CNM Stock Analysis: Core & Main | NYSE

Industrial Distribution | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 7.535m USD | 12M Return: -17.9% | US21874C1027 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pipes, Valves, Fire Protection, Smart Meters
Total Rating 35
Safety 78
Buy Signal -0.71
Industrial Distribution
Industry Rotation: -13.7
Market Cap: 7.53B
Avg Turnover: 93.9M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility35.6%
VaR 5th Pctl5.76%
VaR vs Median-1.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.56
Rel. Str. IBD6.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group7.6
Character TTM
Beta1.076
Beta Downside1.141
Hurst Exponent0.558
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD39.36%
CAGR/Max DD0.33
CAGR/Mean DD0.81
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of CNM over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-07": 0.58, "2021-10": 0.42, "2022-01": 0.3336, "2022-04": 0.5, "2022-07": 0.47, "2022-10": 0.46, "2023-01": 0.31, "2023-04": 0.36, "2023-07": 0.51, "2023-10": 0.52, "2024-01": 0.32, "2024-04": 0.49, "2024-07": 0.61, "2024-10": 0.69, "2025-01": 0.34, "2025-04": 0.53, "2025-07": 0.7, "2025-10": 0.72, "2026-01": 0.37, "2026-04": 0.7, "2026-07": 0.92,
EPS CAGR: 16.94%
EPS Trend: 98.0%
Last SUE: 0.17
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of CNM over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-07: 1298, 2021-10: 1404.8, 2022-01: 1246, 2022-04: 1598, 2022-07: 1861, 2022-10: 1818, 2023-01: 1374, 2023-04: 1574, 2023-07: 1861, 2023-10: 1827, 2024-01: 1440, 2024-04: 1741, 2024-07: 1964, 2024-10: 2038, 2025-01: 1698, 2025-04: 1911, 2025-07: 2093, 2025-10: 2062, 2026-01: 1581, 2026-04: 1910, 2026-07: 2145,
Rev. CAGR: 6.28%
Rev. Trend: 92.3%
Last SUE: 0.17
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 5 years of data

Jan +3.8% 22
Feb +3.1% 0
Mar -2.1% 0
Apr +4.1% 21
May -0.2% 0
Jun +1.5% 0
Jul +1.0% 10
Aug -1.5% 21
Sep -12.7% 49
Oct -0.7% 0
Nov -1.6% 0
Dec +3.6% 23

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: CNM Core & Main

Core & Main, Inc. (NYSE: CNM) is a U.S. distributor specializing in water, wastewater, storm drainage, and fire protection products and related services. Its portfolio spans pipes, valves, hydrants, fittings, HDPE and metal piping, geosynthetics, smart metering solutions, and engineered treatment plant products, with supporting fabrication, kitting, and installation services. The company sells primarily to municipalities, private water utilities, and professional contractors across municipal, non-residential, and residential end markets. Founded in 1874 and headquartered in Saint Louis, Missouri, Core & Main went public on the NYSE in July 2021 and is classified within the Industrials sector, Trading Companies & Distributors sub-industry. As a specialized infrastructure distributor, its revenue is closely tied to U.S. municipal capital spending, water main replacement cycles, and non-residential construction activity.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • IIJA infrastructure funding boosts municipal pipe demand
  • Housing starts decline pressures residential segment volumes
  • Steel and PVC input costs compress distribution margins
  • Smart meter adoption expands higher-margin services revenue
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 459.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.09 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.42 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 22.69% < 20% (prev 18.00%; Δ 4.70% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 683.0m > Net Income 459.0m
Net Debt (2.74b) to EBITDA (955.0m): 2.87 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.47 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (193.4m) vs 12m ago -2.49% < -2%
Gross Margin: 27.05% > 18% (prev 26.67%; Δ 0.38% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 118.3% > 50% (prev 122.7%; Δ -4.45% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.10 > 6 (EBIT TTM 769.0m / Interest Expense TTM 126.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.35
A: 0.26 (Total Current Assets 2.94b - Total Current Liabilities 1.19b) / Total Assets 6.71b
B: 0.12 (Retained Earnings 784.0m / Total Assets 6.71b)
C: 0.12 (EBIT TTM 769.0m / Avg Total Assets 6.51b)
D: 0.44 (Book Value of Equity 2.03b / Total Liabilities 4.61b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.35 = A
Beneish M -3.04
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 1.44b/1.36b, Revenue 7.70b/7.74b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 26.67% / 27.05%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.53)
SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 7.70b / 7.74b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 459.0m - CFO 683.0m) / TA 6.71b)
Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of CNM shares?

As of September 12, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.62 with a total of 3,841,175 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.64%, over one month by -12.89%, over three months by -18.86% and over the past year by -17.86%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.80 (which is 4.5% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is CNM a buy, sell or hold?

Core & Main has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.07. Therefore, it is recommended to buy CNM.

  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the CNM price?
Analysts Target Price 54.9 35.1%
Core & Main (CNM) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 September 2026
Market Cap USD = 7.53b (7.53b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 17.092
P/E Forward = 13.9665
P/S = 0.9854
P/B = 3.8342
P/EG = 1.1258
Revenue TTM = 7.70b USD
EBIT TTM = 769.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 955.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.12b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 96.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 300.0m
Net Debt = 2.74b USD (calculated: Debt 3.05b - CCE 312.0m)
Enterprise Value = 10.3b USD (7.53b + Debt 3.05b - CCE 312.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.10 (Ebit TTM 769.0m / Interest Expense TTM 126.0m)
EV/FCF = 16.36x (Enterprise Value 10.3b / FCF TTM 628.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.11% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Enterprise Value 10.3b)
FCF Margin = 8.16% (FCF TTM 628.0m / Revenue TTM 7.70b)
Net Margin = 5.96% (Net Income TTM 459.0m / Revenue TTM 7.70b)
Gross Margin = 27.05% ((Revenue TTM 7.70b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 26.71% (prev 27.23%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.53 (Enterprise Value 10.3b / Total Assets 6.71b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.13% (Interest Expense 126.0m / Debt 3.05b)
Taxrate = 23.60% (148.0m / 627.0m)
NOPAT = 587.5m (EBIT 769.0m * (1 - 23.60%))
Current Ratio = 2.47 (Total Current Assets 2.94b / Total Current Liabilities 1.19b)
Debt / Equity = 1.50 (Debt 3.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.87 (Net Debt 2.74b / EBITDA 955.0m)
Debt / FCF = 4.36 (Net Debt 2.74b / FCF TTM 628.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.01b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.05% (Net Income 459.0m / Total Assets 6.71b)
RoE = 22.82% (Net Income TTM 459.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.01b)
RoCE = 18.60% (EBIT 769.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.01b + L.T.Debt 2.12b))
RoIC = 11.08% (NOPAT 587.5m / Invested Capital 5.30b)
WACC = 7.86% (E(7.53b)/V(10.6b) * Re(9.77%) + D(3.05b)/V(10.6b) * Rd(4.13%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.77% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.53 | Cagr: -2.06%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.81% ; FCFF base≈602.4m ; Y1≈661.6m ; Y5≈838.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 54.59 (EV 12.8b - Net Debt 2.74b = Equity 10.1b / Shares 184.4m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.35% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.01 | EPS CAGR: 16.94% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 92.34 | Revenue CAGR: 6.28% | SUE: 0.17 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.95 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=3.16 | Chg30d=+3.88% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+36.5% | GrowthRev=+2.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=3.50 | Chg30d=+3.78% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+10.5% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -17% (up=1, down=2)