(APG) Api - Overview
Stock: Fire Protection, HVAC, Elevators, Infrastructure, Industrial
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 30.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.80 |
| Alpha | 59.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.066 |
| Beta Downside | 0.985 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 21.23% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.20 |
Description: APG Api January 03, 2026
APi Group Corp. (NYSE:APG) delivers end-to-end safety and specialty services, covering fire-protection, HVAC, and vertical-transport systems, as well as maintenance of underground utilities and industrial plant infrastructure. Its customer base spans commercial, education, healthcare, high-tech, industrial, and government sectors, reflecting a diversified revenue mix.
Recent data (FY 2023) show APG generated roughly $2.1 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 11 %, and a backlog of about $1.5 billion, indicating solid demand continuity. The business is sensitive to macro-level construction spending and utility-infrastructure investment, both of which have been buoyed by recent U.S. federal infrastructure bills and rising ESG-related safety standards. However, the firm faces cost-inflation pressure from labor shortages and material price volatility, which could compress margins if not offset by price escalations.
For a deeper quantitative look at APG’s valuation metrics, you might explore the analysis on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income: 263.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.74% < 20% (prev 13.16%; Δ -0.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 660.0m > Net Income 263.0m |
| Net Debt (2.50b) to EBITDA (816.0m): 3.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.48 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (429.0m) vs 12m ago 3.65% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.14% > 18% (prev 0.31%; Δ 3084 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 90.24% > 50% (prev 83.88%; Δ 6.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.40 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 816.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.28
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 3.01b - Total Current Liabilities 2.03b) / Total Assets 8.72b |
| B: 0.05 (Retained Earnings 420.0m / Total Assets 8.72b) |
| C: 0.06 (EBIT TTM 493.0m / Avg Total Assets 8.48b) |
| D: -0.00 (Book Value of Equity -7.96m / Total Liabilities 5.45b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.28 = BB |
Beneish M -3.02
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 2.14b/1.90b, Revenue 7.66b/6.92b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 31.14% / 30.52%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.59) |
| SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 7.66b / 6.92b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 263.0m - CFO 660.0m) / TA 8.72b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.02 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of APG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.93%, over one month by +7.94%, over three months by +23.23% and over the past year by +72.55%.
Is APG a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the APG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 44.9 | 1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 44.9 | 1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 64.8 | 45.8% |
APG Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 26.3852
P/S = 2.4206
P/B = 5.551
Revenue TTM = 7.66b USD
EBIT TTM = 493.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 816.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.75b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 99.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 21.03b USD (18.53b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 555.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.40 (Ebit TTM 493.0m / Interest Expense TTM 145.0m)
EV/FCF = 36.76x (Enterprise Value 21.03b / FCF TTM 572.0m)
FCF Yield = 2.72% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Enterprise Value 21.03b)
FCF Margin = 7.47% (FCF TTM 572.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Net Margin = 3.44% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Revenue TTM 7.66b)
Gross Margin = 31.14% ((Revenue TTM 7.66b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.27b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 31.27% (prev 30.90%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.41 (Enterprise Value 21.03b / Total Assets 8.72b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.11% (Interest Expense 34.0m / Debt 3.05b)
Taxrate = 28.46% (37.0m / 130.0m)
NOPAT = 352.7m (EBIT 493.0m * (1 - 28.46%))
Current Ratio = 1.48 (Total Current Assets 3.01b / Total Current Liabilities 2.03b)
Debt / Equity = 0.93 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.06 (Net Debt 2.50b / EBITDA 816.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.37 (Net Debt 2.50b / FCF TTM 572.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.10% (Net Income 263.0m / Total Assets 8.72b)
RoE = 8.50% (Net Income TTM 263.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.10b)
RoCE = 8.43% (EBIT 493.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.10b + L.T.Debt 2.75b))
RoIC = 6.03% (NOPAT 352.7m / Invested Capital 5.85b)
WACC = 8.56% (E(18.53b)/V(21.58b) * Re(9.84%) + D(3.05b)/V(21.58b) * Rd(1.11%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.84% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 10.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.46% ; FCFF base≈561.6m ; Y1≈692.8m ; Y5≈1.18b
Fair Price DCF = 35.72 (EV 17.90b - Net Debt 2.50b = Equity 15.40b / Shares 431.1m; r=8.56% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -3.19 | EPS CAGR: -40.60% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 74.33 | Revenue CAGR: 18.25% | SUE: 1.25 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.30 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=10
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.28 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+50.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.8%