Overview Dividends

(BABA) Alibaba Holding - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NYSE • Country: Hong Kong • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US01609W1027

E-Commerce, Cloud Computing, Logistics, Entertainment, Local Services

Broadline Retail
Market Cap in USD: 358,049m

IPO / Inception: 2014-09-19
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 53.6%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -30.29%
EPS Trend: -18.8%

Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 0.57%
Rev. Trend: 57.9%

Last SUE: 0.02
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.30%
Yield on Cost 5y	0.92%
Yield CAGR 5y	67.35%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	3.7%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	34.8%
Value at Risk 5%th	49.1%
Relative Tail Risk	-14.39%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	1.37
Alpha	65.05
CAGR/Max DD	0.50

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.541
Beta	0.829
Beta Downside	1.092

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	42.80%
Mean DD	23.73%
Median DD	26.08%

Description: BABA Alibaba Holding December 02, 2025

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. (NYSE:BABA) operates a sprawling ecosystem of digital commerce and cloud services, linking merchants, brands, and consumers across China and internationally. Its portfolio includes consumer-facing marketplaces (Taobao, Tmall, AliExpress, Lazada, Trendyol, Daraz), wholesale platforms (1688.com, Alibaba.com), logistics (Cainiao), on-demand delivery (Ele.me), mapping (Amap), media (Youku, Damai), cloud infrastructure (Alibaba Cloud), and a suite of ancillary businesses such as Freshippo groceries, Alibaba Health, Lingxi Games, and DingTalk enterprise tools.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached ¥873 billion (~US$121 bn), with Cloud computing posting a 23 % YoY growth rate, now contributing roughly 10 % of total revenue. The Chinese e-commerce market is projected to expand at a 5-6 % CAGR through 2027, but regulatory headwinds and slowing consumer spending have pressured margins, prompting Alibaba to accelerate its “New Retail” integration and overseas expansion via Lazada and Trendyol. Additionally, the company’s cloud segment benefits from a broader shift toward digital transformation in China’s enterprise sector, where cloud adoption is still under-penetrated relative to global peers.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst toolkit to assess how these drivers could affect Alibaba’s valuation.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (123.35b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 60.72b TTM)

FCFTA -0.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.30pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 20.01% (prev 17.07%; Δ 2.93pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 129.21b > Net Income 123.35b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (146.53b) to EBITDA (161.59b) ratio: 0.91 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.46 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.40b) change vs 12m ago -2.18% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 41.17% (prev 38.20%; Δ 2.97pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 55.51% (prev 54.57%; Δ 0.93pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 15.74 (EBITDA TTM 161.59b / Interest Expense TTM 9.98b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.36

(A) 0.11 = (Total Current Assets 646.62b - Total Current Liabilities 444.14b) / Total Assets 1883.88b

(B) 0.35 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 666.78b / Total Assets 1883.88b

(D) 0.88 = Book Value of Equity 681.51b / Total Liabilities 772.10b

Total Rating: 3.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 60.77

1. Piotroski 6.50pt

2. FCF Yield -1.01%

3. FCF Margin -2.66%

4. Debt/Equity 0.27

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.91

6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.61)%

7. RoE 12.16%

8. Rev. Trend 57.85%

9. EPS Trend -18.75%

What is the price of BABA shares?

As of December 29, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 152.24 with a total of 5,855,022 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.85%, over one month by -3.22%, over three months by -15.38% and over the past year by +82.40%.

Is BABA a buy, sell or hold?

Alibaba Holding has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.70. Therefore, it is recommended to buy BABA.

Strong Buy: 30
Buy: 8
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the BABA price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	199	30.7%
Analysts Target Price	199	30.7%
ValueRay Target Price	165.9	9%

BABA Fundamental Data Overview December 27, 2025

Market Cap CNY = 2508.74b (358.05b USD * 7.0067 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 20.1694
P/E Forward = 16.5563
P/S = 0.3538
P/B = 2.4375
P/EG = 1.9375
Beta = 0.323
Revenue TTM = 1012.05b CNY
EBIT TTM = 157.06b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 161.59b CNY
Long Term Debt = 255.31b CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 26.29b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 281.59b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 146.53b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2655.26b CNY (2508.74b + Debt 281.59b - CCE 135.07b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 15.74 (Ebit TTM 157.06b / Interest Expense TTM 9.98b)
FCF Yield = -1.01% (FCF TTM -26.94b / Enterprise Value 2655.26b)
FCF Margin = -2.66% (FCF TTM -26.94b / Revenue TTM 1012.05b)
Net Margin = 12.19% (Net Income TTM 123.35b / Revenue TTM 1012.05b)
Gross Margin = 41.17% ((Revenue TTM 1012.05b - Cost of Revenue TTM 595.36b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 39.15% (prev 44.91%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.41 (Enterprise Value 2655.26b / Total Assets 1883.88b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 2.52b / Debt 281.59b)
Taxrate = 21.21% (5.55b / 26.16b)
NOPAT = 123.74b (EBIT 157.06b * (1 - 21.21%))
Current Ratio = 1.46 (Total Current Assets 646.62b / Total Current Liabilities 444.14b)
Debt / Equity = 0.27 (Debt 281.59b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1032.49b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.91 (Net Debt 146.53b / EBITDA 161.59b)
Debt / FCF = -5.44 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 146.53b / FCF TTM -26.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1014.67b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.55% (Net Income 123.35b / Total Assets 1883.88b)
RoE = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 123.35b / Total Stockholder Equity 1014.67b)
RoCE = 12.37% (EBIT 157.06b / Capital Employed (Equity 1014.67b + L.T.Debt 255.31b))
RoIC = 9.83% (NOPAT 123.74b / Invested Capital 1258.27b)
WACC = 8.23% (E(2508.74b)/V(2790.33b) * Re(9.07%) + D(281.59b)/V(2790.33b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.88%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -26.94b)
EPS Correlation: -18.75 | EPS CAGR: -30.29% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.85 | Revenue CAGR: 0.57% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=46.31 | Chg30d=-4.556 | Revisions Net=-10 | Growth EPS=-29.2% | Growth Revenue=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=65.65 | Chg30d=-3.503 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+41.8% | Growth Revenue=+10.2%

Additional Sources for BABA Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle