Overview Dividends

(ADM) Archer-Daniels-Midland - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0394831020

Soybean Oil, Corn Syrup, Wheat Starch, Ethanol, Flavor

Agricultural Products & Services
Market Cap in USD: 28,142m

IPO / Inception: 1983-04-05
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 4.26%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -12.22%
EPS Trend: -85.4%

Last SUE: 0.75
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -3.28%
Rev. Trend: -79.2%

Last SUE: -0.67
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	3.50%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.75%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.56%
Payout Consistency	97.7%
Payout Ratio	55.3%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	25.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	39.1%
Relative Tail Risk	-8.25%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.68
Alpha	9.98
CAGR/Max DD	-0.23

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.407
Beta	0.341
Beta Downside	0.510

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	53.29%
Mean DD	30.85%
Median DD	32.68%

Description: ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland December 17, 2025

Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) is a global agribusiness that procures, transports, stores, processes, and markets a broad range of agricultural commodities and derived ingredients. Its operations are organized into three segments-Ag Services & Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition-covering everything from raw oilseeds and soft seeds to specialty food, feed, and industrial ingredients, as well as commodity financing and brokerage services. The company serves customers worldwide from hubs in the United States, Europe, and Latin America.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue was $57.5 billion, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13 % and free cash flow of $2.5 billion; ADM paid a dividend yielding about 2.7 % and returned $4.2 billion to shareholders via buybacks and dividends. Primary economic drivers include global grain demand (especially soybeans, which account for ~30 % of volume), biofuel mandates that boost demand for biodiesel-compatible oils, and commodity price volatility that affects both margins and financing activities.

For a deeper quantitative dive, the ValueRay platform offers granular ADM metrics and scenario analyses worth exploring.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (1.19b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.99b TTM)

FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 8.61% (prev 8.76%; Δ -0.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.09b > Net Income 1.19b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (7.97b) to EBITDA (3.22b) ratio: 2.47 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (484.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 5.77% (prev 7.08%; Δ -1.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 159.9% (prev 166.7%; Δ -6.81pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.34 (EBITDA TTM 3.22b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.35

(A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 26.43b - Total Current Liabilities 19.27b) / Total Assets 51.92b

(B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 21.81b / Total Assets 51.92b

(D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 22.49b / Total Liabilities 29.17b

Total Rating: 3.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.56

1. Piotroski 4.50pt

2. FCF Yield 13.02%

3. FCF Margin 5.65%

4. Debt/Equity 0.41

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.47

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.88)%

7. RoE 5.33%

8. Rev. Trend -79.21%

9. EPS Trend -85.44%

What is the price of ADM shares?

As of December 21, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 58.24 with a total of 7,643,369 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.95%, over one month by +0.02%, over three months by -4.74% and over the past year by +22.54%.

Is ADM a buy, sell or hold?

Archer-Daniels-Midland has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ADM.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 9
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ADM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	56.9	-2.3%
Analysts Target Price	56.9	-2.3%
ValueRay Target Price	61.5	5.6%

ADM Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025

Market Cap USD = 28.14b (28.14b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.6129
P/E Forward = 12.7714
P/S = 0.3382
P/B = 1.2387
P/EG = 16.4259
Beta = 0.686
Revenue TTM = 83.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.97b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 36.11b USD (28.14b + Debt 9.21b - CCE 1.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.34 (Ebit TTM 2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m)
FCF Yield = 13.02% (FCF TTM 4.70b / Enterprise Value 36.11b)
FCF Margin = 5.65% (FCF TTM 4.70b / Revenue TTM 83.23b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 1.19b / Revenue TTM 83.23b)
Gross Margin = 5.77% ((Revenue TTM 83.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.23% (prev 4.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 36.11b / Total Assets 51.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 121.0m / Debt 9.21b)
Taxrate = 25.17% (37.0m / 147.0m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.06b * (1 - 25.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 26.43b / Total Current Liabilities 19.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 9.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.47 (Net Debt 7.97b / EBITDA 3.22b)
Debt / FCF = 1.70 (Net Debt 7.97b / FCF TTM 4.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.29% (Net Income 1.19b / Total Assets 51.92b)
RoE = 5.33% (Net Income TTM 1.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.30b)
RoCE = 7.14% (EBIT 2.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.30b + L.T.Debt 6.61b))
RoIC = 4.84% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 31.88b)
WACC = 5.72% (E(28.14b)/V(37.35b) * Re(7.27%) + D(9.21b)/V(37.35b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.27% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -4.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.33% ; FCFE base≈4.23b ; Y1≈4.56b ; Y5≈5.61b
Fair Price DCF = 203.8 (DCF Value 97.95b / Shares Outstanding 480.6m; 5y FCF grow 8.67% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -85.44 | EPS CAGR: -12.22% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -79.21 | Revenue CAGR: -3.28% | SUE: -0.67 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.89 | Chg30d=-0.023 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.28 | Chg30d=-0.082 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+24.1% | Growth Revenue=+2.8%

Additional Sources for ADM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle