(ALK) Alaska Air - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0116591092
Stock: Passenger Flights, Cargo Flights, Regional Flights
Total Rating 25
Risk 55
Buy Signal -1.50
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 66.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.45% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.53 |
| Alpha | -58.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.463 |
| Beta Downside | 2.905 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 50.63% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.06 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: ALK Alaska Air February 25, 2026
Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE: ALK) operates three airline segments-Alaska Airlines, Hawaiian Airlines, and Regional-providing scheduled passenger and cargo services on Boeing jets across the United States, Canada, Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean. Founded in 1932 and headquartered in Seattle, the company focuses on both long-haul routes and shorter regional connections.
Recent performance highlights include a Q4 2025 revenue of $4.3 billion, a system-wide load factor of 86.2% (up 3.1 points YoY), and an adjusted operating margin of 7.5%, driven by robust leisure travel demand and modest fuel cost inflation. The airline’s fleet modernization program, targeting a 15% increase in fuel-efficient aircraft by 2027, is a key lever against volatile jet-fuel prices, while tightening labor contracts remain a sector-wide cost pressure.
For deeper insights, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed analysis.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 100.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.59 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -23.34% < 20% (prev -20.32%; Δ -3.01% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 1.25b > Net Income 100.0m |
| Net Debt (6.27b) to EBITDA (1.29b): 4.84 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.50 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (117.4m) vs 12m ago -8.98% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 59.66% > 18% (prev 0.24%; Δ 5942 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 70.97% > 50% (prev 59.36%; Δ 11.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.05 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.29b / Interest Expense TTM 243.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.22
| A: -0.16 (Total Current Assets 3.27b - Total Current Liabilities 6.59b) / Total Assets 20.36b |
| B: 0.25 (Retained Earnings 5.03b / Total Assets 20.36b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 499.0m / Avg Total Assets 20.06b) |
| D: 0.30 (Book Value of Equity 4.86b / Total Liabilities 16.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.22 = B |
Beneish M -3.57
| DSRI: 0.83 (Receivables 565.0m/558.0m, Revenue 14.24b/11.73b) |
| GMI: 0.41 (GM 59.66% / 24.39%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.24) |
| SGI: 1.21 (Revenue 14.24b / 11.73b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 100.0m - CFO 1.25b) / TA 20.36b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.57 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of ALK shares?
As of March 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 42.30 with a total of 9,389,799 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -18.02%, over one month by -28.85%, over three months by -14.01% and over the past year by -31.99%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -18.02%, over one month by -28.85%, over three months by -14.01% and over the past year by -31.99%.
Is ALK a buy, sell or hold?
Alaska Air has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.44.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy ALK.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ALK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 70.8 | 67.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 70.8 | 67.4% |
ALK Fundamental Data Overview March 06, 2026
P/E Trailing = 58.253
P/E Forward = 8.8261
P/S = 0.3893
P/B = 1.385
P/EG = 1.1978
Revenue TTM = 14.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 499.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 918.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.81b USD (5.54b + Debt 6.89b - CCE 627.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.05 (Ebit TTM 499.0m / Interest Expense TTM 243.0m)
EV/FCF = -34.83x (Enterprise Value 11.81b / FCF TTM -339.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.87% (FCF TTM -339.0m / Enterprise Value 11.81b)
FCF Margin = -2.38% (FCF TTM -339.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Net Margin = 0.70% (Net Income TTM 100.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Gross Margin = 59.66% ((Revenue TTM 14.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 94.27% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 11.81b / Total Assets 20.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 70.0m / Debt 6.89b)
Taxrate = 30.0% (9.00m / 30.0m)
NOPAT = 349.3m (EBIT 499.0m * (1 - 30.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 3.27b / Total Current Liabilities 6.59b)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 6.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.84 (Net Debt 6.27b / EBITDA 1.29b)
Debt / FCF = -18.48 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 6.27b / FCF TTM -339.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.50% (Net Income 100.0m / Total Assets 20.36b)
RoE = 2.47% (Net Income TTM 100.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.06b)
RoCE = 5.61% (EBIT 499.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.06b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = 3.82% (NOPAT 349.3m / Invested Capital 9.14b)
WACC = 5.44% (E(5.54b)/V(12.44b) * Re(11.31%) + D(6.89b)/V(12.44b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.01%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -339.0m)
EPS Correlation: 2.81 | EPS CAGR: 108.7% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 79.60 | Revenue CAGR: 22.81% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.43 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+122.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.45 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+55.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.40 (3 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.6% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 1.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.8% (Analyst 8.8% - Implied 9.6%)
P/E Forward = 8.8261
P/S = 0.3893
P/B = 1.385
P/EG = 1.1978
Revenue TTM = 14.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 499.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.29b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.83b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 918.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.27b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.81b USD (5.54b + Debt 6.89b - CCE 627.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.05 (Ebit TTM 499.0m / Interest Expense TTM 243.0m)
EV/FCF = -34.83x (Enterprise Value 11.81b / FCF TTM -339.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.87% (FCF TTM -339.0m / Enterprise Value 11.81b)
FCF Margin = -2.38% (FCF TTM -339.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Net Margin = 0.70% (Net Income TTM 100.0m / Revenue TTM 14.24b)
Gross Margin = 59.66% ((Revenue TTM 14.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.74b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 94.27% (prev none%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 11.81b / Total Assets 20.36b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.02% (Interest Expense 70.0m / Debt 6.89b)
Taxrate = 30.0% (9.00m / 30.0m)
NOPAT = 349.3m (EBIT 499.0m * (1 - 30.00%))
Current Ratio = 0.50 (Total Current Assets 3.27b / Total Current Liabilities 6.59b)
Debt / Equity = 1.67 (Debt 6.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.12b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.84 (Net Debt 6.27b / EBITDA 1.29b)
Debt / FCF = -18.48 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 6.27b / FCF TTM -339.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.06b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.50% (Net Income 100.0m / Total Assets 20.36b)
RoE = 2.47% (Net Income TTM 100.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.06b)
RoCE = 5.61% (EBIT 499.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.06b + L.T.Debt 4.83b))
RoIC = 3.82% (NOPAT 349.3m / Invested Capital 9.14b)
WACC = 5.44% (E(5.54b)/V(12.44b) * Re(11.31%) + D(6.89b)/V(12.44b) * Rd(1.02%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 11.31% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -4.01%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -339.0m)
EPS Correlation: 2.81 | EPS CAGR: 108.7% | SUE: 1.60 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 79.60 | Revenue CAGR: 22.81% | SUE: -0.23 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=2.58 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.43 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+122.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=8.45 | Chg7d=+0.000 | Chg30d=+0.007 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+55.7% | Growth Revenue=+6.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -0.40 (3 Up / 7 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 9.6% (Discount Rate 11.3% - Earnings Yield 1.7%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -0.8% (Analyst 8.8% - Implied 9.6%)