(AON) Aon - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Ireland •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: IE00BLP1HW54
Stock: Risk, reinsurance, health, M&A, investment
Total Rating 29
Risk 71
Buy Signal -0.76
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.37% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.97% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.9% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.35% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.58 |
| Alpha | -17.77 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.337 |
| Beta Downside | 0.432 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 20.00% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.17 |
Description: AON Aon January 28, 2026
Aon plc (NYSE:AON) is a Dublin-based professional services firm that delivers risk-management, human-capital, and insurance-linked solutions globally. Its offerings span commercial risk (retail brokerage, specialty lines, captive management), health and talent advisory, reinsurance (treaty and facultative), and investment advisory for defined-benefit, defined-contribution, and other institutional plans.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue $13.6 bn, operating margin 13.2 %, and adjusted earnings per share of $21.15, reflecting a 5 % YoY revenue growth driven by strong demand for cyber-risk and climate-risk consulting. The insurance-brokerage sector is currently expanding at ~4 % CAGR, bolstered by higher corporate spending on ESG-linked coverage and pension-fund de-risking.
Given Aon’s diversified revenue mix and exposure to secular risk-management trends, a deeper quantitative dive could be valuable; ValueRay’s analytical tools may help you model scenario-based valuations and sensitivity to macro-drivers.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 3.69b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.10 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 14.83% < 20% (prev 2.78%; Δ 12.05% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 3.28b > Net Income 3.69b |
| Net Debt (14.70b) to EBITDA (5.12b): 2.87 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (216.5m) vs 12m ago -0.82% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 47.70% > 18% (prev 0.47%; Δ 4723 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 34.45% > 50% (prev 32.06%; Δ 2.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 5.12b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m) |
Altman Z'' 0.64
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 25.77b - Total Current Liabilities 23.23b) / Total Assets 50.78b |
| B: -0.00 (Retained Earnings -245.0m / Total Assets 50.78b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 3.17b / Avg Total Assets 49.87b) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -4.09b / Total Liabilities 41.24b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.64 = B |
Beneish M -3.53
| DSRI: 0.35 (Receivables 4.21b/11.09b, Revenue 17.18b/15.70b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 47.70% / 47.24%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.47 / AQ_t-1 0.49) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 17.18b / 15.70b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 3.69b - CFO 3.28b) / TA 50.78b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.53 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of AON shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 342.04 with a total of 1,326,134 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.96%, over one month by -1.97%, over three months by +0.81% and over the past year by -10.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.96%, over one month by -1.97%, over three months by +0.81% and over the past year by -10.33%.
Is AON a buy, sell or hold?
Aon has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.55.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold AON.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the AON price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 396.2 | 15.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 396.2 | 15.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 348.1 | 1.8% |
AON Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 27.48
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 4.3428
P/B = 9.2848
P/EG = 1.5166
Revenue TTM = 17.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.05b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 589.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.70b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.04b USD (73.95b + Debt 15.89b - CCE 2.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.33 (Ebit TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.63x (Enterprise Value 87.04b / FCF TTM 3.04b)
FCF Yield = 3.49% (FCF TTM 3.04b / Enterprise Value 87.04b)
FCF Margin = 17.69% (FCF TTM 3.04b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Net Margin = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Gross Margin = 47.70% ((Revenue TTM 17.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.77% (prev 43.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.71 (Enterprise Value 87.04b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -1.20% (Interest Expense -191.0m / Debt 15.89b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (505.0m / 2.21b)
NOPAT = 2.45b (EBIT 3.17b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 25.77b / Total Current Liabilities 23.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.70 (Debt 15.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 14.70b / EBITDA 5.12b)
Debt / FCF = 4.83 (Net Debt 14.70b / FCF TTM 3.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.41% (Net Income 3.69b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 13.75% (EBIT 3.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 15.05b))
RoIC = 9.86% (NOPAT 2.45b / Invested Capital 24.83b)
WACC = 5.73% (E(73.95b)/V(89.84b) * Re(7.16%) + D(15.89b)/V(89.84b) * Rd(-1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.55% ; FCFF base≈2.98b ; Y1≈3.04b ; Y5≈3.37b
Fair Price DCF = 397.8 (EV 100.19b - Net Debt 14.70b = Equity 85.50b / Shares 214.9m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 27.22 | EPS CAGR: 0.11% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.17 | Revenue CAGR: 4.32% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=6.37 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.03 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+11.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.41 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%
P/E Forward = 18.0505
P/S = 4.3428
P/B = 9.2848
P/EG = 1.5166
Revenue TTM = 17.18b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 15.05b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 589.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.89b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 14.70b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 87.04b USD (73.95b + Debt 15.89b - CCE 2.80b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.33 (Ebit TTM 3.17b / Interest Expense TTM 433.0m)
EV/FCF = 28.63x (Enterprise Value 87.04b / FCF TTM 3.04b)
FCF Yield = 3.49% (FCF TTM 3.04b / Enterprise Value 87.04b)
FCF Margin = 17.69% (FCF TTM 3.04b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Net Margin = 21.51% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Revenue TTM 17.18b)
Gross Margin = 47.70% ((Revenue TTM 17.18b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.98b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 50.77% (prev 43.48%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.71 (Enterprise Value 87.04b / Total Assets 50.78b)
Interest Expense / Debt = -1.20% (Interest Expense -191.0m / Debt 15.89b)
Taxrate = 22.86% (505.0m / 2.21b)
NOPAT = 2.45b (EBIT 3.17b * (1 - 22.86%))
Current Ratio = 1.11 (Total Current Assets 25.77b / Total Current Liabilities 23.23b)
Debt / Equity = 1.70 (Debt 15.89b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.35b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 14.70b / EBITDA 5.12b)
Debt / FCF = 4.83 (Net Debt 14.70b / FCF TTM 3.04b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 8.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.41% (Net Income 3.69b / Total Assets 50.78b)
RoE = 45.99% (Net Income TTM 3.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 8.03b)
RoCE = 13.75% (EBIT 3.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 8.03b + L.T.Debt 15.05b))
RoIC = 9.86% (NOPAT 2.45b / Invested Capital 24.83b)
WACC = 5.73% (E(73.95b)/V(89.84b) * Re(7.16%) + D(15.89b)/V(89.84b) * Rd(-1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 7.16% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 3.53%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.55% ; FCFF base≈2.98b ; Y1≈3.04b ; Y5≈3.37b
Fair Price DCF = 397.8 (EV 100.19b - Net Debt 14.70b = Equity 85.50b / Shares 214.9m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 2.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 27.22 | EPS CAGR: 0.11% | SUE: 0.44 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.17 | Revenue CAGR: 4.32% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=6.37 | Chg30d=-0.018 | Revisions Net=-5 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.03 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+11.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=21.41 | Chg30d=-0.061 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+12.5% | Growth Revenue=+5.6%