(DECK) Deckers Outdoor - Overview
Stock: Footwear, Apparel, Accessories, Sandals, Boots
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -11.5% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.52 |
| Alpha | -51.88 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.273 |
| Beta Downside | 1.089 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 64.35% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.29 |
Description: DECK Deckers Outdoor January 03, 2026
Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE:DECK) designs, markets and distributes premium footwear, apparel and accessories across casual lifestyle and high-performance segments, operating globally through wholesale partners, distributors and a growing direct-to-consumer (DTC) channel that includes e-commerce and owned retail stores.
The portfolio includes four core brands: UGG (luxury casual footwear and apparel), HOKA ONE ONE (performance running, trail and hiking shoes), Teva (outdoor sandals and boots) and Koolaburra (fashion-forward casual shoes), with the newer AHNU line targeting the upscale athleisure niche.
Key recent metrics (FY 2023): revenue of $4.6 bn, a 12% YoY increase driven largely by a 28% surge in DTC sales, and an operating margin of 13.5%-the highest in the company’s history, reflecting strong pricing power and efficient supply-chain management.
Sector drivers that materially affect Deckers include discretionary consumer spending trends, which are sensitive to U.S. household confidence and employment levels, and raw-material cost dynamics (e.g., sheepskin, rubber) that can compress margins if not hedged.
Analysts watch the “run-rate” growth of HOKA, which has posted double-digit sales expansion for five consecutive quarters, as a bellwether for the broader performance-footwear market’s shift toward premium, tech-enabled products.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of DECK’s valuation and risk profile, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface the most material assumptions.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income: 1.04b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.24 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.28 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 39.68% < 20% (prev 45.52%; Δ -5.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 1.07b > Net Income 1.04b |
| Net Debt (-1.74b) to EBITDA (1.37b): -1.28 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.86 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (147.2m) vs 12m ago -3.40% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 57.54% > 18% (prev 0.58%; Δ 5697 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 133.3% > 50% (prev 124.2%; Δ 9.06% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 301.9 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.37b / Interest Expense TTM 4.46m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 3.28b - Total Current Liabilities 1.15b) / Total Assets 4.10b |
| B: 0.56 (Retained Earnings 2.31b / Total Assets 4.10b) |
| C: 0.33 (EBIT TTM 1.35b / Avg Total Assets 4.03b) |
| D: 6.58 (Book Value of Equity 2.26b / Total Liabilities 343.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 14.40 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.94
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 344.3m/359.9m, Revenue 5.37b/4.92b) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 57.54% / 57.79%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.04) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 5.37b / 4.92b) |
| TATA: -0.01 (NI 1.04b - CFO 1.07b) / TA 4.10b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
What is the price of DECK shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.26%, over one month by +7.44%, over three months by +44.66% and over the past year by -32.95%.
Is DECK a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DECK price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 123.1 | 6.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 123.1 | 6.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 117.5 | 1.8% |
DECK Fundamental Data Overview February 01, 2026
P/E Forward = 17.301
P/S = 3.3757
P/B = 6.6655
P/EG = 1.9282
Revenue TTM = 5.37b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.35b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.37b USD
Long Term Debt = 277.0m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 76.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 342.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -1.74b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.96b USD (17.70b + Debt 342.9m - CCE 2.09b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 301.9 (Ebit TTM 1.35b / Interest Expense TTM 4.46m)
EV/FCF = 16.29x (Enterprise Value 15.96b / FCF TTM 979.9m)
FCF Yield = 6.14% (FCF TTM 979.9m / Enterprise Value 15.96b)
FCF Margin = 18.23% (FCF TTM 979.9m / Revenue TTM 5.37b)
Net Margin = 19.35% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Revenue TTM 5.37b)
Gross Margin = 57.54% ((Revenue TTM 5.37b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.28b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 59.84% (prev 56.18%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.89 (Enterprise Value 15.96b / Total Assets 4.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.55% (Interest Expense 1.87m / Debt 342.9m)
Taxrate = 23.25% (145.8m / 626.9m)
NOPAT = 1.03b (EBIT 1.35b * (1 - 23.25%))
Current Ratio = 2.86 (Total Current Assets 3.28b / Total Current Liabilities 1.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 342.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.61b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.28 (Net Debt -1.74b / EBITDA 1.37b)
Debt / FCF = -1.78 (Net Debt -1.74b / FCF TTM 979.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.51b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 25.78% (Net Income 1.04b / Total Assets 4.10b)
RoE = 41.36% (Net Income TTM 1.04b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.51b)
RoCE = 48.30% (EBIT 1.35b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.51b + L.T.Debt 277.0m))
RoIC = 41.68% (NOPAT 1.03b / Invested Capital 2.48b)
WACC = 10.42% (E(17.70b)/V(18.05b) * Re(10.61%) + D(342.9m)/V(18.05b) * Rd(0.55%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 10.61% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.51%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 73.82% ; FCFF base≈930.5m ; Y1≈1.15b ; Y5≈1.95b
Fair Price DCF = 163.5 (EV 22.09b - Net Debt -1.74b = Equity 23.83b / Shares 145.7m; r=10.42% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 41.85 | EPS CAGR: 7.83% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 6
Revenue Correlation: 64.17 | Revenue CAGR: 29.80% | SUE: 2.10 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.94 | Chg30d=+0.050 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=9
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=7.19 | Chg30d=+0.345 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+4.4% | Growth Revenue=+7.0%