(ARES) Ares Management - Ratings and Ratios
Credit, Private Equity, Real Estate
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.99% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 16.14% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 23.48% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.8% |
| Payout Ratio | 92.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 28.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 48.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 3.63% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.15 |
| Alpha | -31.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.79 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.354 |
| Beta | 1.647 |
| Beta Downside | 1.946 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.98% |
| Mean DD | 6.75% |
| Median DD | 3.81% |
Description: ARES Ares Management October 08, 2025
Ares Management Corp. (NYSE: ARES) is a global alternative-asset manager with operations across the United States, Europe, and Asia. Its business is organized into three primary segments: (1) Direct Lending, which extends senior-secured loans to small- and medium-sized enterprises; (2) Private Equity, which targets majority or shared-control stakes in under-capitalized companies; and (3) Real Estate, which focuses on control-oriented investments in new developments, asset repositionings, and middle-market commercial-real-estate financing.
Founded in 1997 and headquartered in Los Angeles, Ares was formerly known as Ares Management, L.P. The firm’s general partner is Ares Management GP LLC, and it maintains additional offices throughout North America, Europe, and Asia to source and manage its diversified investment platform.
Key data points that shape Ares’ outlook include: • Assets under management (AUM) of roughly $430 billion as of Q2 2024, reflecting a 12 % YoY increase driven largely by strong inflows into its credit and private-equity vehicles. • Net income margin of ~27 % in FY 2023, supported by a low-duration loan book that benefits from a flattening yield curve but remains sensitive to a potential rise in interest rates. • Private-equity fundraising pipelines show a 15 % YoY growth, with a focus on technology-enabled services-a sector that historically outperforms during periods of moderate economic expansion. These drivers suggest that Ares’ performance is closely tied to credit market conditions, private-equity exit environments, and the health of commercial-real-estate demand.
If you want a deeper, data-rich view of ARES’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst dashboard can help you spot any hidden catalysts before the next earnings release.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (650.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 329.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 11.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 56.99% (prev -37.52%; Δ 94.50pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.56b > Net Income 650.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (10.55b) to EBITDA (1.22b) ratio: 8.65 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.54 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (219.9m) change vs 12m ago 9.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 39.10% (prev 46.10%; Δ -7.00pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 21.32% (prev 15.01%; Δ 6.32pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.49 (EBITDA TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 671.2m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.81
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 8.93b - Total Current Liabilities 5.80b) / Total Assets 27.03b |
| (B) -0.05 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.22b / Total Assets 27.03b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 1.00b / Avg Total Assets 25.78b |
| (D) -0.07 = Book Value of Equity -1.22b / Total Liabilities 18.43b |
| Total Rating: 0.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.60
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 7.39% |
| 3. FCF Margin 81.74% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.94 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 8.65 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -4.14)% |
| 7. RoE 15.46% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 55.82% |
| 9. EPS Trend 65.79% |
What is the price of ARES shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.39%, over one month by +3.92%, over three months by -12.45% and over the past year by -8.92%.
Is ARES a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ARES price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 183.6 | 17.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 183.6 | 17.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 189.8 | 21% |
ARES Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 63.3376
P/E Forward = 22.7273
P/S = 9.1829
P/B = 10.7807
P/EG = 1.071
Beta = 1.549
Revenue TTM = 5.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.26b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 785.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.15b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 10.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 60.83b USD (49.18b + Debt 13.15b - CCE 1.50b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.49 (Ebit TTM 1.00b / Interest Expense TTM 671.2m)
FCF Yield = 7.39% (FCF TTM 4.49b / Enterprise Value 60.83b)
FCF Margin = 81.74% (FCF TTM 4.49b / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Net Margin = 11.83% (Net Income TTM 650.4m / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Gross Margin = 39.10% ((Revenue TTM 5.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.35b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.82% (prev 48.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.25 (Enterprise Value 60.83b / Total Assets 27.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.35% (Interest Expense 46.3m / Debt 13.15b)
Taxrate = 17.15% (111.9m / 652.3m)
NOPAT = 831.0m (EBIT 1.00b * (1 - 17.15%))
Current Ratio = 1.54 (Total Current Assets 8.93b / Total Current Liabilities 5.80b)
Debt / Equity = 2.94 (Debt 13.15b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = 8.65 (Net Debt 10.55b / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = 2.35 (Net Debt 10.55b / FCF TTM 4.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.41% (Net Income 650.4m / Total Assets 27.03b)
RoE = 15.46% (Net Income TTM 650.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.21b)
RoCE = 6.48% (EBIT 1.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.21b + L.T.Debt 11.26b))
RoIC = 5.45% (NOPAT 831.0m / Invested Capital 15.25b)
WACC = 9.59% (E(49.18b)/V(62.33b) * Re(12.08%) + D(13.15b)/V(62.33b) * Rd(0.35%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 12.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 54.67% ; FCFE base≈3.22b ; Y1≈2.12b ; Y5≈967.6m
Fair Price DCF = 52.35 (DCF Value 11.35b / Shares Outstanding 216.9m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 65.79 | EPS CAGR: 9.39% | SUE: 0.33 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 55.82 | Revenue CAGR: 6.47% | SUE: 1.95 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for ARES Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle