(BNED) Barnes & Noble Education - Overview
Stock: Textbooks, Merchandise, Cafés, Software, Rentals
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 119% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -30.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.06 |
| Alpha | -40.97 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.549 |
| Beta Downside | 1.622 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 97.54% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.68 |
Description: BNED Barnes & Noble Education December 29, 2025
Barnes & Noble Education (BNED) runs campus-based and virtual bookstores for U.S. colleges, universities, and K-12 schools, split between Retail (direct-to-student sales) and Wholesale (textbook distribution to third-party retailers). Its product mix includes new/used print textbooks, digital titles, publisher-hosted courseware, and a broad range of campus-life merchandise such as apparel, tech accessories, and convenience items. The firm also supplies point-of-sale and inventory-management software to partner bookstores and operates ancillary concepts like pop-up shops, cafés, and a media channel aimed at the college demographic.
Key quantitative signals (FY 2023): revenue ≈ $1.0 billion, down ~3 % YoY, reflecting a 5 % decline in traditional print textbook sales offset by a 15 % YoY rise in digital textbook and software revenue; net loss of $210 million on a cash balance of $310 million, indicating liquidity pressure but still sufficient to fund short-term operations. Inventory turnover sits at 2.8 ×, below the 3.5 × average for specialty retailers, suggesting excess stock that could be a drag on margins.
Sector drivers that materially affect BNED’s outlook: (1) a sustained 1-2 % annual drop in U.S. college enrollment, which compresses the addressable market for textbook sales; (2) accelerating adoption of digital courseware, with publishers shifting royalty structures that favor platforms with integrated analytics-BNED’s Textbooks.com and software suite position it to capture a share of this transition; and (3) competitive pressure from e-commerce giants (Amazon, Chegg) that erode pricing power, making cost-efficiency and differentiated campus experiences critical to maintain relevance.
Given the mix of declining print demand and modest digital growth, the valuation hinges on whether BNED can scale its software and e-commerce services fast enough to offset enrollment headwinds-an assumption that warrants close monitoring of quarterly digital-revenue trends and cash-flow conversion.
For a deeper, data-driven breakdown of BNED’s financial health and comparable peer metrics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you spot any hidden upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -41.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 32.86% < 20% (prev 10.43%; Δ 22.44% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.00 > 3% & CFO -3.32m > Net Income -41.5m |
| Net Debt (274.1m) to EBITDA (19.9m): 13.77 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.67 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.7m) vs 12m ago 15.52% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: -110.9% > 18% (prev 0.22%; Δ -11.1k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 61.49% > 50% (prev 148.1%; Δ -86.61% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.29 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 19.9m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m) |
Altman Z'' -2.81
| A: 0.24 (Total Current Assets 465.4m - Total Current Liabilities 279.2m) / Total Assets 790.3m |
| B: -0.90 (Retained Earnings -712.6m / Total Assets 790.3m) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 3.48m / Avg Total Assets 921.2m) |
| D: -1.37 (Book Value of Equity -712.2m / Total Liabilities 518.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -2.81 = D |
Beneish M -3.43
| DSRI: 0.97 (Receivables 97.1m/275.8m, Revenue 566.5m/1.56b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.13 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 0.36 (Revenue 566.5m / 1.56b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI -41.5m - CFO -3.32m) / TA 790.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.43 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BNED shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.11%, over one month by +8.21%, over three months by +3.23% and over the past year by -19.28%.
Is BNED a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BNED price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 0.8 | -91.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 0.8 | -91.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4.5 | -49.6% |
BNED Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 1.0761
P/EG = 1.1
Revenue TTM = 566.5m USD
EBIT TTM = 3.48m USD
EBITDA TTM = 19.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 122.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 64.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 283.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 274.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 525.0m USD (251.0m + Debt 283.1m - CCE 9.06m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.29 (Ebit TTM 3.48m / Interest Expense TTM 12.0m)
EV/FCF = -30.86x (Enterprise Value 525.0m / FCF TTM -17.0m)
FCF Yield = -3.24% (FCF TTM -17.0m / Enterprise Value 525.0m)
FCF Margin = -3.00% (FCF TTM -17.0m / Revenue TTM 566.5m)
Net Margin = -7.32% (Net Income TTM -41.5m / Revenue TTM 566.5m)
Gross Margin = -110.9% ((Revenue TTM 566.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.19b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = none% (prev 19.22%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.66 (Enterprise Value 525.0m / Total Assets 790.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.20% (Interest Expense 3.40m / Debt 283.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 2.75m (EBIT 3.48m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.67 (Total Current Assets 465.4m / Total Current Liabilities 279.2m)
Debt / Equity = 1.04 (Debt 283.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 272.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 13.77 (Net Debt 274.1m / EBITDA 19.9m)
Debt / FCF = -16.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 274.1m / FCF TTM -17.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 271.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -4.50% (Net Income -41.5m / Total Assets 790.3m)
RoE = -15.30% (Net Income TTM -41.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 271.0m)
RoCE = 0.89% (EBIT 3.48m / Capital Employed (Equity 271.0m + L.T.Debt 122.5m))
RoIC = 0.67% (NOPAT 2.75m / Invested Capital 408.0m)
WACC = 5.96% (E(251.0m)/V(534.1m) * Re(11.62%) + D(283.1m)/V(534.1m) * Rd(1.20%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 20.41%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -17.0m)
EPS Correlation: -9.83 | EPS CAGR: 0.53% | SUE: -0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -41.75 | Revenue CAGR: -58.12% | SUE: 0.50 | # QB: 0