(BP) BP - Ratings and Ratios
Natural Gas, Crude Oil, Refining, Bioenergy, Renewables
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 5.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 10.97% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 11.03% |
| Payout Consistency | 95.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 71.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.4% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 42.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | 1.37% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 |
| Alpha | 12.26 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.383 |
| Beta | 0.679 |
| Beta Downside | 1.213 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.64% |
| Mean DD | 10.94% |
| Median DD | 10.42% |
Description: BP BP December 02, 2025
BP p.l.c. (NYSE: BP) is an integrated energy company that operates across three primary segments: Gas & Low-Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products. Its activities span natural-gas production, gas-and-power trading, solar, on-shore and off-shore wind, hydrogen, carbon-capture and storage, renewable- and non-renewable power marketing, crude-oil extraction, retail fuel and EV-charging stations, Castrol lubricants, aviation fuel, B2B services, midstream infrastructure, refining, oil trading, and bioenergy.
Key recent metrics: BP reported a 2023 net profit of $4.9 billion on revenue of $241 billion, and it has set a 2024 capital-expenditure target of roughly $30 billion, with ~$5 billion earmarked for low-carbon projects. The company aims to cut its upstream carbon intensity by 20 % by 2030 and to increase renewable-energy capacity to > 50 GW by 2030, reflecting the broader sector shift toward decarbonisation and the impact of volatile oil prices on earnings. BP’s dividend yield remains around 5 %, a factor that continues to attract income-focused investors despite the transition-related capital demands.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may want to explore BP’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 1.52b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.24 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.26% < 20% (prev 8.52%; Δ -0.26% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 24.30b > Net Income 1.52b |
| Net Debt (39.91b) to EBITDA (31.63b): 1.26 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.19 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (2.62b) vs 12m ago -5.83% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 19.45% > 18% (prev 0.18%; Δ 1927 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 68.22% > 50% (prev 72.51%; Δ -4.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.74 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 31.63b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b) |
Altman Z'' 1.10
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 95.86b - Total Current Liabilities 80.36b) / Total Assets 280.46b |
| B: 0.08 (Retained Earnings 22.53b / Total Assets 280.46b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 13.77b / Avg Total Assets 275.08b) |
| D: 0.13 (Book Value of Equity 27.02b / Total Liabilities 202.81b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.10 = BB |
Beneish M -3.09
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 27.59b/26.35b, Revenue 187.67b/195.57b) |
| GMI: 0.93 (GM 19.45% / 18.04%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.30 / AQ_t-1 0.28) |
| SGI: 0.96 (Revenue 187.67b / 195.57b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 1.52b - CFO 24.30b) / TA 280.46b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 54.92
| 1. Piotroski: 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 8.15% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 5.69% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 1.28 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 1.26 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 4.00% |
| 7. RoE: 2.58% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: -59.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -78.77% |
What is the price of BP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.58%, over one month by +7.27%, over three months by +7.19% and over the past year by +23.88%.
Is BP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 38.7 | 5.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 38.7 | 5.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 41.6 | 13.2% |
BP Fundamental Data Overview January 24, 2026
P/E Forward = 12.0482
P/S = 0.4892
P/B = 1.5617
P/EG = 0.133
Revenue TTM = 187.67b USD
EBIT TTM = 13.77b USD
EBITDA TTM = 31.63b USD
Long Term Debt = 54.10b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.85b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 74.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 39.91b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 130.87b USD (90.96b + Debt 74.82b - CCE 34.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.74 (Ebit TTM 13.77b / Interest Expense TTM 5.03b)
EV/FCF = 12.26x (Enterprise Value 130.87b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
FCF Yield = 8.15% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Enterprise Value 130.87b)
FCF Margin = 5.69% (FCF TTM 10.67b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Net Margin = 0.81% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 187.67b)
Gross Margin = 19.45% ((Revenue TTM 187.67b - Cost of Revenue TTM 151.16b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.39% (prev 18.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.47 (Enterprise Value 130.87b / Total Assets 280.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.58% (Interest Expense 1.18b / Debt 74.82b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 10.88b (EBIT 13.77b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.19 (Total Current Assets 95.86b / Total Current Liabilities 80.36b)
Debt / Equity = 1.28 (Debt 74.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 58.24b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.26 (Net Debt 39.91b / EBITDA 31.63b)
Debt / FCF = 3.74 (Net Debt 39.91b / FCF TTM 10.67b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 58.74b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.55% (Net Income 1.52b / Total Assets 280.46b)
RoE = 2.58% (Net Income TTM 1.52b / Total Stockholder Equity 58.74b)
RoCE = 12.20% (EBIT 13.77b / Capital Employed (Equity 58.74b + L.T.Debt 54.10b))
RoIC = 9.19% (NOPAT 10.88b / Invested Capital 118.42b)
WACC = 5.18% (E(90.96b)/V(165.78b) * Re(8.42%) + D(74.82b)/V(165.78b) * Rd(1.58%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.55%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.07% ; FCFF base≈11.84b ; Y1≈9.00b ; Y5≈5.50b
Fair Price DCF = 50.90 (EV 170.59b - Net Debt 39.91b = Equity 130.68b / Shares 2.57b; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -28.47% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -78.77 | EPS CAGR: -9.96% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -59.46 | Revenue CAGR: -1.16% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 3
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=-0.070 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.76 | Chg30d=-0.135 | Revisions Net=-6 | Growth EPS=-4.1% | Growth Revenue=-8.1%
Additional Sources for BP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle