(DUK) Duke Energy - NYSE

Sector: Utilities | Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric | Exchange: NYSE (USA) | Market Cap: 97.489m USD | Total Return: 14.3% in 12m

Electricity, Natural Gas, Power Generation, Energy Transmission
Total Rating 54
Safety 49
Buy Signal -0.02
Utilities - Regulated Electric
Industry Rotation: +4.2
Market Cap: 97.5B
Avg Turnover: 443M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility16.0%
VaR 5th Pctl2.95%
VaR vs Median11.7%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.69
Rel. Str. IBD38.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group29
Character TTM
Beta-0.337
Beta Downside-0.459
Hurst Exponent0.497
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD11.59%
CAGR/Max DD1.49
CAGR/Mean DD4.64
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of DUK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.15, "2021-09": 1.88, "2021-12": 0.94, "2022-03": 1.3, "2022-06": 1.14, "2022-09": 1.78, "2022-12": 1.11, "2023-03": 1.2, "2023-06": 0.91, "2023-09": 1.94, "2023-12": 1.51, "2024-03": 1.44, "2024-06": 1.18, "2024-09": 1.62, "2024-12": 1.66, "2025-03": 1.76, "2025-06": 1.25, "2025-09": 1.81, "2025-12": 1.5, "2026-03": 1.93,
EPS CAGR: 9.17%
EPS Trend: 92.6%
Last SUE: 1.49
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of DUK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 5758, 2021-09: 6951, 2021-12: 6238, 2022-03: 7132, 2022-06: 6685, 2022-09: 7968, 2022-12: 7351, 2023-03: 7276, 2023-06: 6578, 2023-09: 7994, 2023-12: 7212, 2024-03: 7671, 2024-06: 7172, 2024-09: 8154, 2024-12: 7360, 2025-03: 8249, 2025-06: 7508, 2025-09: 8669, 2025-12: 7938, 2026-03: 9178,
Rev. CAGR: 4.87%
Rev. Trend: 97.0%
Last SUE: 2.78
Qual. Beats: 2

Warnings

Altman Z'' 0.61 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: DUK Duke Energy

Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is a U.S.-based energy company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, that operates through two main segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I) and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers across the Southeast and Midwest, using a diversified generation mix that includes coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel, and also conducts wholesale electricity sales to municipalities, electric cooperatives, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers, while also investing in pipeline transmission, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was founded in 1904 and was renamed from Duke Energy Holding Corp. to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006.

As a large-cap utility operating primarily under a regulated business model, Duke Energys earnings are largely tied to rate-regulated returns on its transmission and distribution infrastructure rather than commodity prices. Its vertically integrated structure, spanning generation through retail delivery in both electricity and natural gas, is characteristic of major multi-state U.S. utility holding companies.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Regulated rate hikes support earnings growth across Southeast service territories
  • Data center load growth boosts Carolinas electricity sales volumes
  • Rising interest rates increase capital costs for utility investment programs
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.0
Net Income: 5.14b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.44 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -20.69% < 20% (prev -12.45%; Δ -8.24% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 11.7b > Net Income 5.14b
Net Debt (90.0b) to EBITDA (16.0b): 5.61 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (779.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2%
Gross Margin: 58.41% > 18% (prev 50.91%; Δ 7.50% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 17.27% > 50% (prev 16.50%; Δ 0.77% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 3.71b)
Altman Z'' 0.61
A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.4b - Total Current Liabilities 20.3b) / Total Assets 198b
B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 5.76b / Total Assets 198b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 9.72b / Avg Total Assets 193b)
D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 54.5b / Total Liabilities 142b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.61 = B
Beneish M -3.24
DSRI: 0.80 (Receivables 3.95b/4.56b, Revenue 33.3b/30.9b)
GMI: 0.87 (GM 50.91% / 58.41%)
AQI: 1.02 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 33.3b / 30.9b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 5.14b - CFO 11.7b) / TA 198b)
Beneish M = -3.24 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of DUK shares?

As of June 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 128.40 with a total of 2,158,474 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.67%, over one month by +2.74%, over three months by +0.10% and over the past year by +14.31%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 123.80 (which is 3.6% or 2.1 ATR below the current price).

Is DUK a buy, sell or hold?

Duke Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DUK.

  • StrongBuy: 7
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 11
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the DUK price?
Analysts Target Price 137.8 7.3%
Duke Energy (DUK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 25 June 2026
Market Cap USD = 97.5b (97.5b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.2385
P/E Forward = 18.4502
P/S = 2.9796
P/B = 1.8005
P/EG = 2.615
Revenue TTM = 33.3b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.72b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 80.5b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.77b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 92.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 964.0m
Net Debt = 90.0b USD (calculated: Debt 92.2b - CCE 2.14b)
Enterprise Value = 188b USD (97.5b + Debt 92.2b - CCE 2.14b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.62 (Ebit TTM 9.72b / Interest Expense TTM 3.71b)
EV/FCF = 28.40x (Enterprise Value 188b / FCF TTM 6.60b)
FCF Yield = 3.52% (FCF TTM 6.60b / Enterprise Value 188b)
FCF Margin = 19.84% (FCF TTM 6.60b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Net Margin = 15.44% (Net Income TTM 5.14b / Revenue TTM 33.3b)
Gross Margin = 58.41% ((Revenue TTM 33.3b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.8b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.92% (prev 30.49%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.95 (Enterprise Value 188b / Total Assets 198b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.03% (Interest Expense 3.71b / Debt 92.2b)
Taxrate = 13.01% (782.0m / 6.01b)
NOPAT = 8.46b (EBIT 9.72b * (1 - 13.01%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 13.4b / Total Current Liabilities 20.3b)
Debt / Equity = 1.69 (Debt 92.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.5b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.61 (Net Debt 90.0b / EBITDA 16.0b)
Debt / FCF = 13.63 (Net Debt 90.0b / FCF TTM 6.60b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 52.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.67% (Net Income 5.14b / Total Assets 198b)
RoE = 9.85% (Net Income TTM 5.14b / Total Stockholder Equity 52.2b)
RoCE = 7.33% (EBIT 9.72b / Capital Employed (Equity 52.2b + L.T.Debt 80.5b))
RoIC = 4.55% (NOPAT 8.46b / Invested Capital 186b)
WACC = 4.17% (E(97.5b)/V(190b) * Re(4.80%) + D(92.2b)/V(190b) * Rd(4.03%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 4.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 89.57 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈6.60b ; Y1≈6.63b ; Y5≈7.02b
[DCF] Fair Price = 24.66 (EV 109b - Net Debt 90.0b = Equity 19.2b / Shares 779.6m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.62 | EPS CAGR: 9.17% | SUE: 1.49 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.05 | Revenue CAGR: 4.87% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.25 | Chg30d=-0.17% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=14
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.91 | Chg30d=-0.11% | Revisions=-20% | Analysts=13
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+33% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+4.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=+0.01% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40%