(ARI) Apollo Commercial Real - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US03762U1051

ARI: Mortgage Loans, Subordinate Financings, Commercial Debt Investments

Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. (NYSE:ARI) is a publicly traded real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in commercial real estate debt investments. The company focuses on originating, acquiring, and managing first mortgage loans, mezzanine financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt instruments. Its investment portfolio spans the United States, the United Kingdom, and select European markets, targeting high-quality commercial properties with strong collateral backing.

As a REIT, ARI is structured to avoid federal income taxes by distributing at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders. This tax-efficient structure is a key feature for income-focused investors. Incorporated in 2009 and headquartered in New York, the company leverages its deep expertise in real estate capital markets to identify attractive risk-adjusted returns in both stable and transitional properties.

From a financial perspective, ARI has a market capitalization of approximately $1.4 billion, with a forward P/E ratio of 16.64, indicating expectations for steady earnings growth. Its price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75 suggests that the stock may be undervalued relative to its book value, a metric closely watched by value investors. The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 9.48 reflects its revenue generation capabilities in the competitive mortgage REIT space.

Investors and fund managers should note that ARI’s business model is highly sensitive to interest rate fluctuations and real estate market cycles. Its ability to navigate these dynamics while maintaining loan underwriting discipline will be critical to long-term performance. The company’s diversification across geographies and property types helps mitigate concentration risk, but it also requires a nuanced understanding of local market conditions.

ARI’s competitive position is bolstered by its affiliation with Apollo Global Management, one of the world’s largest alternative asset managers. This relationship provides access to proprietary deal flow, robust credit analysis, and significant operational resources. For investors seeking exposure to commercial real estate debt, ARI offers a compelling combination of yield and diversification, though careful consideration of macroeconomic trends and the company’s leverage levels is essential.

Additional Sources for ARI Stock

ARI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 1,386m
Sector Real Estate
Industry REIT - Mortgage
GiC Sub-Industry Mortgage REITs
IPO / Inception 2009-09-24

ARI Stock Ratings

Growth 5y 47.9%
Fundamental -2.74%
Dividend 53.1%
Rel. Strength -19.4
Analysts 2.86/5
Fair Price Momentum 10.46 USD
Fair Price DCF 2.03 USD

ARI Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 11.93%
Yield on Cost 5y 33.85%
Annual Growth 5y -3.71%
Payout Consistency 94.3%

ARI Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 66.1%
Growth Correlation 12m -16%
Growth Correlation 5y 42.1%
CAGR 5y 23.91%
CAGR/Max DD 5y 0.57
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.31
Alpha -17.48
Beta 1.806
Volatility 22.26%
Current Volume 911.7k
Average Volume 20d 954.4k
What is the price of ARI stocks?
As of April 03, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 9.48 with a total of 911,732 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.59%, over one month by -2.68%, over three months by +10.59% and over the past year by -1.51%.
Is Apollo Commercial Real a good stock to buy?
Neither. Based on ValueRay Fundamental Analyses, Apollo Commercial Real is currently (April 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of -2.74 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of ARI as of April 2025 is 10.46. This means that ARI is currently undervalued and has a potential upside of +10.34% (Margin of Safety).
Is ARI a buy, sell or hold?
Apollo Commercial Real has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.86. Therefor, it is recommend to hold ARI.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecast for ARI stock price target?
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, ARI Apollo Commercial Real will be worth about 11.3 in April 2026. The stock is currently trading at 9.48. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +19.2%.
Issuer Forecast Upside
Wallstreet Target Price 9.8 2.8%
Analysts Target Price 8.9 -6.3%
ValueRay Target Price 11.3 19.2%