CMS Stock Analysis: CMS Energy | NYSE

Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 23.318m USD | 12M Return: -1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Electricity, Natural Gas, Renewable Energy, Energy Distribution
Total Rating 37
Safety 55
Buy Signal -0.86
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Industry Rotation: -10.7
Market Cap: 23.3B
Avg Turnover: 258M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility19.5%
VaR 5th Pctl3.62%
VaR vs Median12.6%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.18
Rel. Str. IBD20.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.4
Character TTM
Beta-0.187
Beta Downside-0.168
Hurst Exponent0.500
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD12.64%
CAGR/Max DD0.86
CAGR/Mean DD2.97
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CMS over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.55, "2021-09": 0.54, "2021-12": 0.47, "2022-03": 1.2, "2022-06": 0.53, "2022-09": 0.56, "2022-12": 0.6, "2023-03": 0.7, "2023-06": 0.75, "2023-09": 0.61, "2023-12": 1.05, "2024-03": 0.97, "2024-06": 0.66, "2024-09": 0.84, "2024-12": 0.87, "2025-03": 1.02, "2025-06": 0.71, "2025-09": 0.93, "2025-12": 0.95, "2026-03": 1.13, "2026-06": 0.37,
EPS CAGR: 7.25%
EPS Trend: 73.2%
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CMS over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 1558, 2021-09: 1725, 2021-12: 2033, 2022-03: 2374, 2022-06: 1920, 2022-09: 2024, 2022-12: 2278, 2023-03: 2284, 2023-06: 1555, 2023-09: 1673, 2023-12: 1950, 2024-03: 2176, 2024-06: 1607, 2024-09: 1743, 2024-12: 1989, 2025-03: 2447, 2025-06: 1838, 2025-09: 2021, 2025-12: 2233, 2026-03: 2730, 2026-06: 1829,
Rev. CAGR: 6.83%
Rev. Trend: 87.3%
Last SUE: 0.52
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow
Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.2% 10
Feb -0.1% 7
Mar +3.7% 34
Apr -1.0% 21
May -0.4% 8
Jun -0.8% 8
Jul +1.2% 10
Aug -0.2% 2
Sep -2.5% 27
Oct +0.1% 2
Nov +0.2% 2
Dec +0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CMS CMS Energy

CMS Energy Corporation is a Michigan-based energy company that operates through three segments: Electric Utility, Gas Utility, and NorthStar Clean Energy. The Electric Utility segment generates, purchases, distributes, and sells electricity using a diversified generation mix that includes coal, wind, gas, renewable energy, oil, and nuclear sources, supported by an extensive high-voltage and distribution network. The Gas Utility segment handles the purchase, transmission, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas through a sizable pipeline and storage infrastructure. The NorthStar Clean Energy segment focuses on independent power production and the development and operation of renewable generation assets. Collectively, the company serves approximately 1.9 million electric customers and 1.8 million gas customers across residential, commercial, and industrial markets. CMS Energy was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Jackson, Michigan.

As a multi-utility operating in the regulated U.S. utilities sector, CMS Energy combines electric and gas distribution under a single corporate structure, a model that typically provides operational efficiencies and cross-selling opportunities within a defined service territory. The companys electric and gas rates are subject to oversight by the Michigan Public Service Commission, which is standard for investor-owned utilities and shapes the framework for cost recovery and capital investment.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Michigan rate case orders boost allowed ROE and earnings
  • Sustained capital spending lifts rate base growth through 2028
  • NorthStar Clean Energy renewable projects expand generation portfolio
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 1.03b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.00 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -2.97% < 20% (prev -0.04%; Δ -2.94% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 2.15b > Net Income 1.03b
Net Debt (19.3b) to EBITDA (3.12b): 6.19 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.92 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (300.6m) vs 12m ago 0.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 45.83% > 18% (prev 42.09%; Δ 3.74% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 22.37% > 50% (prev 21.27%; Δ 1.10% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.38 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.94b / Interest Expense TTM 816.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.83
A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 3.10b - Total Current Liabilities 3.36b) / Total Assets 41.1b
B: 0.06 (Retained Earnings 2.55b / Total Assets 41.1b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 1.94b / Avg Total Assets 39.4b)
D: 0.32 (Book Value of Equity 9.77b / Total Liabilities 30.7b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.83 = B
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 1.02b/936.0m, Revenue 8.81b/8.02b)
GMI: 0.92 (GM 42.09% / 45.83%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.14 / AQ_t-1 0.15)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 8.81b / 8.02b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.03b - CFO 2.15b) / TA 41.1b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of CMS shares?

As of August 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 71.74 with a total of 2,098,648 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.41%, over one month by -5.96%, over three months by -4.48% and over the past year by -1.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 68.00 (which is 5.2% or 2.4 ATR below the current price).

Is CMS a buy, sell or hold?

CMS Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.79. Therefore, it is recommended to hold CMS.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CMS price?
Analysts Target Price 80.5 12.2%
CMS Energy (CMS) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 23.3b (23.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.5983
P/E Forward = 19.2308
P/S = 2.6065
P/B = 2.5233
P/EG = 2.8719
Revenue TTM = 8.81b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.94b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.12b USD
Long Term Debt = 18.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 870.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.6b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 259.0m
Net Debt = 19.3b USD (calculated: Debt 19.6b - CCE 241.0m)
Enterprise Value = 42.6b USD (23.3b + Debt 19.6b - CCE 241.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.38 (Ebit TTM 1.94b / Interest Expense TTM 816.0m)
EV/FCF = -22.32x (Enterprise Value 42.6b / FCF TTM -1.91b)
FCF Yield = -4.48% (FCF TTM -1.91b / Enterprise Value 42.6b)
FCF Margin = -21.67% (FCF TTM -1.91b / Revenue TTM 8.81b)
Net Margin = 11.64% (Net Income TTM 1.03b / Revenue TTM 8.81b)
Gross Margin = 45.83% ((Revenue TTM 8.81b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.09% (prev 56.52%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 42.6b / Total Assets 41.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.17% (Interest Expense 816.0m / Debt 19.6b)
Taxrate = 21.23% (239.0m / 1.13b)
NOPAT = 1.53b (EBIT 1.94b * (1 - 21.23%))
Current Ratio = 0.92 (Total Current Assets 3.10b / Total Current Liabilities 3.36b)
Debt / Equity = 2.00 (Debt 19.6b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 9.77b)
Debt / EBITDA = 6.19 (Net Debt 19.3b / EBITDA 3.12b)
 Debt / FCF = -10.11 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 19.3b / FCF TTM -1.91b)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 9.31b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.60% (Net Income 1.03b / Total Assets 41.1b)
RoE = 11.02% (Net Income TTM 1.03b / Total Stockholder Equity 9.31b)
RoCE = 7.07% (EBIT 1.94b / Capital Employed (Equity 9.31b + L.T.Debt 18.2b))
RoIC = 3.99% (NOPAT 1.53b / Invested Capital 38.4b)
WACC = 4.39% (E(23.3b)/V(42.9b) * Re(5.32%) + D(19.6b)/V(42.9b) * Rd(4.17%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 5.32% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.32 | Cagr: 0.50%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -1.91b)
 EPS Correlation: 73.18 | EPS CAGR: 7.25% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 87.25 | Revenue CAGR: 6.83% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.13 | Chg30d=+6.28% | Revisions=+22% | Analysts=11
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.87 | Chg30d=-0.28% | Revisions=+36% | GrowthEPS=+7.3% | GrowthRev=+4.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.17 | Chg30d=-0.07% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+7.7% | GrowthRev=+5.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +39% (up=11, down=4)