(CEPU) Central Puerto S.A. - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Argentina •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US1550382014
Stock: Electricity, Renewable, Gas, Forestry
Total Rating 51
Risk 88
Buy Signal -0.02
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 52.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.86% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.38 |
| Alpha | -8.89 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.269 |
| Beta Downside | 1.056 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 51.70% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.84 |
Description: CEPU Central Puerto S.A. January 15, 2026
Central Puerto S.A. (NYSE: CEPU) is Argentina’s largest privately-owned electric power producer, operating across four business lines: conventional power generation, renewable generation, natural-gas transport & distribution, and forestry. Its generation fleet comprises combined-cycle, gas- and steam-turbine, cogeneration, hydro, wind, and solar plants, giving the company a diversified asset mix.
Key metrics (2023-24 filings) show roughly 5 GW of installed capacity, with renewables now contributing about 30 % of total output-a figure that has risen ~10 percentage points since 2020. The firm’s revenue is highly sensitive to Argentine peso inflation and regulated electricity tariffs, while its debt-to-EBITDA ratio sits near 3.2×, reflecting the country’s macro-financial stress. A recent strategic shift has been the accelerated rollout of wind projects in Patagonia, leveraging the nation’s ~9 m/s average wind speeds to improve capacity factors.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, the ValueRay platform offers a granular view of CEPU’s financial metrics and peer comparisons.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 286.37b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 28.19% < 20% (prev 33.25%; Δ -5.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 79.44b > Net Income 286.37b |
| Net Debt (213.19b) to EBITDA (522.65b): 0.41 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.40 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (150.3m) vs 12m ago 0.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.67% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3729 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 31.23% > 50% (prev 31.61%; Δ -0.38% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.75 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 522.65b / Interest Expense TTM 82.94b) |
Altman Z'' 5.06
| A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 953.14b - Total Current Liabilities 679.00b) / Total Assets 3655.51b |
| B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 1896.20b / Total Assets 3655.51b) |
| C: 0.13 (EBIT TTM 393.99b / Avg Total Assets 3113.97b) |
| D: 1.93 (Book Value of Equity 2371.02b / Total Liabilities 1227.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 5.06 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.74
| DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 319.11b/217.71b, Revenue 972.62b/813.15b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 37.67% / 38.18%) |
| AQI: 0.82 (AQ_t 0.16 / AQ_t-1 0.20) |
| SGI: 1.20 (Revenue 972.62b / 813.15b) |
| TATA: 0.06 (NI 286.37b - CFO 79.44b) / TA 3655.51b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.74 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of CEPU shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 15.61 with a total of 318,067 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.51%, over one month by -5.79%, over three months by +6.63% and over the past year by +8.33%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.51%, over one month by -5.79%, over three months by +6.63% and over the past year by +8.33%.
Is CEPU a buy, sell or hold?
Central Puerto S.A. has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold CEPU.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CEPU price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18.7 | 19.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18.7 | 19.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 20.9 | 33.9% |
CEPU Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
Market Cap ARS = 3750.72b (2.59b USD * 1447.75 USD.ARS)
P/E Trailing = 13.04
P/S = 0.0031
P/B = 1.5121
Revenue TTM = 972.62b ARS
EBIT TTM = 393.99b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 522.65b ARS
Long Term Debt = 337.71b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 280.09b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 280.09b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 213.19b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3631.57b ARS (3750.72b + Debt 280.09b - CCE 399.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.75 (Ebit TTM 393.99b / Interest Expense TTM 82.94b)
EV/FCF = 264.4x (Enterprise Value 3631.57b / FCF TTM 13.74b)
FCF Yield = 0.38% (FCF TTM 13.74b / Enterprise Value 3631.57b)
FCF Margin = 1.41% (FCF TTM 13.74b / Revenue TTM 972.62b)
Net Margin = 29.44% (Net Income TTM 286.37b / Revenue TTM 972.62b)
Gross Margin = 37.67% ((Revenue TTM 972.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 606.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.17% (prev 27.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 3631.57b / Total Assets 3655.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 11.5m / Debt 280.09b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 311.26b (EBIT 393.99b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.40 (Total Current Assets 953.14b / Total Current Liabilities 679.00b)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 280.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2371.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 213.19b / EBITDA 522.65b)
Debt / FCF = 15.52 (Net Debt 213.19b / FCF TTM 13.74b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2107.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.20% (Net Income 286.37b / Total Assets 3655.51b)
RoE = 13.59% (Net Income TTM 286.37b / Total Stockholder Equity 2107.77b)
RoCE = 16.11% (EBIT 393.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 2107.77b + L.T.Debt 337.71b))
RoIC = 12.11% (NOPAT 311.26b / Invested Capital 2569.88b)
WACC = 9.85% (E(3750.72b)/V(4030.80b) * Re(10.59%) + D(280.09b)/V(4030.80b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.34% ; FCFF base≈55.91b ; Y1≈36.70b ; Y5≈16.75b
Fair Price DCF = 234.5 (EV 248.43b - Net Debt 213.19b = Equity 35.24b / Shares 150.3m; r=9.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 22.35 | EPS CAGR: -17.34% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.45 | Revenue CAGR: 115.1% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+1.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
P/E Trailing = 13.04
P/S = 0.0031
P/B = 1.5121
Revenue TTM = 972.62b ARS
EBIT TTM = 393.99b ARS
EBITDA TTM = 522.65b ARS
Long Term Debt = 337.71b ARS (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 280.09b ARS (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 280.09b ARS (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 213.19b ARS (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3631.57b ARS (3750.72b + Debt 280.09b - CCE 399.24b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.75 (Ebit TTM 393.99b / Interest Expense TTM 82.94b)
EV/FCF = 264.4x (Enterprise Value 3631.57b / FCF TTM 13.74b)
FCF Yield = 0.38% (FCF TTM 13.74b / Enterprise Value 3631.57b)
FCF Margin = 1.41% (FCF TTM 13.74b / Revenue TTM 972.62b)
Net Margin = 29.44% (Net Income TTM 286.37b / Revenue TTM 972.62b)
Gross Margin = 37.67% ((Revenue TTM 972.62b - Cost of Revenue TTM 606.26b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 41.17% (prev 27.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.99 (Enterprise Value 3631.57b / Total Assets 3655.51b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 11.5m / Debt 280.09b)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 311.26b (EBIT 393.99b * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.40 (Total Current Assets 953.14b / Total Current Liabilities 679.00b)
Debt / Equity = 0.12 (Debt 280.09b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2371.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.41 (Net Debt 213.19b / EBITDA 522.65b)
Debt / FCF = 15.52 (Net Debt 213.19b / FCF TTM 13.74b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2107.77b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 9.20% (Net Income 286.37b / Total Assets 3655.51b)
RoE = 13.59% (Net Income TTM 286.37b / Total Stockholder Equity 2107.77b)
RoCE = 16.11% (EBIT 393.99b / Capital Employed (Equity 2107.77b + L.T.Debt 337.71b))
RoIC = 12.11% (NOPAT 311.26b / Invested Capital 2569.88b)
WACC = 9.85% (E(3750.72b)/V(4030.80b) * Re(10.59%) + D(280.09b)/V(4030.80b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.34% ; FCFF base≈55.91b ; Y1≈36.70b ; Y5≈16.75b
Fair Price DCF = 234.5 (EV 248.43b - Net Debt 213.19b = Equity 35.24b / Shares 150.3m; r=9.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 22.35 | EPS CAGR: -17.34% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 86.45 | Revenue CAGR: 115.1% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.47 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.79 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+1.1% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%