding 192.3m; 5y FCF grow -9.58% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -83.42 | EPS CAGR: -58.19% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 19.42 | Revenue CAGR: 29.76% | SUE: 2.33 | # QB: 1
Additional Sources for ABR Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle