(BABA) Alibaba Holding - Overview
Stock: E-Commerce, Logistics, Cloud, Digital Payments, Entertainment
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.70% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.78% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 42.14% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 3.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 47.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.3% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.15 |
| Alpha | 51.28 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.832 |
| Beta Downside | 1.029 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 34.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.51 |
Description: BABA Alibaba Holding January 27, 2026
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) operates a sprawling ecosystem that links merchants, brands, and consumers across China and globally. Its core businesses include consumer-to-consumer and business-to-consumer marketplaces (Taobao, Tmall, 1688.com, Alibaba.com, AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol, Daraz), logistics (Cainiao), on-demand delivery (Ele.me), digital map services (Amap), entertainment (Youku, Damai), cloud computing (Alibaba Cloud), and a suite of ancillary services such as Freshippo groceries, Alibaba Health, mobile gaming, travel (Fliggy), and enterprise collaboration (DingTalk).
Key recent metrics (FY 2025, disclosed in the March 2026 earnings release) show total revenue of ¥904 billion (≈ US$130 billion), with cloud services growing 28 % YoY to ¥124 billion, now accounting for roughly 14 % of total revenue. The company reported a quarterly active consumer base of 1.23 billion users, and GMV on its core e-commerce platforms reached ¥13.2 trillion, up 5 % year-over-year, reflecting a gradual rebound in Chinese consumer spending after the 2023-24 slowdown. Sector-wide, China’s cloud market is projected to expand at a 19 % CAGR through 2028, while e-commerce logistics volumes are rising in line with a 6 % annual increase in domestic parcel shipments.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you may want to explore the ValueRay platform.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 123.35b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 20.01% < 20% (prev 17.07%; Δ 2.93% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 127.98b > Net Income 123.35b |
| Net Debt (146.53b) to EBITDA (161.59b): 0.91 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.46 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.40b) vs 12m ago -2.18% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 41.17% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 4079 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 55.51% > 50% (prev 54.57%; Δ 0.93% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 15.74 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 161.59b / Interest Expense TTM 9.98b) |
Altman Z'' 3.36
| A: 0.11 (Total Current Assets 646.62b - Total Current Liabilities 444.14b) / Total Assets 1883.88b |
| B: 0.35 (Retained Earnings 666.78b / Total Assets 1883.88b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 157.06b / Avg Total Assets 1823.30b) |
| D: 0.88 (Book Value of Equity 681.51b / Total Liabilities 772.10b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.36 = A |
Beneish M -2.85
| DSRI: 1.26 (Receivables 232.67b/174.83b, Revenue 1012.05b/961.96b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 41.17% / 38.20%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.53 / AQ_t-1 0.54) |
| SGI: 1.05 (Revenue 1012.05b / 961.96b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 123.35b - CFO 127.98b) / TA 1883.88b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.85 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of BABA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.16%, over one month by +7.69%, over three months by -3.04% and over the past year by +63.18%.
Is BABA a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 30
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BABA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 196.8 | 21.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 196.8 | 21.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 174.7 | 7.5% |
BABA Fundamental Data Overview January 31, 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.0073
P/E Forward = 19.3798
P/S = 0.4087
P/B = 2.8021
P/EG = 2.2392
Revenue TTM = 1012.05b CNY
EBIT TTM = 157.06b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 161.59b CNY
Long Term Debt = 255.31b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 26.29b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 281.59b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 146.53b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3017.60b CNY (2871.07b + Debt 281.59b - CCE 135.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.74 (Ebit TTM 157.06b / Interest Expense TTM 9.98b)
EV/FCF = 1000.0x (Enterprise Value 3017.60b / FCF TTM 2.63b)
FCF Yield = 0.09% (FCF TTM 2.63b / Enterprise Value 3017.60b)
FCF Margin = 0.26% (FCF TTM 2.63b / Revenue TTM 1012.05b)
Net Margin = 12.19% (Net Income TTM 123.35b / Revenue TTM 1012.05b)
Gross Margin = 41.17% ((Revenue TTM 1012.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 595.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.15% (prev 44.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.60 (Enterprise Value 3017.60b / Total Assets 1883.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 2.52b / Debt 281.59b)
Taxrate = 21.21% (5.55b / 26.16b)
NOPAT = 123.74b (EBIT 157.06b * (1 - 21.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 646.62b / Total Current Liabilities 444.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 281.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1032.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 146.53b / EBITDA 161.59b)
Debt / FCF = 55.64 (Net Debt 146.53b / FCF TTM 2.63b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1014.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.77% (Net Income 123.35b / Total Assets 1883.88b)
RoE = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 123.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 1014.67b)
RoCE = 12.37% (EBIT 157.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 1014.67b + L.T.Debt 255.31b))
RoIC = 9.83% (NOPAT 123.74b / Invested Capital 1258.27b)
WACC = 8.24% (E(2871.07b)/V(3152.67b) * Re(8.98%) + D(281.59b)/V(3152.67b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.98% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.88%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.03% ; FCFF base≈49.99b ; Y1≈43.76b ; Y5≈35.50b
Fair Price DCF = 195.6 (EV 613.50b - Net Debt 146.53b = Equity 466.98b / Shares 2.39b; r=8.24% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.25% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -41.02 | EPS CAGR: -39.89% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.85 | Revenue CAGR: 0.57% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=61.97 | Chg30d=-3.672 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+40.6% | Growth Revenue=+10.1%