DUK Stock Analysis: Duke Energy | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 101.424m USD | 12M Return: 9.1% | US26441C2044 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 513M
EPS Trend: 94.6%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.9 years of data, until 10/2026
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, ≥40 worth a closer look and ≥60 is strong.
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is a U.S.-based, large-cap utility company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, founded in 1904. It operates through two segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I), which generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity across the Southeast and Midwest using a mix of coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel, and also engages in wholesale electricity sales to municipalities and cooperatives; and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I), which distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers while investing in pipeline transmission, renewable natural gas, and natural gas storage projects.
As an investor-owned utility operating in the GICS Utilities sector, Duke Energy follows a vertically integrated business model spanning generation through delivery, with operations typically subject to state-level public utility commission regulation that oversees rates and service standards. Companies in this sub-industry, classified as Electric Utilities, generally function as regulated franchises within defined service territories, which tends to produce predictable, recurring revenue streams tied to customer usage and approved rate bases.
- Regulated rate hikes boost returns on grid investments
- Higher interest rates raise capital expenditure financing costs
- Southeast customer growth drives electric utility volume gains
| Net Income: 5.39b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.11 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -18.51% < 20% (prev -22.64%; Δ 4.13% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 11.5b > Net Income 5.39b |
| Net Debt (94.3b) to EBITDA (17.5b): 5.39 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.68 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (780.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 60.48% > 18% (prev 59.66%; Δ 0.82% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.07% > 50% (prev 16.53%; Δ 0.54% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.64 > 6 (EBIT TTM 10.1b / Interest Expense TTM 3.84b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.4b - Total Current Liabilities 19.6b) / Total Assets 204b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 6.71b / Total Assets 204b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 10.1b / Avg Total Assets 198b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 55.4b / Total Liabilities 146b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.65 = B |
| DSRI: 1.17 (Receivables 4.99b/4.01b, Revenue 33.8b/31.8b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 59.66% / 60.48%) |
| AQI: 0.93 (AQ_t 0.25 / AQ_t-1 0.27) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 33.8b / 31.8b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 5.39b - CFO 11.5b) / TA 204b) |
| Beneish M = -2.89 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of November 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 129.16 with a total of 6,750,934 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.94%, over one month by +10.21%, over three months by +5.55% and over the past year by +9.10%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 124.10 (which is 3.9% or 2.3 ATR below the current price).
Duke Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.91. Therefore, it is recommended to buy DUK.
- StrongBuy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 131.7 | 2% |
P/E Trailing = 19.5022
P/E Forward = 18.0832
P/S = 3.0919
P/B = 1.8789
P/EG = 2.4132
Revenue TTM = 33.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 10.1b USD
EBITDA TTM = 17.5b USD
Long Term Debt = 84.3b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 8.46b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 94.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 991.0m
Net Debt = 94.3b USD (calculated: Debt 94.8b - CCE 451.0m)
Enterprise Value = 196b USD (101b + Debt 94.8b - CCE 451.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.64 (Ebit TTM 10.1b / Interest Expense TTM 3.84b)
EV/FCF = 26.44x (Enterprise Value 196b / FCF TTM 7.40b)
FCF Yield = 3.78% (FCF TTM 7.40b / Enterprise Value 196b)
FCF Margin = 21.90% (FCF TTM 7.40b / Revenue TTM 33.8b)
Net Margin = 15.94% (Net Income TTM 5.39b / Revenue TTM 33.8b)
Gross Margin = 60.48% ((Revenue TTM 33.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 13.4b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 68.64% (prev 73.06%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 196b / Total Assets 204b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.05% (Interest Expense 3.84b / Debt 94.8b)
Taxrate = 14.53% (946.0m / 6.51b)
NOPAT = 8.66b (EBIT 10.1b * (1 - 14.53%))
Current Ratio = 0.68 (Total Current Assets 13.4b / Total Current Liabilities 19.6b)
Debt / Equity = 1.71 (Debt 94.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 55.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.39 (Net Debt 94.3b / EBITDA 17.5b)
Debt / FCF = 12.74 (Net Debt 94.3b / FCF TTM 7.40b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 54.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.72% (Net Income 5.39b / Total Assets 204b)
RoE = 9.96% (Net Income TTM 5.39b / Total Stockholder Equity 54.1b)
RoCE = 7.32% (EBIT 10.1b / Capital Employed (Equity 54.1b + L.T.Debt 84.3b))
RoIC = 4.51% (NOPAT 8.66b / Invested Capital 192b)
WACC = 3.94% (E(101b)/V(196b) * Re(4.39%) + D(94.8b)/V(196b) * Rd(4.05%) * (1-Tc(0.15)))
Discount Rate = 4.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.74 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈7.40b ; Y1≈7.43b ; Y5≈7.88b
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.13 (EV 122b - Net Debt 94.3b = Equity 28.2b / Shares 779.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 94.59 | EPS CAGR: 6.92% | SUE: 1.36 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: 99.20 | Revenue CAGR: 5.76% | SUE: 0.47 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=1.94 | Chg30d=+0.21% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.72 | Chg30d=+0.18% | Revisions=+44% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=+22% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +45% (up=13, down=4)