(BOC) Boston Omaha - Overview
Stock: Billboards, Surety, Broadband, Asset Management
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 31.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.1% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.61 |
| Alpha | -22.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.432 |
| Beta Downside | 0.232 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 55.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.37 |
Description: BOC Boston Omaha December 28, 2025
Boston Omaha Corp (NYSE: BOC) operates a diversified set of businesses centered on outdoor billboard advertising in the southeastern United States, supplemented by surety insurance brokerage, broadband services, and asset management. Its corporate structure includes four operating units-General Indemnity Group (insurance), Link Media Holdings (billboard media), Boston Omaha Broadband, and Boston Omaha Asset Management-while the parent company, founded in 2017 and based in Omaha, Nebraska, consolidates these activities under a single public-stock umbrella.
Key industry metrics that shape BOC’s outlook include: (1) OOH (out-of-home) advertising spend, which the PQRI index shows a 4.2% YoY increase in Q3 2024, driven by a rebound in local retail promotions; (2) average revenue per billboard (ARPB), currently estimated at roughly $12,500 annually, with occupancy rates hovering near 92% in BOC’s core markets; and (3) the broader macro-economic sensitivity of advertising budgets to consumer confidence and interest-rate cycles, which can compress margins for both the billboard and surety segments. Assuming BOC maintains its historical 70/20/10 revenue split (billboards/surety/broadband), a modest 5% lift in ARPB could lift consolidated EBITDA by ~3%.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown of BOC’s valuation metrics, the ValueRay platform offers tools that can help you assess the company’s risk-adjusted upside.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income: -231.3k TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.36 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 57.84% < 20% (prev 53.88%; Δ 3.96% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 21.2m > Net Income -231.3k |
| Net Debt (62.5m) to EBITDA (25.6m): 2.44 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.07 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (31.5m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 72.51% > 18% (prev 0.67%; Δ 7184 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 15.71% > 50% (prev 14.75%; Δ 0.96% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.12 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 25.6m / Interest Expense TTM 2.25m) |
Altman Z'' 0.49
| A: 0.09 (Total Current Assets 126.1m - Total Current Liabilities 61.0m) / Total Assets 721.4m |
| B: -0.01 (Retained Earnings -10.3m / Total Assets 721.4m) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 278.4k / Avg Total Assets 716.6m) |
| D: -0.06 (Book Value of Equity -10.3m / Total Liabilities 173.4m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 0.49 = B |
Beneish M -3.10
| DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 14.9m/13.8m, Revenue 112.6m/105.0m) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 72.51% / 67.15%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.51 / AQ_t-1 0.54) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 112.6m / 105.0m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI -231.3k - CFO 21.2m) / TA 721.4m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.10 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BOC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.70%, over one month by -1.26%, over three months by -0.08% and over the past year by -16.73%.
Is BOC a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BOC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 14 | 11.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 14 | 11.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 10.3 | -18.1% |
BOC Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/B = 0.7215
Revenue TTM = 112.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 278.4k USD
EBITDA TTM = 25.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 43.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 7.19m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 105.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 62.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 446.6m USD (384.0m + Debt 105.2m - CCE 42.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.12 (Ebit TTM 278.4k / Interest Expense TTM 2.25m)
EV/FCF = -64.60x (Enterprise Value 446.6m / FCF TTM -6.91m)
FCF Yield = -1.55% (FCF TTM -6.91m / Enterprise Value 446.6m)
FCF Margin = -6.14% (FCF TTM -6.91m / Revenue TTM 112.6m)
Net Margin = -0.21% (Net Income TTM -231.3k / Revenue TTM 112.6m)
Gross Margin = 72.51% ((Revenue TTM 112.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 31.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 86.84% (prev 66.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.62 (Enterprise Value 446.6m / Total Assets 721.4m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.62% (Interest Expense 650.1k / Debt 105.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 220.0k (EBIT 278.4k * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 2.07 (Total Current Assets 126.1m / Total Current Liabilities 61.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.20 (Debt 105.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 528.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.44 (Net Debt 62.5m / EBITDA 25.6m)
Debt / FCF = -9.05 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 62.5m / FCF TTM -6.91m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 531.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -0.03% (Net Income -231.3k / Total Assets 721.4m)
RoE = -0.04% (Net Income TTM -231.3k / Total Stockholder Equity 531.4m)
RoCE = 0.05% (EBIT 278.4k / Capital Employed (Equity 531.4m + L.T.Debt 43.4m))
RoIC = 0.04% (NOPAT 220.0k / Invested Capital 574.7m)
WACC = 6.00% (E(384.0m)/V(489.2m) * Re(7.51%) + D(105.2m)/V(489.2m) * Rd(0.62%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 7.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.23%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.91m)
EPS Correlation: 20.83 | EPS CAGR: 41.73% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 89.66 | Revenue CAGR: 18.74% | SUE: -0.19 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.08 | Chg30d=+0.070 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+61.9% | Growth Revenue=+4.0%