(CP) Canadian Pacific Railway - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: Canada •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: CA13646K1084
Stock: Freight, Grain, Coal, Intermodal, Chemicals
Total Rating 44
Risk 81
Buy Signal -0.54
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.84% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.17% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -15.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.7% |
| Payout Ratio | 13.6% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 23.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.45% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.10 |
| Alpha | -8.59 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.721 |
| Beta Downside | 0.454 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.04 |
Description: CP Canadian Pacific Railway January 28, 2026
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) operates a roughly 20,000-mile transcontinental rail network across Canada, the United States and Mexico, moving bulk commodities (grain, coal, potash, fertilizers, sulphur), merchandise freight (forest products, energy, chemicals, metals, consumer goods, automotive) and intermodal containers. The firm, formerly Canadian Pacific Railway Limited, rebranded in April 2023 and remains headquartered in Calgary, Canada.
In FY 2023 CP reported revenue of $15.3 billion and an operating ratio of 61.5 %-the best in its 140-year history-driven by higher intermodal volumes (+8 % YoY) and strong grain export demand from the U.S. Midwest. A key sector catalyst is the rebound in North-American agricultural shipments, while the gradual decline in U.S. coal consumption continues to pressure bulk coal traffic. CP’s network also benefits from the expanding automotive supply chain in Mexico, which adds to its intermodal growth outlook.
For a deeper quantitative breakdown, see the ValueRay analysis of CP.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 4.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -0.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -6.81% < 20% (prev -15.65%; Δ 8.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 5.31b > Net Income 4.14b |
| Net Debt (23.00b) to EBITDA (8.38b): 2.75 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (898.4m) vs 12m ago -3.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 62.22% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 6170 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.30% > 50% (prev 16.45%; Δ 0.84% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 7.26 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 8.38b / Interest Expense TTM 876.0m) |
Altman Z'' 2.39
| A: -0.01 (Total Current Assets 2.21b - Total Current Liabilities 3.24b) / Total Assets 85.94b |
| B: 0.23 (Retained Earnings 19.78b / Total Assets 85.94b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 6.36b / Avg Total Assets 87.17b) |
| D: 1.17 (Book Value of Equity 45.75b / Total Liabilities 39.12b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 2.39 = BBB |
Beneish M -3.16
| DSRI: 0.99 (Receivables 2.03b/1.97b, Revenue 15.08b/14.55b) |
| GMI: 0.83 (GM 62.22% / 51.43%) |
| AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.33 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 15.08b / 14.55b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 4.14b - CFO 5.31b) / TA 85.94b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of CP shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 80.39 with a total of 2,657,033 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.14%, over one month by +9.43%, over three months by +16.93% and over the past year by +3.44%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.14%, over one month by +9.43%, over three months by +16.93% and over the past year by +3.44%.
Is CP a buy, sell or hold?
Canadian Pacific Railway has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy CP.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the CP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 86 | 6.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 86 | 6.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 81.2 | 1% |
CP Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Trailing = 22.8738
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 4.426
P/B = 2.0173
P/EG = 2.3684
Revenue TTM = 15.08b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.59b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 89.74b USD (66.74b + Debt 23.19b - CCE 184.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.26 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 876.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.38x (Enterprise Value 89.74b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
FCF Yield = 2.42% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Enterprise Value 89.74b)
FCF Margin = 14.38% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Net Margin = 27.46% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Gross Margin = 62.22% ((Revenue TTM 15.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.50% (prev 68.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 89.74b / Total Assets 85.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 230.0m / Debt 23.19b)
Taxrate = 27.08% (400.0m / 1.48b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 27.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 2.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 23.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.75 (Net Debt 23.00b / EBITDA 8.38b)
Debt / FCF = 10.61 (Net Debt 23.00b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4.14b / Total Assets 85.94b)
RoE = 9.57% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.28b)
RoCE = 9.80% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.28b + L.T.Debt 21.59b))
RoIC = 6.66% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 69.65b)
WACC = 6.55% (E(66.74b)/V(89.92b) * Re(8.57%) + D(23.19b)/V(89.92b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.91%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.07% ; FCFF base≈2.26b ; Y1≈2.57b ; Y5≈3.52b
Fair Price DCF = 69.09 (EV 85.03b - Net Debt 23.00b = Equity 62.02b / Shares 897.7m; r=6.55% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 65.60 | EPS CAGR: 20.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.20 | Revenue CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-0.069 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=-13 | Growth EPS=+12.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.91 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
P/E Forward = 19.9203
P/S = 4.426
P/B = 2.0173
P/EG = 2.3684
Revenue TTM = 15.08b USD
EBIT TTM = 6.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 8.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 21.59b USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 3.24b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 23.19b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 23.00b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 89.74b USD (66.74b + Debt 23.19b - CCE 184.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 7.26 (Ebit TTM 6.36b / Interest Expense TTM 876.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.38x (Enterprise Value 89.74b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
FCF Yield = 2.42% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Enterprise Value 89.74b)
FCF Margin = 14.38% (FCF TTM 2.17b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Net Margin = 27.46% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Revenue TTM 15.08b)
Gross Margin = 62.22% ((Revenue TTM 15.08b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.70b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.50% (prev 68.64%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.04 (Enterprise Value 89.74b / Total Assets 85.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.99% (Interest Expense 230.0m / Debt 23.19b)
Taxrate = 27.08% (400.0m / 1.48b)
NOPAT = 4.64b (EBIT 6.36b * (1 - 27.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 2.21b / Total Current Liabilities 3.24b)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 23.19b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 45.84b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.75 (Net Debt 23.00b / EBITDA 8.38b)
Debt / FCF = 10.61 (Net Debt 23.00b / FCF TTM 2.17b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 43.28b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.75% (Net Income 4.14b / Total Assets 85.94b)
RoE = 9.57% (Net Income TTM 4.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 43.28b)
RoCE = 9.80% (EBIT 6.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 43.28b + L.T.Debt 21.59b))
RoIC = 6.66% (NOPAT 4.64b / Invested Capital 69.65b)
WACC = 6.55% (E(66.74b)/V(89.92b) * Re(8.57%) + D(23.19b)/V(89.92b) * Rd(0.99%) * (1-Tc(0.27)))
Discount Rate = 8.57% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.91%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 85.07% ; FCFF base≈2.26b ; Y1≈2.57b ; Y5≈3.52b
Fair Price DCF = 69.09 (EV 85.03b - Net Debt 23.00b = Equity 62.02b / Shares 897.7m; r=6.55% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.95% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 65.60 | EPS CAGR: 20.06% | SUE: -1.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.20 | Revenue CAGR: 22.41% | SUE: -0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.12 | Chg30d=-0.069 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.19 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=-13 | Growth EPS=+12.6% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.91 | Chg30d=-0.157 | Revisions Net=-3 | Growth EPS=+13.8% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%