(BP) BP - Overview
Stock: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet, Lubricants, Charging
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 11.39% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 85.7% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.10% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.89 |
| Alpha | 18.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.680 |
| Beta Downside | 1.230 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.13 |
Description: BP BP January 28, 2026
BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is a London-based integrated energy group operating worldwide across three segments: Gas & Low-Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. The firm’s portfolio spans natural-gas production, oil extraction, refining, marketing, and trading, plus renewable-energy activities such as solar, wind, hydrogen, and sustainable aviation fuel, as well as downstream businesses like EV charging, Castrol lubricants, and convenience retail.
In its most recent quarter (Q3 2024), BP reported adjusted earnings of $2.05 billion, a 12 % YoY increase, driven by higher realized oil prices (average $85 per barrel) and tighter margins in its refining segment. Free cash flow reached $4.3 billion, supporting a quarterly dividend of $0.53 per share (≈ 5.2 % yield) and a $2 billion share-repurchase authorization. The company’s carbon-intensity metric fell to 0.23 kg CO₂e/MWh, aligning with its target to cut scope-1 and 2 emissions by 30 % by 2030.
Key sector drivers affecting BP include the OPEC+ production policy, which currently caps output at 41 million bpd, and the accelerating global shift toward electrification, projected to raise demand for EV-charging infrastructure by 25 % annually through 2028. Monitoring these macro-factors alongside BP’s capital-expenditure plan (≈ $25 billion in 2024-27, with $7 billion earmarked for low-carbon projects) is essential for assessing its long-term valuation.
For a deeper quantitative view, explore the ValueRay model to see how these variables translate into price targets.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 1.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.26% < 20% (prev 8.52%; Δ -0.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 24.30b > Net Income 1.52b |
| Net Debt (39.91b) to EBITDA (31.63b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.62b) vs 12m ago -5.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.45% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1927 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.22% > 50% (prev 72.51%; Δ -4.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.74 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 31.63b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b) |
Altman Z'' 1.10
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 95.86b - Total Current Liabilities 80.36b) / Total Assets 280.46b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 22.53b / Total Assets 280.46b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 13.77b / Avg Total Assets 275.08b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 27.02b / Total Liabilities 202.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.10 = BB |
Beneish M -3.09
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 27.59b/26.35b, Revenue 187.67b/195.57b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 19.45% / 18.04%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 187.67b / 195.57b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.52b - CFO 24.30b) / TA 280.46b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.47%, over one month by +14.30%, over three months by +6.55% and over the past year by +20.12%.
Is BP a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.8 | -0.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.8 | -0.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 43.4 | 11.2% |
BP Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Forward = 13.7552
P/S = 0.5269
P/B = 1.725
P/EG = 0.1518
Revenue TTM = 187.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 31.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 54.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 39.91b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 137.87b USD (97.96b + Debt 74.82b - CCE 34.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.74 (Ebit TTM 13.77b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b)
EV/FCF = 12.92x (Enterprise Value 137.87b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
FCF Yield = 7.74% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Enterprise Value 137.87b)
FCF Margin = 5.69% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Net Margin = 0.81% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Gross Margin = 19.45% ((Revenue TTM 187.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 151.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.39% (prev 18.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.49 (Enterprise Value 137.87b / Total Assets 280.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 1.18b / Debt 74.82b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 10.88b (EBIT 13.77b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 95.86b / Total Current Liabilities 80.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.28 (Debt 74.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 39.91b / EBITDA 31.63b)
Debt / FCF = 3.74 (Net Debt 39.91b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 58.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.55% (Net Income 1.52b / Total Assets 280.46b)
RoE = 2.58% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 58.74b)
RoCE = 12.20% (EBIT 13.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 58.74b + L.T.Debt 54.10b))
RoIC = 9.19% (NOPAT 10.88b / Invested Capital 118.42b)
WACC = 5.32% (E(97.96b)/V(172.78b) * Re(8.42%) + D(74.82b)/V(172.78b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.07% ; FCFF base≈11.84b ; Y1≈9.00b ; Y5≈5.50b
Fair Price DCF = 51.00 (EV 170.59b - Net Debt 39.91b = Equity 130.68b / Shares 2.56b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -28.47% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -78.77 | EPS CAGR: -9.96% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.46 | Revenue CAGR: -1.16% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.63 | Chg30d=-0.038 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=8
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.78 | Chg30d=-0.089 | Revisions Net=-7 | Growth EPS=-3.8% | Growth Revenue=-8.2%