DUK Stock Analysis: Duke Energy | NYSE
Utilities - Regulated Electric | NYSE, USA | Market Cap: 96.168m USD | 12M Return: 2.6% | US26441C2044 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 484M
EPS Trend: 92.7%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: 98.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Duke Energy Corporation (NYSE: DUK) is a U.S.-based energy company headquartered in Charlotte, North Carolina, that operates through two main segments: Electric Utilities and Infrastructure (EU&I) and Gas Utilities and Infrastructure (GU&I). The EU&I segment generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity to customers across the Southeast and Midwest, using a diversified generation mix that includes coal, hydroelectric, natural gas, oil, renewables, and nuclear fuel, and also conducts wholesale electricity sales to municipalities, electric cooperatives, and other load-serving entities. The GU&I segment distributes natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and power generation customers, while also investing in pipeline transmission, renewable natural gas projects, and natural gas storage facilities. The company was founded in 1904 and was renamed from Duke Energy Holding Corp. to Duke Energy Corporation in April 2006.
As a large-cap utility operating primarily under a regulated business model, Duke Energys earnings are largely tied to rate-regulated returns on its transmission and distribution infrastructure rather than commodity prices. Its vertically integrated structure, spanning generation through retail delivery in both electricity and natural gas, is characteristic of major multi-state U.S. utility holding companies.
- Regulated rate hikes support earnings growth across Southeast service territories
- Data center load growth boosts Carolinas electricity sales volumes
- Rising interest rates increase capital costs for utility investment programs
| Net Income: 5.25b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.01 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.06 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -20.19% < 20% (prev -20.02%; Δ -0.17% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 11.6b > Net Income 5.25b |
| Net Debt (91.5b) to EBITDA (16.2b): 5.65 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.66 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (779.0m) vs 12m ago 0.26% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 68.19% > 18% (prev 46.17%; Δ 22.02% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 17.08% > 50% (prev 16.48%; Δ 0.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.58 > 6 (EBIT TTM 9.75b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b) |
| A: -0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.1b - Total Current Liabilities 19.9b) / Total Assets 201b |
| B: 0.03 (Retained Earnings 6.00b / Total Assets 201b) |
| C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 9.75b / Avg Total Assets 195b) |
| D: 0.38 (Book Value of Equity 54.8b / Total Liabilities 144b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.61 = B |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 4.48b/4.09b, Revenue 33.4b/31.3b) |
| GMI: 0.68 (GM 46.17% / 68.19%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.26 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 33.4b / 31.3b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 5.25b - CFO 11.6b) / TA 201b) |
| Beneish M = -3.26 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 124.85 with a total of 3,757,834 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.46%, over one month by -2.63%, over three months by +0.85% and over the past year by +2.61%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 118.20 (which is 5.3% or 2.7 ATR below the current price).
Duke Energy has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold DUK.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 11
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 138.8 | 11.2% |
P/E Trailing = 18.7162
P/E Forward = 18.5529
P/S = 2.9317
P/B = 1.8017
P/EG = 2.473
Revenue TTM = 33.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.75b USD
EBITDA TTM = 16.2b USD
Long Term Debt = 82.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 9.00b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 92.2b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 968.0m
Net Debt = 91.5b USD (calculated: Debt 92.2b - CCE 673.0m)
Enterprise Value = 188b USD (96.2b + Debt 92.2b - CCE 673.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.58 (Ebit TTM 9.75b / Interest Expense TTM 3.77b)
EV/FCF = 121.8x (Enterprise Value 188b / FCF TTM 1.54b)
FCF Yield = 0.82% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Enterprise Value 188b)
FCF Margin = 4.62% (FCF TTM 1.54b / Revenue TTM 33.4b)
Net Margin = 15.72% (Net Income TTM 5.25b / Revenue TTM 33.4b)
Gross Margin = 68.19% ((Revenue TTM 33.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 10.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.06% (prev 67.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.93 (Enterprise Value 188b / Total Assets 201b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.09% (Interest Expense 3.77b / Debt 92.2b)
Taxrate = 13.30% (823.0m / 6.19b)
NOPAT = 8.45b (EBIT 9.75b * (1 - 13.30%))
Current Ratio = 0.66 (Total Current Assets 13.1b / Total Current Liabilities 19.9b)
Debt / Equity = 1.68 (Debt 92.2b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 54.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.65 (Net Debt 91.5b / EBITDA 16.2b)
Debt / FCF = 59.40 (Net Debt 91.5b / FCF TTM 1.54b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 53.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.69% (Net Income 5.25b / Total Assets 201b)
RoE = 9.88% (Net Income TTM 5.25b / Total Stockholder Equity 53.1b)
RoCE = 7.20% (EBIT 9.75b / Capital Employed (Equity 53.1b + L.T.Debt 82.2b))
RoIC = 4.46% (NOPAT 8.45b / Invested Capital 190b)
WACC = 4.10% (E(96.2b)/V(188b) * Re(4.62%) + D(92.2b)/V(188b) * Rd(4.09%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Discount Rate = 4.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.60 | Cagr: 0.46%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈1.54b ; Y1≈1.55b ; Y5≈1.64b
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 25.5b - Net Debt 91.5b = -66.0b; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: 92.68 | EPS CAGR: 7.94% | SUE: 1.54 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 98.45 | Revenue CAGR: 5.40% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.87 | Chg30d=-2.38% | Revisions=+30% | Analysts=12
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.70 | Chg30d=-0.01% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.2% | GrowthRev=+4.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.17 | Chg30d=-0.00% | Revisions=+10% | GrowthEPS=+6.9% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +17% (up=12, down=8)