(AER) AerCap Holdings - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Ireland • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: NL0000687663

Aircraft,Engines,Helicopters,Parts,Services

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of AER over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -6.33, "2020-12": 0.22, "2021-03": 2.58, "2021-06": 1.92, "2021-09": 3.35, "2021-12": 0.44, "2022-03": 2.23, "2022-06": 1.91, "2022-09": 2.21, "2022-12": 2.66, "2023-03": 2.34, "2023-06": 2.56, "2023-09": 4.86, "2023-12": 3.11, "2024-03": 3.29, "2024-06": 3.01, "2024-09": 2.41, "2024-12": 3.31, "2025-03": 3.68, "2025-06": 2.83, "2025-09": 4.97,

Revenue

Revenue of AER over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 1026.556, 2020-12: 1031.617, 2021-03: 1071.982, 2021-06: 1095.35, 2021-09: 1011.986, 2021-12: 1442.181, 2022-03: 1790.016, 2022-06: 1631.36, 2022-09: 1694.64, 2022-12: 1798.969, 2023-03: 1865.722, 2023-06: 1924.381, 2023-09: 1891.667, 2023-12: 1898.648, 2024-03: 2018.088, 2024-06: 1958.145, 2024-09: 1948.129, 2024-12: 2072.282, 2025-03: 2077.032, 2025-06: 1886.752, 2025-09: 1893.519,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 24.4%
Value at Risk 5%th 39.6%
Relative Tail Risk -1.27%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 1.28
Alpha 29.10
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.540
Beta 0.814
Beta Downside 1.172
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 23.14%
Mean DD 4.29%
Median DD 3.10%

Description: AER AerCap Holdings October 16, 2025

AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) is a Dublin-based global aircraft leasing and asset-management firm that acquires, finances, leases, sells, and manages commercial flight equipment-including airframes, engines, and helicopters-across the United States, China, and other international markets. Its services span the full lease lifecycle: remarketing, rent collection, maintenance monitoring, contract compliance, delivery/redelivery, lessee credit reviews, technical modifications, default restructuring, repossession, insurance coordination, valuation, and market research.

As of the latest filing, AerCap’s portfolio comprises roughly 3,525 aircraft, engines, and helicopters, representing about 15 % of the worldwide leasing fleet. Key performance indicators include an FY 2023 EBITDA margin of ~30 % and an order backlog of approximately $30 billion, reflecting strong demand for new-generation aircraft. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to macro-drivers such as airline profitability, global interest-rate trends, and the pace of fleet renewal driven by fuel-efficiency mandates and geopolitical shifts that affect route economics.

For analysts seeking a more granular, data-driven view of AerCap’s lease-cash-flow dynamics and valuation assumptions, the ValueRay platform provides detailed analytics that can deepen your research.

AER Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 23,295m
Sub-Industry Trading Companies & Distributors
IPO / Inception 2006-11-21
Return 12m vs S&P 500 23.6%
Analyst Rating 4.44 of 5

AER Dividends

Metric Value
Dividend Yield 0.82%
Yield on Cost 5y 2.90%
Yield CAGR 5y %
Payout Consistency 17.1%
Payout Ratio 7.3%

AER Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y 31.27%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 1.35
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 7.29
Current Volume 745.6k
Average Volume 1266.2k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (3.79b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 475.8m TTM)
FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.18pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue -21.03% (prev 74.81%; Δ -95.84pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.55b > Net Income 3.79b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (42.21b) to EBITDA (5.35b) ratio: 7.89 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 0.62 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (174.1m) change vs 12m ago -9.29% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 53.94% (prev 58.00%; Δ -4.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 10.88% (prev 10.60%; Δ 0.28pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.21 (EBITDA TTM 5.35b / Interest Expense TTM 2.10b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.29

(A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 2.73b - Total Current Liabilities 4.40b) / Total Assets 71.94b
(B) 0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 15.73b / Total Assets 71.94b
(C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 4.63b / Avg Total Assets 72.88b
(D) 0.29 = Book Value of Equity 15.68b / Total Liabilities 53.79b
Total Rating: 1.29 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.73

1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0
2. FCF Yield -0.22% = -0.11
3. FCF Margin -1.81% = -0.68
4. Debt/Equity 2.43 = 0.12
5. Debt/Ebitda 7.89 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.58)% = 3.23
7. RoE 21.51% = 1.79
8. Rev. Trend 49.91% = 3.74
9. EPS Trend 42.68% = 2.13

What is the price of AER shares?

As of November 19, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 132.04 with a total of 745,626 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.03%, over one month by +9.35%, over three months by +15.52% and over the past year by +40.41%.

Is AER a buy, sell or hold?

AerCap Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44. Therefore, it is recommended to buy AER.
  • Strong Buy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the AER price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 148 12.1%
Analysts Target Price 148 12.1%
ValueRay Target Price 170.1 28.8%

AER Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025

Market Cap USD = 23.30b (23.30b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 6.5327
P/E Forward = 9.6061
P/S = 2.7916
P/B = 1.2835
P/EG = 0.91
Beta = 1.132
Revenue TTM = 7.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.63b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 44.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 44.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.21b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 65.51b USD (23.30b + Debt 44.03b - CCE 1.81b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.21 (Ebit TTM 4.63b / Interest Expense TTM 2.10b)
FCF Yield = -0.22% (FCF TTM -143.2m / Enterprise Value 65.51b)
FCF Margin = -1.81% (FCF TTM -143.2m / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Net Margin = 47.78% (Net Income TTM 3.79b / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Gross Margin = 53.94% ((Revenue TTM 7.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.97% (prev 32.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.91 (Enterprise Value 65.51b / Total Assets 71.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 485.9m / Debt 44.03b)
Taxrate = 14.02% (198.2m / 1.41b)
NOPAT = 3.99b (EBIT 4.63b * (1 - 14.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 2.73b / Total Current Liabilities 4.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.43 (Debt 44.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.89 (Net Debt 42.21b / EBITDA 5.35b)
Debt / FCF = -294.9 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 42.21b / FCF TTM -143.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.27% (Net Income 3.79b / Total Assets 71.94b)
RoE = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.79b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.62b)
RoCE = 7.52% (EBIT 4.63b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.62b + L.T.Debt 44.03b))
RoIC = 6.32% (NOPAT 3.99b / Invested Capital 63.02b)
WACC = 3.74% (E(23.30b)/V(67.32b) * Re(9.01%) + D(44.03b)/V(67.32b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 9.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -8.07%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -143.2m)
EPS Correlation: 42.68 | EPS CAGR: 25.52% | SUE: 2.92 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 49.91 | Revenue CAGR: 1.88% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for AER Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle