(BURL) Burlington Stores - Overview
Stock: Apparel, Footwear, Accessories, Homeware, Toys
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.55% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.46 |
| Alpha | -0.63 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.088 |
| Beta Downside | 0.673 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.24 |
Description: BURL Burlington Stores January 02, 2026
Burlington Stores, Inc. (NYSE:BURL) is an off-price retailer that sells a broad assortment of branded merchandise-including apparel, footwear, home goods and beauty products-through its Burlington and Cohoes Fashions store banners in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company traces its roots to 1924 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.
Key operating metrics (FY 2023) show a 4.2% increase in comparable-store sales year-over-year, while inventory turnover improved to 4.7×, reflecting tighter stock management amid a tighter consumer budget environment. The balance sheet remains relatively leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.3, but the firm generated $210 million of free cash flow, enough to fund its ongoing store-expansion plan of roughly 30 new locations per year.
Sector-wide, discount and off-price retailers have historically outperformed during periods of elevated inflation because price-sensitive shoppers gravitate toward value-oriented formats. However, the upside for Burlington is contingent on continued consumer-spending resilience and its ability to differentiate from pure-play e-commerce competitors-both of which are subject to macro-economic uncertainty such as wage growth and interest-rate dynamics.
For a deeper quantitative dive, check the ValueRay platform’s BURL analytics page.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: 560.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.45 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 4.10% < 20% (prev 3.71%; Δ 0.39% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 837.0m > Net Income 560.5m |
| Net Debt (5.36b) to EBITDA (1.15b): 4.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.21 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (64.1m) vs 12m ago -0.85% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.78% > 18% (prev 0.43%; Δ 4235 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 124.1% > 50% (prev 124.1%; Δ -0.02% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.63 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.15b / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m) |
Altman Z'' 1.75
| A: 0.05 (Total Current Assets 2.66b - Total Current Liabilities 2.20b) / Total Assets 9.60b |
| B: 0.19 (Retained Earnings 1.79b / Total Assets 9.60b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 800.3m / Avg Total Assets 9.02b) |
| D: 0.22 (Book Value of Equity 1.80b / Total Liabilities 8.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.75 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.05
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 116.2m/102.9m, Revenue 11.19b/10.48b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 42.78% / 43.24%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.04 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 11.19b / 10.48b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 560.5m - CFO 837.0m) / TA 9.60b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.05 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of BURL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.34%, over one month by +1.31%, over three months by +10.47% and over the past year by +22.45%.
Is BURL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 14
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the BURL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 339.3 | 8.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 339.3 | 8.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 322.6 | 3.5% |
BURL Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.1889
P/S = 1.6799
P/B = 12.1882
P/EG = 2.9852
Revenue TTM = 11.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 800.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.15b USD
Long Term Debt = 2.02b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 425.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 5.36b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 24.16b USD (18.80b + Debt 5.94b - CCE 584.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.63 (Ebit TTM 800.3m / Interest Expense TTM 75.3m)
EV/FCF = 50.18x (Enterprise Value 24.16b / FCF TTM 481.4m)
FCF Yield = 1.99% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Enterprise Value 24.16b)
FCF Margin = 4.30% (FCF TTM 481.4m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Net Margin = 5.01% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Revenue TTM 11.19b)
Gross Margin = 42.78% ((Revenue TTM 11.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.63% (prev 43.80%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.52 (Enterprise Value 24.16b / Total Assets 9.60b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 23.5m / Debt 5.94b)
Taxrate = 24.13% (33.3m / 138.1m)
NOPAT = 607.2m (EBIT 800.3m * (1 - 24.13%))
Current Ratio = 1.21 (Total Current Assets 2.66b / Total Current Liabilities 2.20b)
Debt / Equity = 3.89 (Debt 5.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.53b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.65 (Net Debt 5.36b / EBITDA 1.15b)
Debt / FCF = 11.14 (Net Debt 5.36b / FCF TTM 481.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.42b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.21% (Net Income 560.5m / Total Assets 9.60b)
RoE = 39.36% (Net Income TTM 560.5m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.42b)
RoCE = 23.27% (EBIT 800.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.42b + L.T.Debt 2.02b))
RoIC = 18.49% (NOPAT 607.2m / Invested Capital 3.28b)
WACC = 7.62% (E(18.80b)/V(24.74b) * Re(9.93%) + D(5.94b)/V(24.74b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.93% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.91% ; FCFF base≈608.5m ; Y1≈582.9m ; Y5≈566.2m
Fair Price DCF = 87.18 (EV 10.85b - Net Debt 5.36b = Equity 5.49b / Shares 62.9m; r=7.62% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -5.58% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 40.40 | EPS CAGR: -10.34% | SUE: 0.19 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 57.31 | Revenue CAGR: 1.08% | SUE: -1.04 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=-0.017 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=13
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=11.14 | Chg30d=+0.030 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+14.2% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%