(ATO) Atmos Energy - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US0495601058
Natural Gas, Distribution, Pipeline, Storage, Transmission
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.11% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.21% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.73% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 48.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 16.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.80% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.98 |
| Alpha | 13.86 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.372 |
| Beta | 0.176 |
| Beta Downside | 0.251 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 16.87% |
| Mean DD | 3.94% |
| Median DD | 3.50% |
Description: ATO Atmos Energy October 14, 2025
Atmos Energy (ATO) operates as a regulated natural-gas utility in the United States, split between a Distribution segment serving roughly 3.3 million residential, commercial, public-authority, and industrial customers across eight states, and a Pipeline & Storage segment that moves third-party gas and runs five underground storage facilities in Texas. The company owns about 73,689 mi of distribution and transmission mains and 5,645 mi of gas-transmission lines.
As of FY 2023, Atmos reported an operating cash flow of $2.1 billion and a regulated rate base of $30.5 billion, reflecting a modest 3 % year-over-year increase in customer connections and a 2 % rise in average residential consumption per customer, driven by mild-weather recovery after the 2022 winter storm.
Key economic drivers for Atmos include regional weather patterns (which influence heating-season demand), the ongoing shift toward electrification that could cap long-term gas growth, and state-level regulatory decisions on rate adjustments. The utility’s exposure to Texas storage assets also provides a hedge against price volatility, as storage utilization typically spikes when wholesale gas prices rise sharply.
For a deeper dive into Atmos’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might find ValueRay’s data platform a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (1.20b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 282.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -9.58% (prev -1.77%; Δ -7.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.05b > Net Income 1.20b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.10b) to EBITDA (2.38b) ratio: 3.82 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.67 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (160.6m) change vs 12m ago 4.93% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 52.37% (prev 57.92%; Δ -5.55pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 17.39% (prev 16.53%; Δ 0.85pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 9.61 (EBITDA TTM 2.38b / Interest Expense TTM 171.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.22
| (A) -0.02 = (Total Current Assets 912.1m - Total Current Liabilities 1.36b) / Total Assets 28.91b |
| (B) 0.17 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 4.86b / Total Assets 28.91b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 1.65b / Avg Total Assets 27.05b |
| (D) 0.35 = Book Value of Equity 5.34b / Total Liabilities 15.35b |
| Total Rating: 1.22 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 40.79
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -4.03% |
| 3. FCF Margin -32.15% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.69 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.82 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.07)% |
| 7. RoE 9.07% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -10.58% |
| 9. EPS Trend 4.03% |
What is the price of ATO shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 171.29 with a total of 939,141 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -0.18%, over three months by +3.48% and over the past year by +22.45%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -0.18%, over three months by +3.48% and over the past year by +22.45%.
Is ATO a buy, sell or hold?
Atmos Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold ATO.
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the ATO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 174.4 | 1.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 174.4 | 1.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 203.6 | 18.8% |
ATO Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
Market Cap USD = 28.42b (28.42b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.5893
P/E Forward = 22.0264
P/S = 6.0424
P/B = 2.0957
P/EG = 2.1604
Beta = 0.749
Revenue TTM = 4.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 65.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 37.52b USD (28.42b + Debt 9.30b - CCE 203.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.61 (Ebit TTM 1.65b / Interest Expense TTM 171.7m)
FCF Yield = -4.03% (FCF TTM -1.51b / Enterprise Value 37.52b)
FCF Margin = -32.15% (FCF TTM -1.51b / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Net Margin = 25.49% (Net Income TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Gross Margin = 52.37% ((Revenue TTM 4.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.00% (prev 44.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 37.52b / Total Assets 28.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.35% (Interest Expense 32.3m / Debt 9.30b)
Taxrate = 17.94% (38.2m / 213.1m)
NOPAT = 1.35b (EBIT 1.65b * (1 - 17.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 912.1m / Total Current Liabilities 1.36b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 9.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.82 (Net Debt 9.10b / EBITDA 2.38b)
Debt / FCF = -6.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.10b / FCF TTM -1.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.15% (Net Income 1.20b / Total Assets 28.91b)
RoE = 9.07% (Net Income TTM 1.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.22b)
RoCE = 7.43% (EBIT 1.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.22b + L.T.Debt 8.98b))
RoIC = 6.16% (NOPAT 1.35b / Invested Capital 21.97b)
WACC = 5.09% (E(28.42b)/V(37.72b) * Re(6.66%) + D(9.30b)/V(37.72b) * Rd(0.35%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.53%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.51b)
EPS Correlation: 4.03 | EPS CAGR: -13.71% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -10.58 | Revenue CAGR: -8.11% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.30 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=+0.152 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+8.2% | Growth Revenue=+13.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.63 | Chg30d=+0.111 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+7.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%
P/E Trailing = 23.5893
P/E Forward = 22.0264
P/S = 6.0424
P/B = 2.0957
P/EG = 2.1604
Beta = 0.749
Revenue TTM = 4.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.65b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 8.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 65.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.30b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.10b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 37.52b USD (28.42b + Debt 9.30b - CCE 203.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.61 (Ebit TTM 1.65b / Interest Expense TTM 171.7m)
FCF Yield = -4.03% (FCF TTM -1.51b / Enterprise Value 37.52b)
FCF Margin = -32.15% (FCF TTM -1.51b / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Net Margin = 25.49% (Net Income TTM 1.20b / Revenue TTM 4.70b)
Gross Margin = 52.37% ((Revenue TTM 4.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.24b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.00% (prev 44.95%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.30 (Enterprise Value 37.52b / Total Assets 28.91b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.35% (Interest Expense 32.3m / Debt 9.30b)
Taxrate = 17.94% (38.2m / 213.1m)
NOPAT = 1.35b (EBIT 1.65b * (1 - 17.94%))
Current Ratio = 0.67 (Total Current Assets 912.1m / Total Current Liabilities 1.36b)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 9.30b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 13.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.82 (Net Debt 9.10b / EBITDA 2.38b)
Debt / FCF = -6.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 9.10b / FCF TTM -1.51b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 13.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.15% (Net Income 1.20b / Total Assets 28.91b)
RoE = 9.07% (Net Income TTM 1.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 13.22b)
RoCE = 7.43% (EBIT 1.65b / Capital Employed (Equity 13.22b + L.T.Debt 8.98b))
RoIC = 6.16% (NOPAT 1.35b / Invested Capital 21.97b)
WACC = 5.09% (E(28.42b)/V(37.72b) * Re(6.66%) + D(9.30b)/V(37.72b) * Rd(0.35%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 6.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.53%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -1.51b)
EPS Correlation: 4.03 | EPS CAGR: -13.71% | SUE: 0.85 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -10.58 | Revenue CAGR: -8.11% | SUE: -0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.30 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=8.07 | Chg30d=+0.152 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+8.2% | Growth Revenue=+13.8%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=8.63 | Chg30d=+0.111 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+7.0% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%
Additional Sources for ATO Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle