(AEE) Ameren - Ratings and Ratios
Electricity, Natural Gas
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.86% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.27% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.59% |
| Payout Consistency | 96.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 54.6% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 29.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.06% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.66 |
| Alpha | 8.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.31 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.310 |
| Beta | 0.230 |
| Beta Downside | 0.300 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.37% |
| Mean DD | 7.88% |
| Median DD | 6.03% |
Description: AEE Ameren December 17, 2025
Ameren Corporation (NYSE:AEE) is a publicly-traded utility holding company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri. It operates four regulated segments-Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission-providing electric generation, transmission, and distribution, as well as natural-gas distribution, to residential, commercial, and industrial customers across Missouri and Illinois. Its generation mix includes coal, nuclear, natural gas, and a growing portfolio of renewables such as hydro, wind, methane capture, and solar.
Key quantitative points (as of FY 2023) include a regulated rate base of roughly $23 billion, operating cash flow of $2.1 billion, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 3.5×, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the sector. The utility’s renewable capacity has risen ~12 % YoY, driven by state-mandated clean-energy targets and the Midwest’s favorable wind resources. Demand growth is modestly correlated with regional industrial activity and population trends, while rate-case outcomes in the Illinois Commerce Commission and Missouri Public Service Commission remain primary drivers of earnings volatility.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Ameren’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (1.41b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 537.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.18% (prev -17.95%; Δ 15.77pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 3.21b > Net Income 1.41b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (20.09b) to EBITDA (3.94b) ratio: 5.10 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.93 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (271.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.80% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 40.77% (prev 49.45%; Δ -8.68pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 19.75% (prev 16.86%; Δ 2.89pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.03 (EBITDA TTM 3.94b / Interest Expense TTM 741.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.82
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 2.61b - Total Current Liabilities 2.81b) / Total Assets 47.42b |
| (B) 0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.23b / Total Assets 47.42b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 2.25b / Avg Total Assets 45.36b |
| (D) 0.15 = Book Value of Equity 5.22b / Total Liabilities 34.51b |
| Total Rating: 0.82 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.46
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.63% |
| 3. FCF Margin -13.71% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.57 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.10 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.17)% |
| 7. RoE 11.42% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 50.13% |
| 9. EPS Trend 42.22% |
What is the price of AEE shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.01%, over one month by -4.75%, over three months by +1.27% and over the past year by +17.46%.
Is AEE a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AEE price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 112 | 12.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 112 | 12.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 108.2 | 9.1% |
AEE Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025
P/E Trailing = 18.8394
P/E Forward = 18.4162
P/S = 3.0865
P/B = 2.074
P/EG = 2.3353
Beta = 0.581
Revenue TTM = 8.96b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.25b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.94b USD
Long Term Debt = 19.17b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 932.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 20.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 46.75b USD (26.65b + Debt 20.10b - CCE 9.00m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.03 (Ebit TTM 2.25b / Interest Expense TTM 741.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.63% (FCF TTM -1.23b / Enterprise Value 46.75b)
FCF Margin = -13.71% (FCF TTM -1.23b / Revenue TTM 8.96b)
Net Margin = 15.75% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Revenue TTM 8.96b)
Gross Margin = 40.77% ((Revenue TTM 8.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.31b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 36.64% (prev 41.78%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 46.75b / Total Assets 47.42b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 208.0m / Debt 20.10b)
Taxrate = 7.50% (52.0m / 693.0m)
NOPAT = 2.08b (EBIT 2.25b * (1 - 7.50%))
Current Ratio = 0.93 (Total Current Assets 2.61b / Total Current Liabilities 2.81b)
Debt / Equity = 1.57 (Debt 20.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.78b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.10 (Net Debt 20.09b / EBITDA 3.94b)
Debt / FCF = -16.36 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 20.09b / FCF TTM -1.23b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 12.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.98% (Net Income 1.41b / Total Assets 47.42b)
RoE = 11.42% (Net Income TTM 1.41b / Total Stockholder Equity 12.36b)
RoCE = 7.12% (EBIT 2.25b / Capital Employed (Equity 12.36b + L.T.Debt 19.17b))
RoIC = 6.50% (NOPAT 2.08b / Invested Capital 31.96b)
WACC = 4.32% (E(26.65b)/V(46.76b) * Re(6.86%) + D(20.10b)/V(46.76b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.08)))
Discount Rate = 6.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.45%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.23b)
EPS Correlation: 42.22 | EPS CAGR: 52.74% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 50.13 | Revenue CAGR: 16.04% | SUE: 0.68 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.10 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.33 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+6.3% | Growth Revenue=+4.9%
Additional Sources for AEE Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle