(AER) AerCap Holdings - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Ireland •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: NL0000687663
Stock: Aircraft Leasing, Engine Management, Asset Remarketing, Parts Supply
Total Rating 49
Risk 69
Buy Signal 0.10
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.33% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.67 |
| Alpha | 34.13 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.813 |
| Beta Downside | 1.442 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.11% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.30 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AER AerCap Holdings February 26, 2026
AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) is the world’s largest aircraft leasing company, providing end-to-end leasing, financing, sale and asset-management services for commercial aircraft, engines and helicopters across the United States, China and global markets. Its platform covers everything from remarketing and lease-contract compliance to technical modifications, insurance, valuation and market research, while also offering corporate treasury and cash-management solutions for airline clients.
As of the latest Q4-2025 filing, AerCap’s fleet comprises roughly 3,500 aircraft, engines and helicopters, with an order backlog of about $55 billion-equivalent to roughly 1,200 future deliveries. The company generated $8.6 billion in revenue for 2025, delivering an adjusted EBITDA of $2.3 billion and maintaining a net-debt-to-EBITDA leverage of 5.5×. Key sector drivers include robust demand for narrow-body jets in Asia-Pacific, tightening airline cash flows that favor asset-light leasing models, and a modest rise in interest rates that is gradually compressing lease-rate spreads.
For a deeper dive into AerCap’s valuation metrics and how they compare with peers, you might want to explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 3.75b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.69 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -26.12% < 20% (prev 46.33%; Δ -72.45% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 5.46b > Net Income 3.75b |
| Net Debt (42.09b) to EBITDA (6.02b): 6.99 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.61 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (166.9m) vs 12m ago -12.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 52.47% > 18% (prev 0.58%; Δ 5189 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 11.21% > 50% (prev 11.19%; Δ 0.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.34 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 6.02b / Interest Expense TTM 1.99b) |
Altman Z'' 1.31
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 3.34b - Total Current Liabilities 5.43b) / Total Assets 71.67b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 16.32b / Total Assets 71.67b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 4.66b / Avg Total Assets 71.56b) |
| D: 0.31 (Book Value of Equity 16.27b / Total Liabilities 53.35b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.31 = BB |
Beneish M -3.00
| DSRI: 0.54 (Receivables 1.86b/3.45b, Revenue 8.02b/8.00b) |
| GMI: 1.10 (GM 52.47% / 57.60%) |
| AQI: 1.58 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 8.02b / 8.00b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 3.75b - CFO 5.46b) / TA 71.67b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of AER shares?
As of March 05, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 149.79 with a total of 1,248,008 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.35%, over one month by +4.91%, over three months by +7.34% and over the past year by +53.98%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.35%, over one month by +4.91%, over three months by +7.34% and over the past year by +53.98%.
Is AER a buy, sell or hold?
AerCap Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy AER.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AER price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 161.7 | 7.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 161.7 | 7.9% |
AER Fundamental Data Overview February 28, 2026
P/E Trailing = 7.0127
P/E Forward = 10.1215
P/S = 2.9867
P/B = 1.3354
P/EG = 0.91
Revenue TTM = 8.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 43.57b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 75.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 43.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 67.62b USD (25.44b + Debt 43.57b - CCE 1.38b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.34 (Ebit TTM 4.66b / Interest Expense TTM 1.99b)
EV/FCF = -97.89x (Enterprise Value 67.62b / FCF TTM -690.8m)
FCF Yield = -1.02% (FCF TTM -690.8m / Enterprise Value 67.62b)
FCF Margin = -8.61% (FCF TTM -690.8m / Revenue TTM 8.02b)
Net Margin = 46.75% (Net Income TTM 3.75b / Revenue TTM 8.02b)
Gross Margin = 52.47% ((Revenue TTM 8.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.32% (prev 59.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 67.62b / Total Assets 71.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 474.3m / Debt 43.57b)
Taxrate = 10.93% (77.7m / 710.5m)
NOPAT = 4.15b (EBIT 4.66b * (1 - 10.93%))
Current Ratio = 0.61 (Total Current Assets 3.34b / Total Current Liabilities 5.43b)
Debt / Equity = 2.38 (Debt 43.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.99 (Net Debt 42.09b / EBITDA 6.02b)
Debt / FCF = -60.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 42.09b / FCF TTM -690.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.24% (Net Income 3.75b / Total Assets 71.67b)
RoE = 20.95% (Net Income TTM 3.75b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.90b)
RoCE = 7.58% (EBIT 4.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.90b + L.T.Debt 43.57b))
RoIC = 6.60% (NOPAT 4.15b / Invested Capital 62.88b)
WACC = 3.90% (E(25.44b)/V(69.00b) * Re(8.91%) + D(43.57b)/V(69.00b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -10.00%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -690.8m)
EPS Correlation: 72.28 | EPS CAGR: 16.47% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 78.32 | Revenue CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: -2.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.53 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.137 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=15.34 | Chg7d=-0.029 | Chg30d=+0.538 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=-0.2% | Growth Revenue=-4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.21 | Chg7d=+0.134 | Chg30d=+0.931 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+5.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (2 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -5.3% (Discount Rate 8.9% - Earnings Yield 14.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +12.4% (Analyst 7.1% - Implied -5.3%)
P/E Forward = 10.1215
P/S = 2.9867
P/B = 1.3354
P/EG = 0.91
Revenue TTM = 8.02b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.66b USD
EBITDA TTM = 6.02b USD
Long Term Debt = 43.57b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 75.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 43.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.09b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 67.62b USD (25.44b + Debt 43.57b - CCE 1.38b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.34 (Ebit TTM 4.66b / Interest Expense TTM 1.99b)
EV/FCF = -97.89x (Enterprise Value 67.62b / FCF TTM -690.8m)
FCF Yield = -1.02% (FCF TTM -690.8m / Enterprise Value 67.62b)
FCF Margin = -8.61% (FCF TTM -690.8m / Revenue TTM 8.02b)
Net Margin = 46.75% (Net Income TTM 3.75b / Revenue TTM 8.02b)
Gross Margin = 52.47% ((Revenue TTM 8.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.32% (prev 59.97%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 67.62b / Total Assets 71.67b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.09% (Interest Expense 474.3m / Debt 43.57b)
Taxrate = 10.93% (77.7m / 710.5m)
NOPAT = 4.15b (EBIT 4.66b * (1 - 10.93%))
Current Ratio = 0.61 (Total Current Assets 3.34b / Total Current Liabilities 5.43b)
Debt / Equity = 2.38 (Debt 43.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.32b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.99 (Net Debt 42.09b / EBITDA 6.02b)
Debt / FCF = -60.92 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 42.09b / FCF TTM -690.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.90b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.24% (Net Income 3.75b / Total Assets 71.67b)
RoE = 20.95% (Net Income TTM 3.75b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.90b)
RoCE = 7.58% (EBIT 4.66b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.90b + L.T.Debt 43.57b))
RoIC = 6.60% (NOPAT 4.15b / Invested Capital 62.88b)
WACC = 3.90% (E(25.44b)/V(69.00b) * Re(8.91%) + D(43.57b)/V(69.00b) * Rd(1.09%) * (1-Tc(0.11)))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -10.00%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -690.8m)
EPS Correlation: 72.28 | EPS CAGR: 16.47% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 78.32 | Revenue CAGR: 5.22% | SUE: -2.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.53 | Chg7d=-0.050 | Chg30d=-0.137 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=15.34 | Chg7d=-0.029 | Chg30d=+0.538 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=-0.2% | Growth Revenue=-4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=16.21 | Chg7d=+0.134 | Chg30d=+0.931 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+5.7% | Growth Revenue=+2.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0.00 (2 Up / 2 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = -5.3% (Discount Rate 8.9% - Earnings Yield 14.3%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = +12.4% (Analyst 7.1% - Implied -5.3%)