(EARN) Ellington Residential - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NYSE • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US2885781078
EARN: Mortgage-backed Securities, Collateralized Mortgage Obligations
Ellington Credit Company, a real estate investment trust (REIT), specializes in the acquisition, investment, and management of residential mortgage and real estate-related assets. The company focuses on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), including both agency and non-agency assets. Agency RMBS are backed by government-sponsored entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, offering lower risk, while non-agency RMBS provide higher yields but come with increased risk. Ellingtons strategy involves analyzing interest rate trends, mortgage market conditions, and economic indicators to optimize its portfolio. The company employs hedging strategies to mitigate interest rate risk, a common practice in mortgage REITs.
As a REIT, Ellington must distribute at least 90% of its taxable income to shareholders, avoiding corporate income tax on distributed earnings. This structure appeals to investors seeking regular income. The companys diversified portfolio includes agency pools, agency collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs), and non-agency CMOs, spanning investment-grade and non-investment-grade securities. Ellingtons adaptability in managing both agency and non-agency RMBS underscores its strategic approach to navigating market fluctuations.
Ellington Credit Company, formerly known as Ellington Residential Mortgage REIT, rebranded in April 2024 to reflect its expanded focus beyond residential mortgages. Incorporated in 2012 and headquartered in Old Greenwich, Connecticut, the company has established itself in the mortgage REIT sector, leveraging its expertise to capitalize on market opportunities while managing associated risks. For more information, visit their website at https://www.ellingtoncredit.com.
3-Month Forecast: Based on the provided data, Ellington Credit Companys stock (NYSE:EARN) is expected to experience price consolidation within a narrow range, driven by its proximity to key moving averages. The low Average True Range (ATR) of 0.12 indicates minimal volatility, suggesting that price fluctuations will be limited. The stock is currently trading at $6.43, slightly below its 20-day SMA of $6.45 but above its 50-day and 200-day SMAs of $6.42 and $6.39, respectively, signaling short-term weakness amidst overall stability.
From a fundamental perspective, Ellingtons attractive P/E ratio of 5.20 and P/B ratio of 0.99 suggest the stock may be undervalued, potentially attracting value investors. However, the forward P/E of 7.17 indicates that analysts anticipate lower earnings in the coming quarters, which could temper near-term upside. The companys return on equity (RoE) of 10.
Additional Sources for EARN Stock
Tweets: X Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma Stockcircle
EARN Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 173m |
Sector | Financial Services |
Industry | Asset Management |
GiC Sub-Industry | Mortgage REITs |
IPO / Inception | 2013-05-01 |
EARN Stock Ratings
Growth 5y | 22.1% |
Fundamental | 44.5% |
Dividend | 52.7% |
Rel. Strength | -28.8 |
Analysts | 3.25/5 |
Fair Price Momentum | 5.04 USD |
Fair Price DCF | 0.68 USD |
EARN Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 16.63% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 36.64% |
Annual Growth 5y | -3.04% |
Payout Consistency | 90.5% |
EARN Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -70.5% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 27% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -27.7% |
CAGR 5y | 15.01% |
CAGR/Max DD 5y | 0.30 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.20 |
Alpha | -28.90 |
Beta | 1.998 |
Volatility | 24.80% |
Current Volume | 2600.8k |
Average Volume 20d | 772k |
As of April 03, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 5.27 with a total of 2,600,810 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.82%, over one month by -16.90%, over three months by -17.91% and over the past year by -12.98%.
Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay Fundamental Analyses, Ellington Residential (NYSE:EARN) is currently (April 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 44.48 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on ValueRays Analyses, Dividends and Discounted-Cash-Flow, the Fair Value of EARN as of April 2025 is 5.04. This means that EARN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -4.36%.
Ellington Residential has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.25. Therefor, it is recommend to hold EARN.
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
According to ValueRays Forecast Model, EARN Ellington Residential will be worth about 6 in April 2026. The stock is currently trading at 5.27. This means that the stock has a potential upside of +13.85%.
Issuer | Forecast | Upside |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 7.3 | 37.6% |
Analysts Target Price | 7.3 | 37.6% |
ValueRay Target Price | 6 | 13.9% |