Overview Dividends

(ADM) Archer-Daniels-Midland - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US0394831020

Oilseeds, Grains, Sweeteners, Starches, Proteins, Ethanol

ADM EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -23.62%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -92.3%

ADM Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -8.41%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -85.9%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	26.6%
Value at Risk 5%th	41.0%
Relative Tail Risk	-6.23%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.57
Alpha	11.05

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.470
Beta	0.336
Beta Downside	0.535

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	54.14%
Mean DD	31.15%
Median DD	33.72%

Description: ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland October 14, 2025

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) is a vertically integrated agribusiness that procures, transports, stores, processes, and markets a broad range of agricultural commodities and derived ingredients. Its operations span the United States and key global markets, including Brazil, Canada, Europe, and Asia, allowing it to capture value across the entire supply chain from farm to end-user.

ADM’s business is organized into three segments: Ag Services & Oilseeds (crushing, merchandising, and trade finance of oilseeds and soft seeds); Carbohydrate Solutions (starches, sweeteners, ethanol, and related industrial products); and Nutrition (specialty food, feed, and health ingredients such as proteins, natural flavors, probiotics, and pet treats). The company also provides commodity brokerage and futures-commission-merchant services.

Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show revenue of roughly $73 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin near 9 %, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business but also its resilience to commodity price swings. ADM’s earnings are highly sensitive to soybean crush margins, corn-based ethanol demand, and global grain supply-demand fundamentals-drivers that are in turn influenced by U.S. biofuel policy, weather-related crop yields, and emerging protein-alternative trends.

For a deeper quantitative view of ADM’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay platform offers a data-driven dashboard worth exploring.

ADM Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	28,272m
Sub-Industry	Agricultural Products & Services
IPO / Inception	1983-04-05
Return 12m vs S&P 500	0.01%
Analyst Rating	3.0 of 5

ADM Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.33%
Yield on Cost 5y	5.78%
Yield CAGR 5y	8.56%
Payout Consistency	98.7%
Payout Ratio	55.3%

ADM Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	-12.48%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	-0.23
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	-0.40
Current Volume	3103.3k
Average Volume	3183.2k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (1.19b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 4.99b TTM)

FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 8.61% (prev 8.76%; Δ -0.15pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 6.09b > Net Income 1.19b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.33b) to EBITDA (3.22b) ratio: 1.03 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (484.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.21% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 5.77% (prev 7.08%; Δ -1.31pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 159.9% (prev 166.7%; Δ -6.81pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 3.34 (EBITDA TTM 3.22b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.35

(A) 0.14 = (Total Current Assets 26.43b - Total Current Liabilities 19.27b) / Total Assets 51.92b

(B) 0.42 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 21.81b / Total Assets 51.92b

(D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 22.49b / Total Liabilities 29.17b

Total Rating: 3.35 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.35

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50

2. FCF Yield 14.88% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 5.65% = 1.41

4. Debt/Equity 0.41 = 2.42

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.03 = 1.72

6. ROIC - WACC (= -0.87)% = -1.09

7. RoE 5.33% = 0.44

8. Rev. Trend -85.92% = -6.44

9. EPS Trend -92.30% = -4.62

What is the price of ADM shares?

As of November 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 58.61 with a total of 3,103,300 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.66%, over one month by -6.82%, over three months by -0.93% and over the past year by +15.65%.

Is Archer-Daniels-Midland a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Archer-Daniels-Midland (NYSE:ADM) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 48.35 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ADM is around 56.94 USD . This means that ADM is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.85%.

Is ADM a buy, sell or hold?

Archer-Daniels-Midland has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ADM.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 9
Sell: 2
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ADM price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	57.6	-1.7%
Analysts Target Price	57.6	-1.7%
ValueRay Target Price	61.9	5.6%

ADM Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025

Market Cap USD = 28.27b (28.27b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.8252
P/E Forward = 12.9032
P/S = 0.3398
P/B = 1.2522
P/EG = 16.4259
Beta = 0.686
Revenue TTM = 83.23b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.06b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.61b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.56b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.21b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 31.60b USD (28.27b + Debt 9.21b - CCE 5.88b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.34 (Ebit TTM 2.06b / Interest Expense TTM 617.0m)
FCF Yield = 14.88% (FCF TTM 4.70b / Enterprise Value 31.60b)
FCF Margin = 5.65% (FCF TTM 4.70b / Revenue TTM 83.23b)
Net Margin = 1.43% (Net Income TTM 1.19b / Revenue TTM 83.23b)
Gross Margin = 5.77% ((Revenue TTM 83.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 78.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 6.23% (prev 4.70%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.61 (Enterprise Value 31.60b / Total Assets 51.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.31% (Interest Expense 121.0m / Debt 9.21b)
Taxrate = 25.17% (37.0m / 147.0m)
NOPAT = 1.54b (EBIT 2.06b * (1 - 25.17%))
Current Ratio = 1.37 (Total Current Assets 26.43b / Total Current Liabilities 19.27b)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 9.21b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 22.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.03 (Net Debt 3.33b / EBITDA 3.22b)
Debt / FCF = 0.71 (Net Debt 3.33b / FCF TTM 4.70b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 22.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.29% (Net Income 1.19b / Total Assets 51.92b)
RoE = 5.33% (Net Income TTM 1.19b / Total Stockholder Equity 22.30b)
RoCE = 7.14% (EBIT 2.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 22.30b + L.T.Debt 6.61b))
RoIC = 4.84% (NOPAT 1.54b / Invested Capital 31.88b)
WACC = 5.71% (E(28.27b)/V(37.48b) * Re(7.25%) + D(9.21b)/V(37.48b) * Rd(1.31%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 7.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -81.65 | Cagr: -4.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.33% ; FCFE base≈4.23b ; Y1≈4.56b ; Y5≈5.61b
Fair Price DCF = 203.8 (DCF Value 97.95b / Shares Outstanding 480.6m; 5y FCF grow 8.67% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -92.30 | EPS CAGR: -23.62% | SUE: 0.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -85.92 | Revenue CAGR: -8.41% | SUE: -0.67 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ADM Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle