(AMCR) Amcor - Ratings and Ratios
Flexible, Rigid, Beverage, Food, Pharma
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.51% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.61 |
| Alpha | -17.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.484 |
| Beta | 0.516 |
| Beta Downside | 0.302 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.25% |
| Mean DD | 15.84% |
| Median DD | 16.86% |
Description: AMCR Amcor October 16, 2025
Amcor plc (NYSE: AMCR) is a Zurich-based global packaging company that operates through two primary segments: Global Flexible Packaging Solutions and Global Rigid Packaging Solutions. The firm serves customers in Europe, North America, Latin America, and the Asia-Pacific, supplying a broad range of containers, closures, and dispensing devices for food & beverage, medical, personal-care, and other end-markets.
The Flexible Packaging segment produces polymer-resin, aluminum, and fiber-based films for applications such as snack foods, fresh produce, and pharmaceuticals, while the Rigid Packaging segment focuses on molded containers, caps, and specialty pharma devices. Both segments are sold primarily via Amcor’s direct sales force, giving the company tight control over customer relationships and pricing.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023) include revenue of roughly $15.3 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13 percent, and a free-cash-flow conversion of 0.9 times EBITDA. The business is increasingly exposed to three macro drivers: (1) rising consumer and regulator demand for recyclable and compostable packaging, (2) volatile raw-material costs (especially PET and aluminum), and (3) the ongoing shift toward e-commerce, which favors lightweight, flexible formats. Amcor’s 2024-2026 sustainability roadmap targets a 30 % increase in recycled-content usage and a 20 % reduction in Scope 1-2 carbon emissions, metrics that analysts watch as proxies for long-term margin resilience.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Amcor’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay useful for extending this initial overview.
AMCR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 19,806m |
| Sub-Industry | Metal, Glass & Plastic Containers |
| IPO / Inception | 2019-06-11 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -24.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.90 of 5 |
AMCR Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.04% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.54% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 2.09% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 70.1% |
AMCR Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -6.59% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.42 |
| Current Volume | 30982k |
| Average Volume | 26984.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.0
| Net Income (582.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.04b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.13pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.98% (prev 8.63%; Δ -6.66pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.04 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.53b > Net Income 582.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (14.97b) to EBITDA (2.19b) ratio: 6.85 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.04 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.59b) change vs 12m ago 10.32% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 18.96% (prev 20.12%; Δ -1.16pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.38% (prev 80.13%; Δ -15.75pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.53 (EBITDA TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 486.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.39
| (A) 0.01 = (Total Current Assets 8.53b - Total Current Liabilities 8.19b) / Total Assets 37.15b |
| (B) 0.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 516.0m / Total Assets 37.15b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 1.23b / Avg Total Assets 27.03b |
| (D) -0.02 = Book Value of Equity -498.0m / Total Liabilities 25.42b |
| Total Rating: 0.39 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 56.28
| 1. Piotroski 2.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.43% |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.84% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 6.85 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.64)% |
| 7. RoE 7.49% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 49.24% |
| 9. EPS Trend 11.79% |
What is the price of AMCR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.24%, over one month by +4.42%, over three months by -0.21% and over the past year by -15.34%.
Is AMCR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMCR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.4 | 22.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.4 | 22.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.7 | 2% |
AMCR Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 28.2667
P/E Forward = 10.5485
P/S = 1.1382
P/B = 1.6705
P/EG = 0.5669
Beta = 0.689
Revenue TTM = 17.40b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.19b USD
Long Term Debt = 12.82b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.80b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.97b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 34.78b USD (19.81b + Debt 15.80b - CCE 825.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.53 (Ebit TTM 1.23b / Interest Expense TTM 486.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.43% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Enterprise Value 34.78b)
FCF Margin = 8.84% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 17.40b)
Net Margin = 3.34% (Net Income TTM 582.0m / Revenue TTM 17.40b)
Gross Margin = 18.96% ((Revenue TTM 17.40b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.10b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.56% (prev 17.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.94 (Enterprise Value 34.78b / Total Assets 37.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 176.0m / Debt 15.80b)
Taxrate = 15.76% (49.0m / 311.0m)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.23b * (1 - 15.76%))
Current Ratio = 1.04 (Total Current Assets 8.53b / Total Current Liabilities 8.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.35 (Debt 15.80b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.72b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.85 (Net Debt 14.97b / EBITDA 2.19b)
Debt / FCF = 9.73 (Net Debt 14.97b / FCF TTM 1.54b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.57% (Net Income 582.0m / Total Assets 37.15b)
RoE = 7.49% (Net Income TTM 582.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.77b)
RoCE = 5.96% (EBIT 1.23b / Capital Employed (Equity 7.77b + L.T.Debt 12.82b))
RoIC = 5.46% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 18.94b)
WACC = 4.82% (E(19.81b)/V(35.60b) * Re(7.92%) + D(15.80b)/V(35.60b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.18%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.65% ; FCFE base≈1.19b ; Y1≈1.22b ; Y5≈1.37b
Fair Price DCF = 10.42 (DCF Value 24.05b / Shares Outstanding 2.31b; 5y FCF grow 2.43% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.79 | EPS CAGR: 0.57% | SUE: 0.25 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 49.24 | Revenue CAGR: 18.03% | SUE: -0.09 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for AMCR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle