AEE Stock Analysis: Ameren | NYSE

Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 29.381m USD | 12M Return: 8.8% | US0236081024 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electricity, Natural Gas, Transmission, Distribution
Total Rating 36
Safety 51
Buy Signal -0.72
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Industry Rotation: -11.9
Market Cap: 29.4B
Avg Turnover: 163M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility18.1%
VaR 5th Pctl3.24%
VaR vs Median9.00%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.33
Rel. Str. IBD24.8
Rel. Str. Peer Group57.5
Character TTM
Beta0.051
Beta Downside0.057
Hurst Exponent0.418
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD16.48%
CAGR/Max DD0.85
CAGR/Mean DD2.93
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of AEE over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.8, "2021-09": 1.65, "2021-12": 0.48, "2022-03": 0.97, "2022-06": 0.8, "2022-09": 1.74, "2022-12": 0.63, "2023-03": 1, "2023-06": 0.9, "2023-09": 1.87, "2023-12": 0.6, "2024-03": 0.98, "2024-06": 0.97, "2024-09": 1.87, "2024-12": 0.77, "2025-03": 1.07, "2025-06": 1.01, "2025-09": 2.17, "2025-12": 0.78, "2026-03": 1.28, "2026-06": 1.13,
EPS CAGR: 8.26%
EPS Trend: 95.4%
Last SUE: 1.09
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of AEE over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1472, 2021-09: 1811, 2021-12: 1545, 2022-03: 1879, 2022-06: 1726, 2022-09: 2306, 2022-12: 2046, 2023-03: 2062, 2023-06: 1760, 2023-09: 2060, 2023-12: 1618, 2024-03: 1816, 2024-06: 1693, 2024-09: 2173, 2024-12: 1941, 2025-03: 2097, 2025-06: 2221, 2025-09: 2699, 2025-12: 1782, 2026-03: 2176, 2026-06: 2092,
Rev. CAGR: 8.03%
Rev. Trend: 81.9%
Last SUE: -0.98
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.6% 8
Feb +0.3% 7
Mar +3.5% 32
Apr -0.4% 17
May -0.8% 29
Jun -1.8% 9
Jul +2.1% 22
Aug -0.1% 22
Sep -1.3% 14
Oct +0.5% 24
Nov +1.0% 16
Dec -2.5% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: AEE Ameren

Ameren Corporation (NYSE: AEE) is a U.S. public utility holding company headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, founded in 1881 and operating since its 1998 listing. The company runs four segments-Ameren Missouri, Ameren Illinois Electric Distribution, Ameren Illinois Natural Gas, and Ameren Transmission-engaged in rate-regulated electric generation, transmission, and distribution as well as natural gas distribution. Its generation portfolio spans coal, nuclear, natural gas, and renewable sources such as hydroelectric, wind, methane gas, and solar, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers.

Operating within the GICS Multi-Utilities sub-industry, Amerens business model centers on rate-regulated utility operations across vertically integrated and distribution-only service territories. Multi-utilities typically combine electric and gas service under one corporate structure, with earnings largely determined by state and federal regulators through periodic rate cases that set allowed returns on rate base.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Missouri rate case order drives earnings growth
  • Energy transition capex exceeds $40 billion through 2030
  • Illinois natural gas distribution rate base expands steadily
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.5
Net Income: 1.56b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.73 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -26.68% < 20% (prev -7.27%; Δ -19.41% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 3.25b > Net Income 1.56b
Net Debt (21.8b) to EBITDA (4.18b): 5.21 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.53 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (278.6m) vs 12m ago 2.62% < -2%
Gross Margin: 41.07% > 18% (prev 44.91%; Δ -3.84% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 17.88% > 50% (prev 18.08%; Δ -0.20% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.08 > 6 (EBIT TTM 2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 827.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.79
A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 2.64b - Total Current Liabilities 4.98b) / Total Assets 51.2b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 5.55b / Total Assets 51.2b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.55b / Avg Total Assets 48.9b)
D: 0.37 (Book Value of Equity 13.7b / Total Liabilities 37.4b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B
Beneish M -2.83
DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 1.28b/1.14b, Revenue 8.75b/8.43b)
GMI: 1.09 (GM 44.91% / 41.07%)
AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.14)
SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 8.75b / 8.43b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.56b - CFO 3.25b) / TA 51.2b)
Beneish M = -2.83 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of AEE shares?

As of August 28, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 106.75 with a total of 1,105,239 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.88%, over one month by -4.78%, over three months by -3.26% and over the past year by +8.80%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 104.00 (which is 2.6% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is AEE a buy, sell or hold?

Ameren has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.88. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AEE.

  • StrongBuy: 8
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 2
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AEE price?
Analysts Target Price 120.4 12.8%
Ameren (AEE) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 29.4b (29.4b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 18.6849
P/E Forward = 19.7239
P/S = 3.4932
P/B = 2.1467
P/EG = 2.8181
Revenue TTM = 8.75b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.55b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.18b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 2.74b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 21.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 21.8b USD (calculated: Debt 21.8b - CCE 12.0m)
Enterprise Value = 51.2b USD (29.4b + Debt 21.8b - CCE 12.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.08 (Ebit TTM 2.55b / Interest Expense TTM 827.0m)
EV/FCF = -36.37x (Enterprise Value 51.2b / FCF TTM -1.41b)
FCF Yield = -2.75% (FCF TTM -1.41b / Enterprise Value 51.2b)
FCF Margin = -16.08% (FCF TTM -1.41b / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Net Margin = 17.86% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 8.75b)
Gross Margin = 41.07% ((Revenue TTM 8.75b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 49.00% (prev 49.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.00 (Enterprise Value 51.2b / Total Assets 51.2b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.79% (Interest Expense 827.0m / Debt 21.8b)
Taxrate = 9.05% (156.0m / 1.72b)
NOPAT = 2.32b (EBIT 2.55b * (1 - 9.05%))
Current Ratio = 0.53 (Total Current Assets 2.64b / Total Current Liabilities 4.98b)
Debt / Equity = 1.59 (Debt 21.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.7b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.21 (Net Debt 21.8b / EBITDA 4.18b)
 Debt / FCF = -15.49 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 21.8b / FCF TTM -1.41b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 13.4b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.19% (Net Income 1.56b / Total Assets 51.2b)
RoE = 11.70% (Net Income TTM 1.56b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.4b)
RoCE = 8.08% (EBIT 2.55b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.4b + L.T.Debt 18.2b))
RoIC = 4.74% (NOPAT 2.32b / Invested Capital 49.0b)
WACC = 5.00% (E(29.4b)/V(51.2b) * Re(6.16%) + D(21.8b)/V(51.2b) * Rd(3.79%) * (1-Tc(0.09)))
Discount Rate = 6.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.67 | Cagr: 1.94%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.41b)
 EPS Correlation: 95.44 | EPS CAGR: 8.26% | SUE: 1.09 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 81.86 | Revenue CAGR: 8.03% | SUE: -0.98 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=2.34 | Chg30d=-0.66% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.40 | Chg30d=+0.30% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+0.9% | GrowthRev=+4.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.83 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+8.1% | GrowthRev=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=2, down=2)