(CVI) CVR Energy - Overview
Stock: Gasoline, Diesel, Jet Fuel, Urea Ammonium Nitrate, Ammonia
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 49.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.75% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.95 |
| Alpha | 30.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.859 |
| Beta Downside | 1.351 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 56.17% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.02 |
Description: CVI CVR Energy January 11, 2026
CVR Energy, Inc. (NYSE:CVI) is a vertically integrated energy and fertilizer company headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas. Through its three operating segments-Petroleum, Renewables, and Nitrogen Fertilizer-it refines and markets transportation fuels, produces renewable diesel, and manufactures nitrogen-based fertilizers for U.S. agricultural and industrial customers.
The Petroleum segment runs a 190,000 bpd medium-sour, coking refinery in Coffeyville, Kansas, and a 45,000 bpd refinery in Oklahoma. It supplies gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and distillates to retailers, railroads, and farm cooperatives, while also handling crude gathering and logistics. A key performance driver is the crack spread between crude oil inputs and refined product prices; recent tightening of the gasoline-crude spread has boosted margins, but exposure to volatile crude price differentials remains a core risk.
The Renewables segment converts soybean oil, corn oil, and other feedstocks into renewable diesel, operating roughly 100,000 bpd of renewable-fuel capacity. Production is tightly linked to the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) credit market and to the price differential between renewable diesel and conventional diesel. In 2023 the segment generated a renewable diesel margin of about $15 per barrel, reflecting both strong demand for low-carbon fuels and favorable feedstock pricing.
The Nitrogen Fertilizer segment operates a petcoke-gasification plant in Coffeyville, Kansas, and an ammonia/UAN facility in East Dubuque, Illinois, together delivering roughly 2.2 million tons of nitrogen products annually. Fertilizer margins are driven by natural-gas feedstock costs and seasonal agricultural demand; a 30 % swing in natural-gas prices can shift EBITDA by over $200 million. The segment’s focus on UAN and ammonia positions it to benefit from rising U.S. corn acreage and fertilizer-use intensity.
For a deeper quantitative dive into CVR Energy’s segment economics and valuation sensitivities, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 654.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.13 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 9.66% < 20% (prev 4.49%; Δ 5.18% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 210.0m > Net Income 654.0m |
| Net Debt (1.13b) to EBITDA (685.0m): 1.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.96 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (100.5m) vs 12m ago 0.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 14.48% > 18% (prev 0.04%; Δ 1444 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 190.1% > 50% (prev 202.8%; Δ -12.70% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.52 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 685.0m / Interest Expense TTM 96.0m) |
Altman Z'' 1.16
| A: 0.18 (Total Current Assets 1.48b - Total Current Liabilities 755.0m) / Total Assets 3.99b |
| B: -0.17 (Retained Earnings -667.0m / Total Assets 3.99b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 434.0m / Avg Total Assets 3.94b) |
| D: -0.21 (Book Value of Equity -666.0m / Total Liabilities 3.15b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 1.16 = BB |
Beneish M -3.48
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 253.0m/281.0m, Revenue 7.48b/7.87b) |
| GMI: 0.26 (GM 14.48% / 3.79%) |
| AQI: 1.30 (AQ_t 0.10 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 7.48b / 7.87b) |
| TATA: 0.11 (NI 654.0m - CFO 210.0m) / TA 3.99b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.48 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of CVI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.92%, over one month by -0.41%, over three months by -32.91% and over the past year by +49.25%.
Is CVI a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 3
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the CVI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 25.8 | 5.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 25.8 | 5.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 23.5 | -4.4% |
CVI Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 25.4453
P/S = 0.3215
P/B = 2.7933
P/EG = -2.16
Revenue TTM = 7.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 434.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 685.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.94b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 1.13b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.61b USD (2.35b + Debt 1.94b - CCE 670.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.52 (Ebit TTM 434.0m / Interest Expense TTM 96.0m)
EV/FCF = 120.4x (Enterprise Value 3.61b / FCF TTM 30.0m)
FCF Yield = 0.83% (FCF TTM 30.0m / Enterprise Value 3.61b)
FCF Margin = 0.40% (FCF TTM 30.0m / Revenue TTM 7.48b)
Net Margin = 8.74% (Net Income TTM 654.0m / Revenue TTM 7.48b)
Gross Margin = 14.48% ((Revenue TTM 7.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.40b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.81% (prev 28.81%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 3.61b / Total Assets 3.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.29% (Interest Expense 25.0m / Debt 1.94b)
Taxrate = 18.00% (88.0m / 489.0m)
NOPAT = 355.9m (EBIT 434.0m * (1 - 18.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.96 (Total Current Assets 1.48b / Total Current Liabilities 755.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.30 (Debt 1.94b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 840.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.65 (Net Debt 1.13b / EBITDA 685.0m)
Debt / FCF = 37.77 (Net Debt 1.13b / FCF TTM 30.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 740.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.62% (Net Income 654.0m / Total Assets 3.99b)
RoE = 88.29% (Net Income TTM 654.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 740.8m)
RoCE = 17.29% (EBIT 434.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 740.8m + L.T.Debt 1.77b))
RoIC = 14.33% (NOPAT 355.9m / Invested Capital 2.48b)
WACC = 5.46% (E(2.35b)/V(4.28b) * Re(9.08%) + D(1.94b)/V(4.28b) * Rd(1.29%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 81.65 | Cagr: 0.02%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 84.40% ; FCFF base≈47.2m ; Y1≈39.7m ; Y5≈29.7m
Fair Price DCF = N/A (negative equity: EV 905.2m - Net Debt 1.13b = -227.8m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -68.37 | EPS CAGR: -0.82% | SUE: 1.07 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: -73.92 | Revenue CAGR: -2.20% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.15 | Chg30d=-0.345 | Revisions Net=-6 | Analysts=7
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.85 | Chg30d=-0.591 | Revisions Net=-4 | Growth EPS=+169.9% | Growth Revenue=-3.7%