(DPZ) Domino’s Pizza - Overview
Exchange: NYSE •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US25754A2015
Stock: Pizza, Chicken, Bread, Pasta, Dessert
Total Rating 43
Risk 44
Buy Signal -0.36
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.58% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.95% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 16.64% |
| Payout Consistency | 70.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 57.0% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 26.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.25% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.66 |
| Alpha | -21.93 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.524 |
| Beta Downside | 0.442 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 25.68% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.20 |
Description: DPZ Domino’s Pizza January 03, 2026
Domino’s Pizza Inc. (DPZ) operates a global pizza franchise through three segments-U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain-selling a menu that includes pizzas, bread items, chicken, pastas, sandwiches, desserts, and beverages from both company-owned and franchised locations. Founded in 1960 and headquartered in Ann Arbor, Michigan, the firm generates revenue primarily from franchise royalties, store sales, and its proprietary supply chain network.
Key performance indicators that analysts watch include same-store sales growth (which has averaged roughly 6-8% YoY in the U.S. over the past two years), the proportion of digital orders (now exceeding 70% of total sales, driving higher ticket size and lower labor costs), and supply-chain margin contribution (typically 15-18% of gross profit). The business is sensitive to macro-economic drivers such as disposable income trends, commodity price volatility (especially cheese and wheat), and labor market tightness, all of which can affect unit economics and pricing power.
For a deeper quantitative dive into DPZ’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, explore the dedicated DPZ page on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.0
| Net Income: 589.5m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.38 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 9.94 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.78% < 20% (prev 7.75%; Δ -0.98% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.44 > 3% & CFO 730.3m > Net Income 589.5m |
| Net Debt (4.75b) to EBITDA (1.04b): 4.55 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.61 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.1m) vs 12m ago -2.55% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 39.81% > 18% (prev 0.39%; Δ 3942 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 282.3% > 50% (prev 262.8%; Δ 19.42% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.89 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.04b / Interest Expense TTM 195.8m) |
Altman Z'' -3.47
| A: 0.20 (Total Current Assets 867.7m - Total Current Liabilities 539.2m) / Total Assets 1.66b |
| B: -2.38 (Retained Earnings -3.96b / Total Assets 1.66b) |
| C: 0.56 (EBIT TTM 956.7m / Avg Total Assets 1.72b) |
| D: -0.70 (Book Value of Equity -3.96b / Total Liabilities 5.62b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.47 = D |
Beneish M -3.28
| DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 277.2m/278.7m, Revenue 4.85b/4.67b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 39.81% / 39.05%) |
| AQI: 0.75 (AQ_t 0.17 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 1.04 (Revenue 4.85b / 4.67b) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI 589.5m - CFO 730.3m) / TA 1.66b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.28 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of DPZ shares?
As of February 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 394.88 with a total of 757,701 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.77%, over one month by -2.86%, over three months by -1.24% and over the past year by -14.74%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.77%, over one month by -2.86%, over three months by -1.24% and over the past year by -14.74%.
Is DPZ a buy, sell or hold?
Domino’s Pizza has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.10.
Therefore, it is recommended to buy DPZ.
- StrongBuy: 16
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 9
- Sell: 2
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the DPZ price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 486.5 | 23.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 486.5 | 23.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 398.5 | 0.9% |
DPZ Fundamental Data Overview February 02, 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.8149
P/E Forward = 22.2717
P/S = 2.8733
P/EG = 2.2741
Revenue TTM = 4.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 956.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 95.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.68b USD (13.93b + Debt 5.10b - CCE 342.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.89 (Ebit TTM 956.7m / Interest Expense TTM 195.8m)
EV/FCF = 29.59x (Enterprise Value 18.68b / FCF TTM 631.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.38% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Enterprise Value 18.68b)
FCF Margin = 13.03% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Net Margin = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Gross Margin = 39.81% ((Revenue TTM 4.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.09% (prev 40.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.25 (Enterprise Value 18.68b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 45.0m / Debt 5.10b)
Taxrate = 22.25% (39.9m / 179.2m)
NOPAT = 743.8m (EBIT 956.7m * (1 - 22.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 867.7m / Total Current Liabilities 539.2m)
Debt / Equity = -1.29 (negative equity) (Debt 5.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.55 (Net Debt 4.75b / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = 7.53 (Net Debt 4.75b / FCF TTM 631.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 34.32% (Net Income 589.5m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = -14.91% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.95b)
RoCE = 111.6% (EBIT 956.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.95b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 75.69% (NOPAT 743.8m / Invested Capital 982.8m)
WACC = 5.93% (E(13.93b)/V(19.03b) * Re(7.85%) + D(5.10b)/V(19.03b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.30% ; FCFF base≈578.4m ; Y1≈650.2m ; Y5≈870.1m
Fair Price DCF = 610.0 (EV 25.37b - Net Debt 4.75b = Equity 20.61b / Shares 33.8m; r=5.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 60.56 | EPS CAGR: -1.08% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.66 | Revenue CAGR: -4.12% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=19
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.60 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%
P/E Forward = 22.2717
P/S = 2.8733
P/EG = 2.2741
Revenue TTM = 4.85b USD
EBIT TTM = 956.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.04b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.81b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 95.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 5.10b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 4.75b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 18.68b USD (13.93b + Debt 5.10b - CCE 342.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.89 (Ebit TTM 956.7m / Interest Expense TTM 195.8m)
EV/FCF = 29.59x (Enterprise Value 18.68b / FCF TTM 631.5m)
FCF Yield = 3.38% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Enterprise Value 18.68b)
FCF Margin = 13.03% (FCF TTM 631.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Net Margin = 12.16% (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Revenue TTM 4.85b)
Gross Margin = 39.81% ((Revenue TTM 4.85b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.92b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 40.09% (prev 40.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 11.25 (Enterprise Value 18.68b / Total Assets 1.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.88% (Interest Expense 45.0m / Debt 5.10b)
Taxrate = 22.25% (39.9m / 179.2m)
NOPAT = 743.8m (EBIT 956.7m * (1 - 22.25%))
Current Ratio = 1.61 (Total Current Assets 867.7m / Total Current Liabilities 539.2m)
Debt / Equity = -1.29 (negative equity) (Debt 5.10b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -3.96b)
Debt / EBITDA = 4.55 (Net Debt 4.75b / EBITDA 1.04b)
Debt / FCF = 7.53 (Net Debt 4.75b / FCF TTM 631.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -3.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 34.32% (Net Income 589.5m / Total Assets 1.66b)
RoE = -14.91% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 589.5m / Total Stockholder Equity -3.95b)
RoCE = 111.6% (EBIT 956.7m / Capital Employed (Equity -3.95b + L.T.Debt 4.81b))
RoIC = 75.69% (NOPAT 743.8m / Invested Capital 982.8m)
WACC = 5.93% (E(13.93b)/V(19.03b) * Re(7.85%) + D(5.10b)/V(19.03b) * Rd(0.88%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.85% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.43%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 87.30% ; FCFF base≈578.4m ; Y1≈650.2m ; Y5≈870.1m
Fair Price DCF = 610.0 (EV 25.37b - Net Debt 4.75b = Equity 20.61b / Shares 33.8m; r=5.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 14.42% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 60.56 | EPS CAGR: -1.08% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 8.66 | Revenue CAGR: -4.12% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=4.34 | Chg30d=-0.004 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=19
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=19.60 | Chg30d=+0.008 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+11.4% | Growth Revenue=+6.4%