(DDL) Dingdong (Cayman) - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: China •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US25445D1019
Stock: Fresh Groceries, Prepared Food, Dairy, Beverages, Snacks
Total Rating 25
Risk 33
Buy Signal -0.26
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 87.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.04 |
| Alpha | -28.23 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.620 |
| Beta Downside | 0.708 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 82.58% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
Description: DDL Dingdong (Cayman) December 28, 2025
Dingdong (Cayman) Limited (NYSE:DDL) is a Shanghai-based e-commerce firm founded in 2017 that sells fresh groceries-vegetables, meat, eggs, fruits, seafood-and a range of prepared foods through both offline stores and digital channels, including its Dingdong Fresh app, mini-programs, and third-party platforms.
Based on the latest industry reports (Q3 2024) and the company’s public filings, Dingdong’s key performance indicators include an estimated 12 million monthly active users, a year-over-year gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth of roughly 45 % in 2023, and an average order value near $30. The Chinese fresh-food e-commerce market is projected to expand at a CAGR of ≈ 20 % through 2029, driven by rising urban disposable income, higher consumer demand for convenience, and continued penetration of mobile payment infrastructure. A material risk is the intense competition from larger players such as Alibaba’s Freshippo and JD Fresh, which could compress margins if price wars intensify.
For a deeper dive into DDL’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a free, data-driven toolkit worth checking out.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: 279.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -6.96 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 1.01% < 20% (prev -0.10%; Δ 1.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 708.6m > Net Income 279.8m |
| Net Debt (1.64b) to EBITDA (219.2m): 7.50 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.05 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (226.6m) vs 12m ago 54.06% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 29.41% > 18% (prev 0.30%; Δ 2911 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 347.7% > 50% (prev 322.3%; Δ 25.32% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.33 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 219.2m / Interest Expense TTM 20.8m) |
Altman Z'' -8.28
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 4.98b - Total Current Liabilities 4.73b) / Total Assets 6.95b |
| B: -1.90 (Retained Earnings -13.19b / Total Assets 6.95b) |
| C: 0.01 (EBIT TTM 69.3m / Avg Total Assets 6.91b) |
| D: -2.27 (Book Value of Equity -13.17b / Total Liabilities 5.79b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -8.28 = D |
Beneish M -2.66
| DSRI: 1.21 (Receivables 178.0m/136.1m, Revenue 24.02b/22.15b) |
| GMI: 1.03 (GM 29.41% / 30.18%) |
| AQI: 1.29 (AQ_t 0.02 / AQ_t-1 0.02) |
| SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 24.02b / 22.15b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 279.8m - CFO 708.6m) / TA 6.95b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.66 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DDL shares?
As of February 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 2.74 with a total of 10,938,947 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.20%, over one month by -2.49%, over three months by +60.23% and over the past year by -16.97%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.20%, over one month by -2.49%, over three months by +60.23% and over the past year by -16.97%.
Is DDL a buy, sell or hold?
Dingdong (Cayman) has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.17.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy DDL.
- StrongBuy: 4
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DDL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.6 | -5.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.6 | -5.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.8 | 1.5% |
DDL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
Market Cap CNY = 2.56b (368.5m USD * 6.9418 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 9.1053
P/E Forward = 3.3434
P/S = 0.0258
P/B = 4.2366
Revenue TTM = 24.02b CNY
EBIT TTM = 69.3m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 219.2m CNY
Long Term Debt = 1.56b CNY (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.57b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.48b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.64b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.20b CNY (2.56b + Debt 2.48b - CCE 832.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.33 (Ebit TTM 69.3m / Interest Expense TTM 20.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.02x (Enterprise Value 4.20b / FCF TTM 299.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.13% (FCF TTM 299.6m / Enterprise Value 4.20b)
FCF Margin = 1.25% (FCF TTM 299.6m / Revenue TTM 24.02b)
Net Margin = 1.16% (Net Income TTM 279.8m / Revenue TTM 24.02b)
Gross Margin = 29.41% ((Revenue TTM 24.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.86% (prev 28.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 4.20b / Total Assets 6.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.13% (Interest Expense 3.17m / Debt 2.48b)
Taxrate = 2.14% (1.82m / 84.7m)
NOPAT = 67.9m (EBIT 69.3m * (1 - 2.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 4.98b / Total Current Liabilities 4.73b)
Debt / Equity = 2.42 (Debt 2.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.50 (Net Debt 1.64b / EBITDA 219.2m)
Debt / FCF = 5.48 (Net Debt 1.64b / FCF TTM 299.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 897.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.05% (Net Income 279.8m / Total Assets 6.95b)
RoE = 31.18% (Net Income TTM 279.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 897.4m)
RoCE = 2.82% (EBIT 69.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 897.4m + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 3.16% (NOPAT 67.9m / Invested Capital 2.15b)
WACC = 4.23% (E(2.56b)/V(5.03b) * Re(8.20%) + D(2.48b)/V(5.03b) * Rd(0.13%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 25.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈489.6m ; Y1≈321.4m ; Y5≈146.7m
Fair Price DCF = 16.79 (EV 4.67b - Net Debt 1.64b = Equity 3.03b / Shares 180.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 52.11 | EPS CAGR: 380.3% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 19.61 | Revenue CAGR: 5.33% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+23.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%
P/E Trailing = 9.1053
P/E Forward = 3.3434
P/S = 0.0258
P/B = 4.2366
Revenue TTM = 24.02b CNY
EBIT TTM = 69.3m CNY
EBITDA TTM = 219.2m CNY
Long Term Debt = 1.56b CNY (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.57b CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.48b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 1.64b CNY (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.20b CNY (2.56b + Debt 2.48b - CCE 832.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.33 (Ebit TTM 69.3m / Interest Expense TTM 20.8m)
EV/FCF = 14.02x (Enterprise Value 4.20b / FCF TTM 299.6m)
FCF Yield = 7.13% (FCF TTM 299.6m / Enterprise Value 4.20b)
FCF Margin = 1.25% (FCF TTM 299.6m / Revenue TTM 24.02b)
Net Margin = 1.16% (Net Income TTM 279.8m / Revenue TTM 24.02b)
Gross Margin = 29.41% ((Revenue TTM 24.02b - Cost of Revenue TTM 16.96b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 28.86% (prev 28.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.60 (Enterprise Value 4.20b / Total Assets 6.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.13% (Interest Expense 3.17m / Debt 2.48b)
Taxrate = 2.14% (1.82m / 84.7m)
NOPAT = 67.9m (EBIT 69.3m * (1 - 2.14%))
Current Ratio = 1.05 (Total Current Assets 4.98b / Total Current Liabilities 4.73b)
Debt / Equity = 2.42 (Debt 2.48b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.50 (Net Debt 1.64b / EBITDA 219.2m)
Debt / FCF = 5.48 (Net Debt 1.64b / FCF TTM 299.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 897.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.05% (Net Income 279.8m / Total Assets 6.95b)
RoE = 31.18% (Net Income TTM 279.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 897.4m)
RoCE = 2.82% (EBIT 69.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 897.4m + L.T.Debt 1.56b))
RoIC = 3.16% (NOPAT 67.9m / Invested Capital 2.15b)
WACC = 4.23% (E(2.56b)/V(5.03b) * Re(8.20%) + D(2.48b)/V(5.03b) * Rd(0.13%) * (1-Tc(0.02)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 25.25%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.82% ; FCFF base≈489.6m ; Y1≈321.4m ; Y5≈146.7m
Fair Price DCF = 16.79 (EV 4.67b - Net Debt 1.64b = Equity 3.03b / Shares 180.4m; r=5.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 52.11 | EPS CAGR: 380.3% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 19.61 | Revenue CAGR: 5.33% | SUE: -0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=2.05 | Chg30d=-0.033 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+23.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.5%