(AMPY) Energy - Overview
Stock: Oil, Natural Gas
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.21% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.27 |
| Alpha | -20.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.053 |
| Beta Downside | 2.211 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 77.30% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.21 |
Description: AMPY Energy January 18, 2026
Amplify Energy Corp. (NYSE: AMPY) is a Houston-based E&P company that acquires, develops, and produces oil and natural gas across a geographically diversified portfolio that includes operating and non-operating interests in Oklahoma, the Rocky Mountain region, offshore Southern California federal waters, East Texas/North Louisiana, and the Eagle Ford basin.
As of its latest quarterly report (Q4 2024), the company generated approximately 12 MMboe of net production, with a 6 % year-over-year increase in oil output driven by higher drilling activity in the Eagle Ford and Oklahoma assets. Cash flow from operations stood at $85 million, supporting a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 2.2×, which is modest relative to the broader independent sector. Key economic drivers for Amplify include U.S. crude price trends (WTI ≈ $80-$85 per barrel) and the ongoing demand for natural gas in power generation, while sector-wide pressures such as tightening capital allocation and ESG scrutiny remain relevant.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of AMPY’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s analytical platform worth a quick look.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -27.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.76 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 0.00% < 20% (prev 1.31%; Δ -1.31% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 75.1m > Net Income -27.9m |
| Net Debt (127.5m) to EBITDA (12.7m): 10.04 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.02 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (40.5m) vs 12m ago 1.73% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 93.46% > 18% (prev 0.50%; Δ 9295 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 9415 % > 50% (prev 41.21%; Δ 9374 % > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.72 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 12.7m / Interest Expense TTM 14.7m) |
Altman Z'' -0.61
| A: 0.00 (Total Current Assets 70.4m - Total Current Liabilities 69.0m) / Total Assets 731.4m |
| B: -0.07 (Retained Earnings -51.9m / Total Assets 731.4m) |
| C: -0.03 (EBIT TTM -25.2m / Avg Total Assets 735.3m) |
| D: -0.15 (Book Value of Equity -51.5m / Total Liabilities 338.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.61 = B |
Beneish M 1.00
| DSRI: 0.00 (Receivables 33.2m/32.3m, Revenue 69.23b/304.6m) |
| GMI: 0.54 (GM 93.46% / 50.12%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.41 / AQ_t-1 0.39) |
| SGI: 227.2 (Revenue 69.23b / 304.6m) |
| TATA: -0.14 (NI -27.9m - CFO 75.1m) / TA 731.4m) |
| Beneish M-Score: 157.8 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of AMPY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.19%, over one month by +13.85%, over three months by +5.71% and over the past year by -2.08%.
Is AMPY a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AMPY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 9.1 | 76.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 9.1 | 76.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 5.1 | -1% |
AMPY Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.7367
P/B = 0.5181
Revenue TTM = 69.23b USD
EBIT TTM = -25.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 12.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 123.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.55m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 127.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 127.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 330.7m USD (203.2m + Debt 127.5m - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.72 (Ebit TTM -25.2m / Interest Expense TTM 14.7m)
EV/FCF = -14.18x (Enterprise Value 330.7m / FCF TTM -23.3m)
FCF Yield = -7.05% (FCF TTM -23.3m / Enterprise Value 330.7m)
FCF Margin = -0.03% (FCF TTM -23.3m / Revenue TTM 69.23b)
Net Margin = -0.04% (Net Income TTM -27.9m / Revenue TTM 69.23b)
Gross Margin = 93.46% ((Revenue TTM 69.23b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 92.11% (prev 22.31%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.45 (Enterprise Value 330.7m / Total Assets 731.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.03% (Interest Expense 3.86m / Debt 127.5m)
Taxrate = 15.79% (2.43m / 15.4m)
NOPAT = -21.2m (EBIT -25.2m * (1 - 15.79%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.02 (Total Current Assets 70.4m / Total Current Liabilities 69.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.32 (Debt 127.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 393.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.04 (Net Debt 127.5m / EBITDA 12.7m)
Debt / FCF = -5.47 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 127.5m / FCF TTM -23.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 404.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -3.79% (Net Income -27.9m / Total Assets 731.4m)
RoE = -6.90% (Net Income TTM -27.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 404.0m)
RoCE = -4.78% (EBIT -25.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 404.0m + L.T.Debt 123.0m))
RoIC = -4.00% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -21.2m / Invested Capital 530.3m)
WACC = 7.00% (E(203.2m)/V(330.7m) * Re(9.79%) + D(127.5m)/V(330.7m) * Rd(3.03%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.79% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.31%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -23.3m)
EPS Correlation: -16.72 | EPS CAGR: 175.6% | SUE: -0.38 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 9.36 | Revenue CAGR: -8.61% | SUE: -0.53 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.35 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+216.7% | Growth Revenue=-45.1%