(CNM) Core & Main - Ratings and Ratios
Pipes, Valves, Hydrants, Fittings, Meters
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.6% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.26% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.31 |
| Alpha | -9.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.96 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.548 |
| Beta | 0.996 |
| Beta Downside | 0.889 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.74% |
| Mean DD | 11.13% |
| Median DD | 8.90% |
Description: CNM Core & Main January 02, 2026
Core & Main, Inc. (NYSE: CNM) is a U.S. distributor of water-related infrastructure products-including pipes, valves, hydrants, storm-drainage components, fire-protection fittings, and smart-metering solutions-servicing municipalities, private water utilities, and contractors across residential, non-residential, and municipal markets. The company’s portfolio supports the maintenance, repair, replacement, and new construction of underground water, wastewater, storm-drainage, and fire-protection systems.
According to the most recent Form 10-K (FY 2023), Core & Main generated approximately $1.9 billion in revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin near 7 %, and reported a backlog of roughly $300 million, indicating a modest but stable order pipeline. The firm’s operating cash flow conversion has averaged about 80 % of EBITDA over the past three years, suggesting solid cash generation despite the capital-intensive nature of its product lines.
Key macro drivers for the sector include the U.S. Water Infrastructure Finance and Innovation Act (WIFIA) funding pipeline, which is expected to channel over $100 billion in federal and state investment into water-system upgrades through 2030, and tightening EPA discharge standards that spur replacement of aging pipe networks. Additionally, climate-resilience spending on storm-drainage and flood-mitigation projects has risen at an estimated 4-5 % annual rate, providing tailwinds for distributors like Core & Main.
For a deeper quantitative look, you might explore ValueRay’s detailed financial model for CNM to assess its upside potential under different infrastructure-spending scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (435.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 465.8m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.35pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 18.03% (prev 17.64%; Δ 0.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 617.0m > Net Income 435.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.35b) to EBITDA (922.0m) ratio: 2.54 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.26 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (197.9m) change vs 12m ago -1.62% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 26.82% (prev 26.63%; Δ 0.18pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 124.1% (prev 115.6%; Δ 8.50pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.73 (EBITDA TTM 922.0m / Interest Expense TTM 127.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.80
| (A) 0.22 = (Total Current Assets 2.51b - Total Current Liabilities 1.11b) / Total Assets 6.30b |
| (B) 0.12 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 736.0m / Total Assets 6.30b |
| (C) 0.12 = EBIT TTM 728.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.26b |
| (D) 0.17 = Book Value of Equity 732.0m / Total Liabilities 4.25b |
| Total Rating: 2.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.55
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.31% |
| 3. FCF Margin 7.41% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.23 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.54 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.40)% |
| 7. RoE 23.82% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 65.16% |
| 9. EPS Trend 33.30% |
What is the price of CNM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.16%, over one month by +9.07%, over three months by +6.43% and over the past year by +7.66%.
Is CNM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CNM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 60.1 | 9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 60.1 | 9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 67.2 | 22% |
CNM Fundamental Data Overview January 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 23.4742
P/S = 1.4151
P/B = 5.2897
P/EG = 1.8627
Beta = 0.981
Revenue TTM = 7.76b USD
EBIT TTM = 728.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 922.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 98.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.43b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.35b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.33b USD (10.99b + Debt 2.43b - CCE 89.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.73 (Ebit TTM 728.0m / Interest Expense TTM 127.0m)
FCF Yield = 4.31% (FCF TTM 575.0m / Enterprise Value 13.33b)
FCF Margin = 7.41% (FCF TTM 575.0m / Revenue TTM 7.76b)
Net Margin = 5.60% (Net Income TTM 435.0m / Revenue TTM 7.76b)
Gross Margin = 26.82% ((Revenue TTM 7.76b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.68b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.21% (prev 26.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.12 (Enterprise Value 13.33b / Total Assets 6.30b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.23% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 2.43b)
Taxrate = 24.74% (47.0m / 190.0m)
NOPAT = 547.9m (EBIT 728.0m * (1 - 24.74%))
Current Ratio = 2.26 (Total Current Assets 2.51b / Total Current Liabilities 1.11b)
Debt / Equity = 1.23 (Debt 2.43b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.98b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.54 (Net Debt 2.35b / EBITDA 922.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.08 (Net Debt 2.35b / FCF TTM 575.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.95% (Net Income 435.0m / Total Assets 6.30b)
RoE = 23.82% (Net Income TTM 435.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.83b)
RoCE = 18.41% (EBIT 728.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.83b + L.T.Debt 2.13b))
RoIC = 13.50% (NOPAT 547.9m / Invested Capital 4.06b)
WACC = 8.09% (E(10.99b)/V(13.42b) * Re(9.68%) + D(2.43b)/V(13.42b) * Rd(1.23%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -6.15%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.71% ; FCFF base≈605.4m ; Y1≈444.7m ; Y5≈254.6m
Fair Price DCF = 13.00 (EV 4.80b - Net Debt 2.35b = Equity 2.45b / Shares 188.8m; r=8.09% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -31.34% → 3.0% )
[DCF Warning] FCF declining rapidly (-31.34%), DCF may be unreliable
EPS Correlation: 33.30 | EPS CAGR: 22.72% | SUE: 0.99 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 65.16 | Revenue CAGR: 14.38% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.58 | Chg30d=+0.015 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=2.59 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+9.1% | Growth Revenue=+3.6%
Additional Sources for CNM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle