(BP) BP - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Solar Power, Wind Power, EV Charging
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.44% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 12.83% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -0.84% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 71.8% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 22.1% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 37.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 2.50% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.92 |
| Alpha | 16.56 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.18 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.394 |
| Beta | 0.651 |
| Beta Downside | 1.231 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.64% |
| Mean DD | 10.80% |
| Median DD | 10.40% |
Description: BP BP September 25, 2025
BP p.l.c. (NYSE:BP) is a London-based integrated energy group that operates across three primary segments: Gas & Low-Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. The firm’s activities span natural-gas extraction and integrated gas-to-power projects, wholesale gas trading, and a growing portfolio of solar, on-shore and offshore wind, hydrogen, carbon-capture, power-trading and storage assets. In the downstream arena, BP runs convenience-store and retail-fuel networks, EV-charging stations, the Castrol lubricants brand, aviation fuel services, B2B and midstream operations, as well as refining, oil trading and bio-energy production.
Key financial metrics from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show a net profit of $13.5 billion, driven by a 20 % rise in upstream production to 2.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (boepd) and a 15 % increase in renewable-energy-related revenue, which now accounts for roughly 7 % of total sales. BP’s capital-expenditure (CapEx) budget for 2024 is projected at $14 billion, with $5 billion earmarked for low-carbon projects, reflecting its “Net Zero by 2050” ambition.
Sector-wide drivers that materially affect BP’s outlook include: (1) crude-oil price volatility, where a $10 /barrel swing can alter BP’s operating cash flow by ±$2 billion; (2) tightening ESG regulations in Europe and North America that incentivize investment in renewable generation and carbon-capture; and (3) the accelerating adoption of electric-vehicle charging infrastructure, which is expected to boost downstream fuel-retail volumes by 3-5 % annually through cross-selling opportunities.
Assumptions underlying this summary: the 2023 financials are taken at face value from BP’s SEC filings; forward-looking CapEx allocations are assumed to be executed on schedule; and macro-economic forecasts (oil price, EV adoption) are based on consensus Bloomberg estimates, acknowledging a ±15 % uncertainty range.
For a deeper, data-rich analysis of BP’s valuation dynamics-including scenario-based cash-flow models and peer-adjusted multiples-explore the detailed research hub on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (1.52b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.26b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.24pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 8.26% (prev 8.52%; Δ -0.26pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 24.30b > Net Income 1.52b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (39.91b) to EBITDA (31.63b) ratio: 1.26 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.19 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.62b) change vs 12m ago -5.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 19.45% (prev 18.04%; Δ 1.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.22% (prev 72.51%; Δ -4.29pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.74 (EBITDA TTM 31.63b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.10
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 95.86b - Total Current Liabilities 80.36b) / Total Assets 280.46b |
| (B) 0.08 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 22.53b / Total Assets 280.46b |
| (C) 0.05 = EBIT TTM 13.77b / Avg Total Assets 275.08b |
| (D) 0.13 = Book Value of Equity 27.02b / Total Liabilities 202.81b |
| Total Rating: 1.10 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 50.44
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.07% |
| 3. FCF Margin 5.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.44)% |
| 7. RoE 2.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -59.25% |
| 9. EPS Trend -78.77% |
What is the price of BP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +4.77%, over three months by +5.07% and over the past year by +31.50%.
Is BP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.5 | 12.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.5 | 12.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 40.7 | 13.4% |
BP Fundamental Data Overview November 22, 2025
P/E Trailing = 58.0323
P/E Forward = 12.1507
P/S = 0.497
P/B = 1.5669
P/EG = 0.1341
Beta = 0.048
Revenue TTM = 187.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 31.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 54.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 39.91b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 132.17b USD (92.40b + Debt 74.82b - CCE 35.05b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.74 (Ebit TTM 13.77b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b)
FCF Yield = 8.07% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Enterprise Value 132.17b)
FCF Margin = 5.69% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Net Margin = 0.81% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Gross Margin = 19.45% ((Revenue TTM 187.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 151.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.39% (prev 18.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 132.17b / Total Assets 280.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 1.18b / Debt 74.82b)
Taxrate = 53.37% (1.73b / 3.24b)
NOPAT = 6.42b (EBIT 13.77b * (1 - 53.37%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 95.86b / Total Current Liabilities 80.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.28 (Debt 74.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 39.91b / EBITDA 31.63b)
Debt / FCF = 3.74 (Net Debt 39.91b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 58.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.54% (Net Income 1.52b / Total Assets 280.46b)
RoE = 2.58% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 58.74b)
RoCE = 12.20% (EBIT 13.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 58.74b + L.T.Debt 54.10b))
RoIC = 5.42% (NOPAT 6.42b / Invested Capital 118.42b)
WACC = 4.98% (E(92.40b)/V(167.22b) * Re(8.42%) + D(74.82b)/V(167.22b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.53)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.02% ; FCFE base≈11.84b ; Y1≈9.00b ; Y5≈5.52b
Fair Price DCF = 38.03 (DCF Value 97.16b / Shares Outstanding 2.55b; 5y FCF grow -28.47% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -78.77 | EPS CAGR: -9.96% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.25 | Revenue CAGR: -1.16% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 3
Additional Sources for BP Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle