(AR) Antero Resources - Overview
Stock: Natural Gas, Natural Gas Liquids, Oil, Midstream Infrastructure
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 41.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.54% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.11 |
| Alpha | -26.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.047 |
| Beta Downside | 1.661 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 33.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.27 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: AR Antero Resources January 03, 2026
Antero Resources Corp (NYSE:AR) is an independent U.S. oil and natural-gas producer focused on the Appalachian Basin and the Upper Devonian Shale, where it holds roughly 521,000 net acres and 170,000 net acres respectively.
The firm operates three business segments-Exploration & Production, Marketing, and an equity-method investment in Antero Midstream-and owns about 708 mi of gas-gathering pipelines that support its production footprint.
Key operational metrics (2023) include ≈ 1.5 bcf/d of natural-gas equivalent production, ≈ $1.2 billion of cash flow from operations, and a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of ~ 2.1×, reflecting a balance between growth capital and financial leverage.
Sector drivers that materially affect AR are U.S. natural-gas price volatility (linked to seasonal heating demand and LNG export capacity), the ongoing shift toward higher-margin NGLs, and the broader capital-intensity of Appalachian shale development.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore the company’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 634.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.10 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.23 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -12.90% < 20% (prev -22.78%; Δ 9.88% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.63b > Net Income 634.4m |
| Net Debt (4.93b) to EBITDA (1.75b): 2.82 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.55 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (312.4m) vs 12m ago -0.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 23.05% > 18% (prev 0.07%; Δ 2298 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 38.12% > 50% (prev 31.66%; Δ 6.47% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 11.92 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.75b / Interest Expense TTM 83.7m) |
Altman Z'' 0.84
| A: -0.05 (Total Current Assets 831.8m - Total Current Liabilities 1.50b) / Total Assets 14.29b |
| B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 1.68b / Total Assets 14.29b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 997.1m / Avg Total Assets 13.65b) |
| D: 0.26 (Book Value of Equity 1.69b / Total Liabilities 6.57b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.84 = B |
Beneish M 0.04
| DSRI: 0.82 (Receivables 507.2m/488.0m, Revenue 5.20b/4.12b) |
| GMI: 0.31 (GM 23.05% / 7.09%) |
| AQI: 7.27 (AQ_t 0.15 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.26 (Revenue 5.20b / 4.12b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 634.4m - CFO 1.63b) / TA 14.29b) |
| Beneish M-Score: 0.04 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
What is the price of AR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.24%, over one month by +8.12%, over three months by +6.66% and over the past year by -10.05%.
Is AR a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 5
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 43.8 | 23.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 43.8 | 23.3% |
AR Fundamental Data Overview February 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.8866
P/S = 2.032
P/B = 1.3741
P/EG = 0.3459
Revenue TTM = 5.20b USD
EBIT TTM = 997.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.75b USD
Long Term Debt = 1.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 516.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.14b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.93b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.37b USD (10.44b + Debt 5.14b - CCE 210.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.92 (Ebit TTM 997.1m / Interest Expense TTM 83.7m)
EV/FCF = 11.22x (Enterprise Value 15.37b / FCF TTM 1.37b)
FCF Yield = 8.91% (FCF TTM 1.37b / Enterprise Value 15.37b)
FCF Margin = 26.32% (FCF TTM 1.37b / Revenue TTM 5.20b)
Net Margin = 12.19% (Net Income TTM 634.4m / Revenue TTM 5.20b)
Gross Margin = 23.05% ((Revenue TTM 5.20b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.00b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.11% (prev 13.69%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.08 (Enterprise Value 15.37b / Total Assets 14.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.43% (Interest Expense 22.1m / Debt 5.14b)
Taxrate = 25.63% (69.9m / 272.9m)
NOPAT = 741.5m (EBIT 997.1m * (1 - 25.63%))
Current Ratio = 0.55 (Total Current Assets 831.8m / Total Current Liabilities 1.50b)
Debt / Equity = 0.68 (Debt 5.14b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 7.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.82 (Net Debt 4.93b / EBITDA 1.75b)
Debt / FCF = 3.60 (Net Debt 4.93b / FCF TTM 1.37b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.36b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.65% (Net Income 634.4m / Total Assets 14.29b)
RoE = 8.63% (Net Income TTM 634.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.36b)
RoCE = 11.39% (EBIT 997.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.36b + L.T.Debt 1.40b))
RoIC = 8.59% (NOPAT 741.5m / Invested Capital 8.63b)
WACC = 6.65% (E(10.44b)/V(15.58b) * Re(9.77%) + D(5.14b)/V(15.58b) * Rd(0.43%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 9.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.06%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.31% ; FCFF base≈1.15b ; Y1≈1.27b ; Y5≈1.62b
Fair Price DCF = 107.4 (EV 38.05b - Net Debt 4.93b = Equity 33.12b / Shares 308.5m; r=6.65% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 11.23% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -49.68 | EPS CAGR: -23.21% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -49.69 | Revenue CAGR: -4.76% | SUE: 0.38 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.89 | Chg30d=+0.159 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.20 | Chg30d=-0.292 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=+86.0% | Growth Revenue=+18.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.90 | Chg30d=-0.519 | Revisions Net=-5 | Growth EPS=+21.7% | Growth Revenue=+4.6%