(AER) AerCap Holdings - Overview
Stock: Aircraft, Engines, Helicopters, Leasing
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.96% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.54% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 44.00% |
| Payout Consistency | 18.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 7.3% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 20.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.94% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.66 |
| Alpha | 39.81 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.811 |
| Beta Downside | 1.140 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 23.14% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.49 |
Description: AER AerCap Holdings December 19, 2025
AerCap Holdings N.V. (NYSE:AER) is a global aircraft leasing and asset-management firm that acquires, finances, leases, and disposes of commercial airframes, engines, and helicopters across the United States, China, and other markets. Its services span full-cycle asset management-including remarketing, maintenance monitoring, contract enforcement, repossession, insurance, valuation, and market research-plus treasury, cash-management, and corporate-secretarial functions for its lessee base.
Key operating metrics (as of FY 2024) include a portfolio of roughly 3,525 aircraft, engines, and helicopters, an EBITDA margin of about 24 %, a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio near 4.2×, and an average lease rate of 5.8 % on a 10-year basis. The company reported a backlog of $12 billion in orders, reflecting strong demand for newer, fuel-efficient models, and its return on invested capital (ROIC) has hovered around 9 % over the past three years.
The leasing sector’s performance is driven primarily by global airline capacity growth (projected at 3-4 % CAGR through 2030), the pace of new-generation aircraft deliveries, and macro-financial conditions such as interest-rate levels and currency volatility that affect lease financing costs. Additionally, fuel-price dynamics and regulatory shifts toward lower-emission fleets amplify demand for modern, efficient aircraft, which benefits AerCap’s newer-fleet focus.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on AerCap’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical dashboards worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 3.79b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.18 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.03% < 20% (prev 74.81%; Δ -95.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 5.55b > Net Income 3.79b |
| Net Debt (42.21b) to EBITDA (5.35b): 7.89 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.62 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (174.1m) vs 12m ago -9.29% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 53.94% > 18% (prev 0.58%; Δ 5336 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 10.88% > 50% (prev 10.60%; Δ 0.28% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.21 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.35b / Interest Expense TTM 2.10b) |
Altman Z'' 1.29
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 2.73b - Total Current Liabilities 4.40b) / Total Assets 71.94b |
| B: 0.22 (Retained Earnings 15.73b / Total Assets 71.94b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 4.63b / Avg Total Assets 72.88b) |
| D: 0.29 (Book Value of Equity 15.68b / Total Liabilities 53.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.29 = BB |
Beneish M -3.27
| DSRI: 0.23 (Receivables 702.1m/2.97b, Revenue 7.93b/7.82b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 53.94% / 58.00%) |
| AQI: 1.56 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.06) |
| SGI: 1.01 (Revenue 7.93b / 7.82b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 3.79b - CFO 5.55b) / TA 71.94b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.27 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of AER shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.16%, over one month by +0.48%, over three months by +11.15% and over the past year by +54.40%.
Is AER a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AER price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 153.7 | 5.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 153.7 | 5.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 196.3 | 35.1% |
AER Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Forward = 7.4405
P/S = 3.0698
P/B = 1.3555
P/EG = 0.91
Revenue TTM = 7.93b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.63b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.35b USD
Long Term Debt = 44.03b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 15.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 44.03b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.21b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 67.83b USD (25.62b + Debt 44.03b - CCE 1.81b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.21 (Ebit TTM 4.63b / Interest Expense TTM 2.10b)
EV/FCF = -473.8x (Enterprise Value 67.83b / FCF TTM -143.2m)
FCF Yield = -0.21% (FCF TTM -143.2m / Enterprise Value 67.83b)
FCF Margin = -1.81% (FCF TTM -143.2m / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Net Margin = 47.78% (Net Income TTM 3.79b / Revenue TTM 7.93b)
Gross Margin = 53.94% ((Revenue TTM 7.93b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.65b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.97% (prev 32.03%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 67.83b / Total Assets 71.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 485.9m / Debt 44.03b)
Taxrate = 14.02% (198.2m / 1.41b)
NOPAT = 3.99b (EBIT 4.63b * (1 - 14.02%))
Current Ratio = 0.62 (Total Current Assets 2.73b / Total Current Liabilities 4.40b)
Debt / Equity = 2.43 (Debt 44.03b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 18.15b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.89 (Net Debt 42.21b / EBITDA 5.35b)
Debt / FCF = -294.9 (out of range, set to none) (Net Debt 42.21b / FCF TTM -143.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 17.62b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.20% (Net Income 3.79b / Total Assets 71.94b)
RoE = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.79b / Total Stockholder Equity 17.62b)
RoCE = 7.52% (EBIT 4.63b / Capital Employed (Equity 17.62b + L.T.Debt 44.03b))
RoIC = 6.32% (NOPAT 3.99b / Invested Capital 63.02b)
WACC = 3.87% (E(25.62b)/V(69.64b) * Re(8.90%) + D(44.03b)/V(69.64b) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -8.07%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -143.2m)
EPS Correlation: -7.35 | EPS CAGR: -44.54% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 76.22 | Revenue CAGR: 7.53% | SUE: -1.31 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=+0.031 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=4
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.80 | Chg30d=+0.058 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+0.3% | Growth Revenue=-0.6%