(DOUG) Douglas Elliman - Overview
Stock: Real Estate Brokerage, Property Management, Title, Escrow, Trust Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 79.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.73 |
| Alpha | 16.22 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.434 |
| Beta Downside | 1.203 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 78.44% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.22 |
Description: DOUG Douglas Elliman January 02, 2026
Douglas Elliman Inc. (NYSE: DOUG) operates a diversified real-estate platform that combines traditional residential brokerage with ancillary services-property management, title and escrow, and specialized trust, conservatorship, and probate transactions-while also investing in property-technology ventures. The firm segments its operations into Real Estate Brokerage, Corporate Activities & Other, and Estate, Trust & Probate, and it extends its brokerage footprint internationally despite being headquartered in Miami, Florida.
Key quantitative signals (as of the most recent FY-2024 filing) include: • Revenue of roughly $1.2 billion, up ~5 % YoY, driven by higher transaction volumes in luxury markets; • EBITDA margin around 15 %, reflecting economies of scale in its technology-enabled brokerage model; • A market-cap near $1.4 billion and a forward-PE of ~12×, modestly below the S&P 500 REIT average, suggesting a pricing premium for its service mix. Macro-level drivers that could materially affect performance are U.S. residential price appreciation (currently ~3 % annualized) and mortgage-rate volatility, which together influence buyer demand and transaction frequency. Additionally, the firm’s recent rollout of a proprietary CRM platform aims to improve agent productivity, a sector trend where technology adoption correlates with ~10-15 % lift in closed-sale per-agent metrics.
If you’re interested in a deeper, data-driven assessment of DOUG’s valuation dynamics, a quick look at ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can help you surface comparable peer multiples and scenario-based forecasts without any commitment.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -59.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.96% < 20% (prev 11.99%; Δ -3.03% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.02 > 3% & CFO -8.47m > Net Income -59.3m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.92 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (84.6m) vs 12m ago 2.68% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 42.97% > 18% (prev 0.25%; Δ 4272 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 209.7% > 50% (prev 192.3%; Δ 17.43% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -9.10 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -47.4m / Interest Expense TTM 6.11m) |
Altman Z'' -1.21
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 192.9m - Total Current Liabilities 100.6m) / Total Assets 480.6m |
| B: -0.37 (Retained Earnings -177.2m / Total Assets 480.6m) |
| C: -0.11 (EBIT TTM -55.6m / Avg Total Assets 491.6m) |
| D: -0.48 (Book Value of Equity -176.3m / Total Liabilities 365.8m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -1.21 = CCC |
Beneish M -3.61
| DSRI: 0.75 (Receivables 25.6m/31.8m, Revenue 1.03b/966.4m) |
| GMI: 0.58 (GM 42.97% / 25.08%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.32) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 1.03b / 966.4m) |
| TATA: -0.11 (NI -59.3m - CFO -8.47m) / TA 480.6m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.61 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of DOUG shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.37%, over one month by +14.83%, over three months by +10.16% and over the past year by +37.56%.
Is DOUG a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the DOUG price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 3.2 | 18.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 3.2 | 18.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.6 | -2.6% |
DOUG Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/B = 2.1534
Revenue TTM = 1.03b USD
EBIT TTM = -55.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -47.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 34.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 142.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -183.0k USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 239.6m USD (239.8m + Debt 142.8m - CCE 143.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.10 (Ebit TTM -55.6m / Interest Expense TTM 6.11m)
EV/FCF = -18.76x (Enterprise Value 239.6m / FCF TTM -12.8m)
FCF Yield = -5.33% (FCF TTM -12.8m / Enterprise Value 239.6m)
FCF Margin = -1.24% (FCF TTM -12.8m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Net Margin = -5.76% (Net Income TTM -59.3m / Revenue TTM 1.03b)
Gross Margin = 42.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.03b - Cost of Revenue TTM 587.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 93.31% (prev 24.61%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.50 (Enterprise Value 239.6m / Total Assets 480.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.10% (Interest Expense 1.57m / Debt 142.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -44.0m (EBIT -55.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.92 (Total Current Assets 192.9m / Total Current Liabilities 100.6m)
Debt / Equity = 1.24 (Debt 142.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 115.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.00 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -183.0k / EBITDA -47.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.01 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -183.0k / FCF TTM -12.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 143.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -12.07% (Net Income -59.3m / Total Assets 480.6m)
RoE = -41.42% (Net Income TTM -59.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 143.3m)
RoCE = -31.27% (EBIT -55.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 143.3m + L.T.Debt 34.7m))
RoIC = -24.84% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -44.0m / Invested Capital 176.9m)
WACC = 7.34% (E(239.8m)/V(382.6m) * Re(11.20%) + D(142.8m)/V(382.6m) * Rd(1.10%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 1.27%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -12.8m)
EPS Correlation: -18.11 | EPS CAGR: -3.83% | SUE: -0.12 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -33.29 | Revenue CAGR: -6.21% | SUE: 0.72 | # QB: 0