(AWK) American Water Works - Ratings and Ratios
Water, Wastewater, Treatment, Distribution, Services
AWK EPS (Earnings per Share)
AWK Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 21.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -2.97% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.07 |
| Alpha | 0.25 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.527 |
| Beta | -0.209 |
| Beta Downside | -0.216 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.67% |
| Mean DD | 12.26% |
| Median DD | 10.83% |
Description: AWK American Water Works October 14, 2025
American Water Works Company (NYSE: AWK) is the largest publicly-owned U.S. water and wastewater utility, operating in 14 states and serving roughly 3.5 million customers across residential, commercial, industrial, and public-sector segments.
The firm’s infrastructure portfolio includes about 80 surface-water treatment plants, 520 groundwater treatment plants, 190 wastewater treatment plants, 54,500 mi of pipelines, 1,200 wells, 1,800 pumping stations, 1,100 storage facilities, and 75 dams, reflecting a highly capital-intensive, regulated business model.
Key operational metrics (FY 2023) show revenue of $4.4 bn, an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~58 %, and a regulated rate-base growth of roughly 6 % YoY, driven largely by inflation pass-through mechanisms and ongoing capital-investment programs approved by state regulators.
Sector-wide, water utilities benefit from secular demand growth (U.S. population +0.7 % YoY), increasing water-use efficiency mandates, and heightened climate-resilience spending, all of which support stable cash-flow generation for companies like AWK.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard for AWK’s forward cash-flow projections and peer comparisons.
AWK Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 25,682m |
| Sub-Industry | Water Utilities |
| IPO / Inception | 2008-04-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -13.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.13 of 5 |
AWK Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.45% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.29% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.71% |
| Payout Consistency | 98.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 57.1% |
AWK Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | -1.37% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.05 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.11 |
| Current Volume | 2082.2k |
| Average Volume | 1907.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (1.11b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 304.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.03 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.05pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -42.11% (prev -19.82%; Δ -22.29pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.04b > Net Income 1.11b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (15.20b) to EBITDA (2.90b) ratio: 5.24 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (195.0m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 60.75% (prev 59.89%; Δ 0.86pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 15.24% (prev 14.20%; Δ 1.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.45 (EBITDA TTM 2.90b / Interest Expense TTM 589.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 0.37
| (A) -0.06 = (Total Current Assets 1.55b - Total Current Liabilities 3.69b) / Total Assets 34.75b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.66b / Total Assets 34.75b |
| (C) 0.06 = EBIT TTM 2.03b / Avg Total Assets 33.27b |
| (D) 0.11 = Book Value of Equity 2.67b / Total Liabilities 23.84b |
| Total Rating: 0.37 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 53.74
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -2.39% = -1.20 |
| 3. FCF Margin -19.27% = -7.23 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.41 = 1.58 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.24 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 2.58)% = 3.23 |
| 7. RoE 10.48% = 0.87 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.49% = 6.26 |
| 9. EPS Trend 54.32% = 2.72 |
What is the price of AWK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.56%, over one month by -7.15%, over three months by -6.40% and over the past year by -0.53%.
Is American Water Works a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of AWK is around 127.18 USD . This means that AWK is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.15%.
Is AWK a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the AWK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 142.1 | 7.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 142.1 | 7.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 135.6 | 2.2% |
AWK Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Trailing = 23.1318
P/E Forward = 21.5517
P/S = 5.0655
P/B = 2.3547
P/EG = 2.6691
Beta = 0.753
Revenue TTM = 5.07b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.90b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.27b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.37b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 15.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 40.80b USD (25.68b + Debt 15.37b - CCE 256.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.45 (Ebit TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 589.0m)
FCF Yield = -2.39% (FCF TTM -977.0m / Enterprise Value 40.80b)
FCF Margin = -19.27% (FCF TTM -977.0m / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Net Margin = 21.93% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 5.07b)
Gross Margin = 60.75% ((Revenue TTM 5.07b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.99b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.96% (prev 62.38%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 40.80b / Total Assets 34.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.03% (Interest Expense 158.0m / Debt 15.37b)
Taxrate = 23.28% (115.0m / 494.0m)
NOPAT = 1.56b (EBIT 2.03b * (1 - 23.28%))
Current Ratio = 0.42 (Total Current Assets 1.55b / Total Current Liabilities 3.69b)
Debt / Equity = 1.41 (Debt 15.37b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.91b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.24 (Net Debt 15.20b / EBITDA 2.90b)
Debt / FCF = -15.55 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 15.20b / FCF TTM -977.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 3.20% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 34.75b)
RoE = 10.48% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.61b)
RoCE = 8.60% (EBIT 2.03b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.61b + L.T.Debt 13.02b))
RoIC = 6.16% (NOPAT 1.56b / Invested Capital 25.30b)
WACC = 3.58% (E(25.68b)/V(41.05b) * Re(5.25%) + D(15.37b)/V(41.05b) * Rd(1.03%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 5.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -977.0m)
EPS Correlation: 54.32 | EPS CAGR: 42.68% | SUE: 0.60 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 83.49 | Revenue CAGR: 17.51% | SUE: 3.56 | # QB: 6
Additional Sources for AWK Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle