(CMC) Commercial Metals - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US2017231034
Stock: Steel, Rebar, Scrap, Wire, Fabrication
Total Rating 72
Risk 99
Buy Signal 1.86
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.30% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.44% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.54% |
| Payout Consistency | 93.4% |
| Payout Ratio | 17.1% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 35.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -14.9% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.46 |
| Alpha | 54.42 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.230 |
| Beta Downside | 1.154 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.63% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.42 |
Description: CMC Commercial Metals January 10, 2026
Commercial Metals Company (NYSE:CMC) is a vertically integrated steel producer that mines, recycles, and fabricates ferrous and non-ferrous metal products across North America, Europe, and emerging markets. Its operations are organized into three segments: North America Steel Group, Europe Steel Group, and Emerging Businesses Group, covering everything from scrap processing to finished long-steel items such as rebar, merchant bar, and specialty sections.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year show an adjusted EBITDA margin of roughly 13% and a capacity utilization rate of about 85% in its North American facilities, reflecting strong demand in construction and infrastructure. The company’s revenue is highly correlated with U.S. residential and non-residential construction spending, which has been buoyed by a 4.2% YoY increase in building permits and a 3% rise in the Producer Price Index for steel. Additionally, CMC benefits from a growing “green steel” niche, as its scrap-based production yields lower carbon intensity-a factor gaining traction amid tightening ESG regulations.
For a deeper dive into how these dynamics translate into valuation metrics, you might find a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income: 437.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 53.39% < 20% (prev 26.21%; Δ 27.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 > 3% & CFO 706.2m > Net Income 437.7m |
| Net Debt (2.33b) to EBITDA (869.0m): 2.68 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (112.3m) vs 12m ago -1.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.47% > 18% (prev 0.16%; Δ 1631 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.0% > 50% (prev 115.7%; Δ -15.63% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 9.84 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 869.0m / Interest Expense TTM 59.0m) |
Altman Z'' 6.16
| A: 0.46 (Total Current Assets 5.51b - Total Current Liabilities 1.23b) / Total Assets 9.24b |
| B: 0.50 (Retained Earnings 4.66b / Total Assets 9.24b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 580.8m / Avg Total Assets 8.01b) |
| D: 0.94 (Book Value of Equity 4.64b / Total Liabilities 4.93b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 6.16 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.17
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 1.20b/1.11b, Revenue 8.01b/7.83b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 16.47% / 16.18%) |
| AQI: 0.72 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.14) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 8.01b / 7.83b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 437.7m - CFO 706.2m) / TA 9.24b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of CMC shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 82.99 with a total of 491,382 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.96%, over one month by +11.50%, over three months by +44.83% and over the past year by +67.66%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.96%, over one month by +11.50%, over three months by +44.83% and over the past year by +67.66%.
Is CMC a buy, sell or hold?
Commercial Metals has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.45.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold CMC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 8
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CMC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 80.3 | -3.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 80.3 | -3.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 103.1 | 24.2% |
CMC Fundamental Data Overview February 07, 2026
P/E Trailing = 21.5
P/E Forward = 14.43
P/S = 1.1507
P/B = 2.1344
P/EG = 12.2526
Revenue TTM = 8.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 580.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 869.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 46.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.54b USD (9.22b + Debt 3.35b - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.84 (Ebit TTM 580.8m / Interest Expense TTM 59.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.98x (Enterprise Value 11.54b / FCF TTM 296.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.57% (FCF TTM 296.2m / Enterprise Value 11.54b)
FCF Margin = 3.70% (FCF TTM 296.2m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Net Margin = 5.46% (Net Income TTM 437.7m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Gross Margin = 16.47% ((Revenue TTM 8.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.20% (prev 18.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 11.54b / Total Assets 9.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 24.8m / Debt 3.35b)
Taxrate = 3.09% (5.65m / 182.9m)
NOPAT = 562.9m (EBIT 580.8m * (1 - 3.09%))
Current Ratio = 4.47 (Total Current Assets 5.51b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 3.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (Net Debt 2.33b / EBITDA 869.0m)
Debt / FCF = 7.86 (Net Debt 2.33b / FCF TTM 296.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.47% (Net Income 437.7m / Total Assets 9.24b)
RoE = 10.54% (Net Income TTM 437.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.15b)
RoCE = 7.79% (EBIT 580.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.15b + L.T.Debt 3.31b))
RoIC = 9.44% (NOPAT 562.9m / Invested Capital 5.96b)
WACC = 7.85% (E(9.22b)/V(12.57b) * Re(10.45%) + D(3.35b)/V(12.57b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 10.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.33% ; FCFF base≈368.2m ; Y1≈270.8m ; Y5≈155.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.13 (EV 3.01b - Net Debt 2.33b = Equity 679.7m / Shares 110.9m; r=7.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.24% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.99 | EPS CAGR: 5.04% | SUE: 3.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -51.03 | Revenue CAGR: 1.45% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=+0.336 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=7.25 | Chg30d=+1.125 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+131.7% | Growth Revenue=+17.2%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=+1.438 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-1.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%
P/E Forward = 14.43
P/S = 1.1507
P/B = 2.1344
P/EG = 12.2526
Revenue TTM = 8.01b USD
EBIT TTM = 580.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 869.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.31b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 46.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.35b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.33b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 11.54b USD (9.22b + Debt 3.35b - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.84 (Ebit TTM 580.8m / Interest Expense TTM 59.0m)
EV/FCF = 38.98x (Enterprise Value 11.54b / FCF TTM 296.2m)
FCF Yield = 2.57% (FCF TTM 296.2m / Enterprise Value 11.54b)
FCF Margin = 3.70% (FCF TTM 296.2m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Net Margin = 5.46% (Net Income TTM 437.7m / Revenue TTM 8.01b)
Gross Margin = 16.47% ((Revenue TTM 8.01b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 19.20% (prev 18.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.25 (Enterprise Value 11.54b / Total Assets 9.24b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.74% (Interest Expense 24.8m / Debt 3.35b)
Taxrate = 3.09% (5.65m / 182.9m)
NOPAT = 562.9m (EBIT 580.8m * (1 - 3.09%))
Current Ratio = 4.47 (Total Current Assets 5.51b / Total Current Liabilities 1.23b)
Debt / Equity = 0.78 (Debt 3.35b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.68 (Net Debt 2.33b / EBITDA 869.0m)
Debt / FCF = 7.86 (Net Debt 2.33b / FCF TTM 296.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.15b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.47% (Net Income 437.7m / Total Assets 9.24b)
RoE = 10.54% (Net Income TTM 437.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 4.15b)
RoCE = 7.79% (EBIT 580.8m / Capital Employed (Equity 4.15b + L.T.Debt 3.31b))
RoIC = 9.44% (NOPAT 562.9m / Invested Capital 5.96b)
WACC = 7.85% (E(9.22b)/V(12.57b) * Re(10.45%) + D(3.35b)/V(12.57b) * Rd(0.74%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 10.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.33% ; FCFF base≈368.2m ; Y1≈270.8m ; Y5≈155.0m
Fair Price DCF = 6.13 (EV 3.01b - Net Debt 2.33b = Equity 679.7m / Shares 110.9m; r=7.85% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.24% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -57.99 | EPS CAGR: 5.04% | SUE: 3.02 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -51.03 | Revenue CAGR: 1.45% | SUE: 1.23 | # QB: 2
EPS next Quarter (2026-05-31): EPS=1.95 | Chg30d=+0.336 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-08-31): EPS=7.25 | Chg30d=+1.125 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+131.7% | Growth Revenue=+17.2%
EPS next Year (2027-08-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=+1.438 | Revisions Net=+3 | Growth EPS=-1.1% | Growth Revenue=+6.7%