(AER) AerCap Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Aircraft,Engines,Helicopters,Parts,Services
AER EPS (Earnings per Share)
AER Revenue
Description: AER AerCap Holdings October 16, 2025
AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) is a Dublin-based global aircraft leasing and asset-management firm that acquires, finances, leases, sells, and manages commercial flight equipment-including airframes, engines, and helicopters-across the United States, China, and other international markets. Its services span the full lease lifecycle: remarketing, rent collection, maintenance monitoring, contract compliance, delivery/redelivery, lessee credit reviews, technical modifications, default restructuring, repossession, insurance coordination, valuation, and market research.
As of the latest filing, AerCap’s portfolio comprises roughly 3,525 aircraft, engines, and helicopters, representing about 15 % of the worldwide leasing fleet. Key performance indicators include an FY 2023 EBITDA margin of ~30 % and an order backlog of approximately $30 billion, reflecting strong demand for new-generation aircraft. The company’s earnings are highly sensitive to macro-drivers such as airline profitability, global interest-rate trends, and the pace of fleet renewal driven by fuel-efficiency mandates and geopolitical shifts that affect route economics.
For analysts seeking a more granular, data-driven view of AerCap’s lease-cash-flow dynamics and valuation assumptions, the ValueRay platform provides detailed analytics that can deepen your research.
AER Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 21,474m |
| Sub-Industry | Trading Companies & Distributors |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-11-21 |
AER Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 91.9% |
| Fundamental | 46.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 27.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 9.02% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.44 of 5 |
AER Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 0.87% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.73% |
| Annual Growth 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 17.1% |
| Payout Ratio | 8.7% |
AER Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 54.2% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 89% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 86.3% |
| CAGR 5y | 32.96% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.42 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 7.71 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.56 |
| Alpha | 5.20 |
| Beta | 1.395 |
| Volatility | 21.39% |
| Current Volume | 790.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 998.6k |
| Stop Loss | 118.2 (-3%) |
| Signal | 0.43 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income (2.95b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 479.1m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.09pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 64.55% (prev 50.05%; Δ 14.51pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 5.32b > Net Income 2.95b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (43.47b) to EBITDA (4.33b) ratio: 10.05 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.97 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (177.5m) change vs 12m ago -9.82% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.13% (prev 59.48%; Δ -7.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 11.03% (prev 10.92%; Δ 0.11pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.71 (EBITDA TTM 4.33b / Interest Expense TTM 2.13b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.72
| (A) 0.07 = (Total Current Assets 6.89b - Total Current Liabilities 1.74b) / Total Assets 73.63b |
| (B) 0.20 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 14.56b / Total Assets 73.63b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 3.63b / Avg Total Assets 72.37b |
| (D) 0.26 = Book Value of Equity 14.52b / Total Liabilities 55.69b |
| Total Rating: 1.72 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 46.47
| 1. Piotroski 3.50pt = -1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield -1.56% = -0.78 |
| 3. FCF Margin -12.70% = -4.76 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.57 = -0.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 10.05 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.81)% = 1.01 |
| 7. RoE 17.07% = 1.42 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 75.34% = 5.65 |
| 9. EPS Trend -39.06% = -1.95 |
What is the price of AER shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.22%, over one month by +0.99%, over three months by +9.09% and over the past year by +29.02%.
Is AerCap Holdings a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AER is around 145.35 USD . This means that AER is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +19.24% (Margin of Safety).
Is AER a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AER price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 132.4 | 8.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 132.4 | 8.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 155.9 | 27.9% |
AER Fundamental Data Overview October 20, 2025
P/E Trailing = 7.5222
P/E Forward = 7.4405
P/S = 2.6895
P/B = 1.2343
P/EG = 0.91
Beta = 1.395
Revenue TTM = 7.98b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.63b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.33b USD
Long Term Debt = 46.11b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 46.16b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 43.47b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 64.94b USD (21.47b + Debt 46.16b - CCE 2.70b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.71 (Ebit TTM 3.63b / Interest Expense TTM 2.13b)
FCF Yield = -1.56% (FCF TTM -1.01b / Enterprise Value 64.94b)
FCF Margin = -12.70% (FCF TTM -1.01b / Revenue TTM 7.98b)
Net Margin = 36.93% (Net Income TTM 2.95b / Revenue TTM 7.98b)
Gross Margin = 52.13% ((Revenue TTM 7.98b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.03% (prev 64.35%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 64.94b / Total Assets 73.63b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.12% (Interest Expense 518.9m / Debt 46.16b)
Taxrate = 11.79% (168.4m / 1.43b)
NOPAT = 3.21b (EBIT 3.63b * (1 - 11.79%))
Current Ratio = 3.97 (Total Current Assets 6.89b / Total Current Liabilities 1.74b)
Debt / Equity = 2.57 (Debt 46.16b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 17.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.05 (Net Debt 43.47b / EBITDA 4.33b)
Debt / FCF = -42.87 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 43.47b / FCF TTM -1.01b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.27b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.00% (Net Income 2.95b / Total Assets 73.63b)
RoE = 17.07% (Net Income TTM 2.95b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.27b)
RoCE = 5.73% (EBIT 3.63b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.27b + L.T.Debt 46.11b))
RoIC = 5.03% (NOPAT 3.21b / Invested Capital 63.76b)
WACC = 4.22% (E(21.47b)/V(67.64b) * Re(11.16%) + D(46.16b)/V(67.64b) * Rd(1.12%) * (1-Tc(0.12)))
Discount Rate = 11.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -7.16%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.01b)
EPS Correlation: -39.06 | EPS CAGR: -56.88% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.34 | Revenue CAGR: 3.98% | SUE: -1.30 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AER Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle